Daily Morning Note – 8 May 2020

PHILLIP SUMMARY

Stocks in Asia were set to trade higher on Friday after the Nasdaq Composite recovered from its losses for the year overnight. Futures pointed to a higher open for Japanese stocks. The Nikkei futures contract in Chicago was at 19,840 while its counterpart in Osaka was at 19,760. That compared against the Nikkei 225′s last close at 19,674.77. Meanwhile, shares in Australia were also set to open higher. The SPI futures contract was at 5,373, as compared to the S&P/ASX 200′s last close at 5,364.20. Investors will await the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s statement on monetary policy, set to be around 9:30 a.m. HK/SIN.

BREAKING NEWS

OCBC reported a 43 per cent fall in first-quarter net profit, worse than market estimates, as Singapore’s second-largest lender set aside higher credit allowances to cover the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. The bank said on Friday its profit declined to S$698 million for January-March from S$1.23 billion a year earlier. That was weaker than an average estimate of S$941 million from four analysts, according to Refinitiv data.

AUSTRALIAN energy company AusNet Services on Thursday said it has secured A$500 million (S$458.4 million) of bank debt facilities in total, which comprises a two-year A$350 million, a three-year A$100 million and a five-year A$50 million debt facility.

AEM Holdings, which provides advanced chip testing solutions, on Wednesday said it is revising its FY2020 revenue guidance upwards to be between S$430 million and S$445 million, while its capital expenditure is said to remain at about S$4 million. This comes as it had on May 4 received sales orders worth S$416 million for delivery for its financial year ending Dec 31, 2020.

CATALIST-LISTED food and beverage company Tung Lok Group expects to report a net loss for its fiscal year ended March 31, 2020. “The Covid-19 pandemic and the consequential social distancing measures have adversely affected the businesses of our restaurant outlets and catering services during the final quarter of FY2020,” it said in a statement on Wednesday, adding that the period is typically when the group’s restaurants experience significantly higher patronage and generate substantially greater revenue compared to other periods.

PROPERTY developer GSH Corporation posted a 32 per cent decline in its hospitality segment’s Q1 2020 revenue to S$13.2 million from S$19.5 million the year before. The Covid-19 pandemic situation is expected to continue to cast a negative impact on the group’s hospitality business, which comprises two hotels in Sutera Harbour Resort and an island resort, Sutera @ Mantanani, in Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, it said in an update on Thursday.

Source: SGX Masnet, The Business Times, Bloomberg, Channel NewsAsia, Reuters, PSR

TECHNICAL PULSE

Singapore Exchange Ltd

Recommended Action: Technical BUY

SGX (SGX: Z68) strong rally after the breakout of the expanded flat in early March is stronger than expected.

>> Read more technical reports

RESEARCH REPORTS

Ascott Residence Trust – Doing well, all things considered

Recommendation: BUY (Maintained), Last Done: S$0.86

Target Price: S$1.17, Analyst: Natalie Ong


– RevPAU down 23% YoY in 1Q20 and 18 properties temporarily closed.

– Self-isolation clients and COVID responders shored up occupancy in SG and US to 80%.

– Maintain BUY with lower TP of $1.17 (prev. $1.53). We lowered our FY20e gross profit (NPI) forecast by 13.9%, reducing our RevPAU estimates by 20% to 30% for the full year. FY20e DPU has been cut by 15.4% to 6.87cents, representing a yield of 8.0%. The change in our target price is largely due to the higher cost of equity assumptions incorporated in our valuation, raised from 7.2% to 8.5%.

StarHub Limited – Less travel hurts the business

Recommendation: NEUTRAL (Downgraded), Last Done: S$1.49

Target Price: S$1.45, Analyst: Paul Chew


– Revenue and EBITDA were below our expectations. EBITDA is 1Q20 fell 16% YoY.

– StarHub withdrew their FY20 financial guidance, including dividends.

– Mobile revenue was down 15% YoY due to lower roaming revenue and higher SIM-only plans. Post-paid ARPU at a historical low.

– Downgrade to NEUTRAL with a lower target price of TP S$1.45. We are lowering our FY20e EBITDA by 6%, as we cut our mobile revenue estimate. The outbreak has negatively impacted the business more than we had anticipated. The higher margin inbound and outbound roaming revenues virtually disappeared with this outbreak. Furthermore, the softer economic backdrop meant lower handset sales, longer sales cycle for enterprise business and a higher proportion of SIM-only plans.

SGD Bonds Strategy: Relative value search (Credit Commentary)

Credit Analyst: Timothy Ang


– We scan the local corporate bond universe to discover bonds trading relatively cheap

– We name the bonds trading at interesting yields

>> Read more research reports

HK Reports – Read up on our Hong Kong reports here

RESEARCH VIDEOS

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Market Outlook: (PSR) Singapore Exchange Ltd, Micro-Mechanics, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Keppel DC REIT, SG Banking Note, SG REITs Sector Update, SG Bonds Strategy, Technicals & SG Phillip Weekly

Date: 27 April 2020

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Phillip Research in 3 minutes: #21 – Singapore REITs Sector

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