Daily Morning Note – 27 February 2020

WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK WEBINAR

PHILLIP SUMMARY

Another painful session for global markets began Monday with a slump in equities and a slide in sovereign bond yields, as investors reacted to a much deeper decline in China’s manufacturing than expected, and the continued spread of the coronavirus.

Japanese stocks opened 1.3% lower, and S&P 500 futures slumped over 1%, with a signal from the Federal Reserve Friday that it’s open to easing policy providing little comfort. Australian and New Zealand 10-year yields set new record lows and Treasury yields slid to 1.11%. Moves did ease somewhat in currencies in early trading and oil erased its losses, while South Korean shares edged higher at the open.

BREAKING NEWS

Troubled offshore and marine group Ezion Holdings has on Feb 28 reached a new conditional debt conversion and conditional option agreement with would-be white knight, Malaysia-listed Yinson Holdings. Under the conditional debt conversion agreement with Yinson’s indirect wholly owned subsidiary Yinson Eden, S$482.3 million of Ezion’s debt will be wiped out by Yinson Eden in exchange for the company getting 23 billion new ordinary shares in Ezion at an issue price of 3.17 Singapore cents per share.

China’s new securities law which simplifies regulations for stock exchange listings and tightens sanctions on insider trading came into force on Sunday. It cuts red tape for initial public offerings (IPOs), which no longer need prior approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). Companies are also no longer required to be profitable before listing but must provide precise financial information.

Nippon Steel, the world’s No 3 steelmaker, is bracing for a downside risk as slower manufacturing activities in China in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak may further weigh on demand in industries such as auto and machineries, its executive said. Mr Miyamoto also said inventories held at steelmills in China rose 30 per cent in early February from a year ago, with stockpiles at Nippon Steel’s steel joint venture in Shanghai also increasing due to transport disruptions.

United Airlines chief executive Oscar Munoz told employees the US airline would likely need to cut additional flights in the wake of sagging demand because of the coronavirus outbreak, the airline confirmed on Sunday.

Samsung Electronics and LG Innotek have shut their factories in South Korea after a worker tested positive for the coronavirus, the companies said on Sunday.

Source: SGX Masnet, The Business Times, Bloomberg, Channel NewsAsia, Reuters, PSR

TECHNICAL PULSE

Keppel DC REIT

Recommended Action: Technical BUY

Keppel DC REIT (SGX: AJBU) bullish momentum will continue based on the technical

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RESEARCH REPORTS

Venture Corporation Limited – Healthy outlook for 2020

Recommendation: ACCUMULATE (Maintained), Last Done: S$16.45

Target Price: S$18.10, Analyst: Paul Chew


– 4Q19 PATMI beat our estimates by 11% due to higher than expected revenue.

– VMS direct exposure in China is less than 10% but the shutdown has disrupted the supply chain and will negatively impact product deliveries in 1Q20.

– The outlook is positive with a rebound in 2H20. Growth in 2020 driven by two areas: (i) further outsourcing of the supply chain into SE Asia from China. This trend turned more acute after the recent outbreak; (ii) new products and customers in the Life Science Genomics and Healthcare Wellness domains.

– Maintain ACCUMULATE. Our target price is raised to S$18.10 (prev. S$17.18) as we roll-over into FY20e 14x PE. We kept our FY20e earnings largely unchanged. We expect a softer 1Q20 to be recovered in 2H20. VMS is gaining profit share in the global EMS sector, paying an attractive 4.2% dividend yield and enjoying a c.15% ROE business (despite net cash of S$714mn).

PropNex Limited – Every engine should be humming

Recommendation: BUY (Maintained), Last Done: S$0.545

Target Price: S$0.70, Analyst: Paul Chew


– The more than 3-fold spike in 4Q19 net profit beat our earnings forecast. Revenue from new launches was far better than expected.

– Revenue surged on the back of the strong recovery in new project launches (+244% YoY) and stability in the resale market (+15% YoY).

– PropNex maintained full-year dividend at 3.5 cents, a dividend yield of 6.4%.

– We maintain our BUY recommendation. Our target price is raised to S$0.70 (previously (S$0.59). FY20e will be a year of growth, all three key business segments are recovering – new launches, HDB and private resale. PropNex stands out for its significant market share in Singapore (48% new launches), impressive unlevered ROE (28%), net cash balance sheet of S$82mn and attractive dividend yield.


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RESEARCH VIDEOS

Webinar Of The Week

Market Outlook: (PSR) DBS, IREIT, APTV, MMH, NTL, SATS, Singtel, ThaiBev, REITs Monthly & SG Bonds

Date: 18 February 2020

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Phillip Research in 3 minutes: #18 – Singapore Budget 2020

Updates summarised in 3 minutes

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