Daily Morning Note – 20 September 2018

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YOUR PHILLIP SUMMARY

On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 rose close to new records, pushed by stock gains in manufacturing and finance companies. This was due to the less stringent than anticipated new tariffs implemented by the US and China.

The yield on 10-year Treasuries continued this week’s march above the much-watched 3 percent mark and on Wednesday reached as high as 3.09 percent, a level unseen since May. Oil climbed above $71 a barrel.

In the Asia-Pacific region, most of the indexes rose. The Shanghai Composite Index and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng each added more than 1%.
It is expected that the Federal Reserve will raise rates again at next week’s meeting.


RESEARCH REPORT

First REIT – A new dawn

Recommendation: NEUTRAL (Maintained), Last Close Price

Target Price: S$1.31, Analyst: Tara Wong

– OUE Limited and OUE Lippo Healthcare (OUELH) collectively acquiring 100% of
the shares in Bowsprit Capital Corporation Limited (Bowsprit), the Manager of
First REIT (FIRT), from Lippo Karawaci (LPKR).

– OUELH also acquiring 10.63% of FIRT units from Bridgewater International
Limited (Bridgewater) (subsidiary of LPKR).

– OUELH and LPKR will each have 10.63% stake in FIRT upon completion of
transaction.

– New ROFR pipeline from OUELH – which includes healthcare assets in Japan,
China, Malaysia – in addition to existing ROFR pipeline from LPKR.

– Cash infusion from LPKR’s divestment of stake in Bowsprit and FIRT through
its holding companies, will ease its cash flow status and potentially improve
receivables at FIRT.

– Maintain Neutral with an unchanged TP of S$1.31.

Singapore REITs Monthly – Monthly Tracker: September 2018

Recommendation: NEUTRAL (Maintained), Analyst: Tara Wong

Target Price: S$1.31, Analyst: Tara Wong

– FTSE S-REIT Index declined 2.6% YTD. Weakness across all sub-sectors over
the past month, with Starhill Global REIT being the top performer (+5.1%
MTD) and OUE Commercial REIT being the worst performer (-11.7% MTD).

– Sector yield spread of 296bps over the benchmark 10-year SGS (10YSGS) yield
remains close to the -1 standard deviation (SD) level as at end-August.

– 3m SOR rose to 1.65% as at end-August, near 10-year highs.

– Remain NEUTRAL on S-REITs sector. Sub-sector preferences: Office and
Hospitality.

BREAKING NEWS

Stocks rose on Wednesday as higher interest rates drove gains in the banking sector. Sentiment on Wall Street was also boosted as investors bet that a trade war between the U.S. and China will not be as bad as previously feared. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 158.80 points with Goldman Sachs as the best-performing stock in the index.

China will not resort to a massive stimulus as it did in 2008 to boost its economy, Prime Minister Li Keqiang said at the World Economic Forum held in Tianjin on Wednesday. Instead, the country had ample tools to offset the downward pressures facing its economy, such as stabilising investment, reducing taxes and fees, instituting a more pro-active fiscal policy and easing credit difficulties for small and medium-sized companies.

Geo Energy Resources Limited announced it is considering seeking a dual primary listing on the Main Board of HKEx. The Potential Listing may or may not involve an offering of new shares in conjunction with the Potential Listing.

Total sales for Sasseur REIT’s first day of its 10th anniversary celebrations exceeded RMB130 million, setting a new national record for outlet mall’s one day sales in China.

QAF Group clarified that the outbreak of African swine fever (“ASF”) in the People’s Republic of China has had no impact on its primary production business, under the Rivalea Group, as the business is located entirely in Australia. Nonetheless, as Australian pork producers are not permitted to export pork to the PRC, the outbreak of ASF in the PRC does not currently give rise to any export opportunity with respect to the PRC.

Source: SGX Masnet, Bloomberg, Reuters, The Business Times, Channel NewsAsia, Phillip Securities Research

Clients of Phillip Securities can keep updated with Country Strategy and Singapore Sector Reports by logging into: www.poems.com.sg > STOCKS > Research

Read the research report(s), available through the link(s) above, for complete information including important disclosures

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