研报 | 招商银行股份有限公司:盈利能力强,资产质量稳定

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平安银行:积极
买入价:CNY29.77 | 止损价:CNY23.75
目标价:CNY45.00 

 

摘要

招商银行股份有限公司(CMB)是一家商业银行。公司提供存款,贷款,财富管理,
资产托管,融资租赁,投资银行和其他银行业务。招商银行在国内外开展业务。

 

关键指标

CMB 公布2019年一季度净利润为250亿人民币,环比增长92%,同比增长11%,受到净息差(NIM)环比扩大6个基点至2.72%的支撑。

2019年一季度,不良贷款率(NPL) 下降1个基点至1.35%,而不良贷款覆盖率环比增长499个基点至363.2% 。

核心一级资本率(CET 1) 环比增长14个基点至11.92%。一级资本比率(环比增长10个基点) 和总资本充足比率(CAR) (环比增长18个基点)均有所改善。

虽然存款环比增长仅为1%,但有积极迹象表明,成本较低的活期存款环比上升3.4个百分点至64.4%。

总的来说,我们看好招商银行。主要是因为该公司拥有强劲的盈利能力,以及稳定的资产质量。

 

我们为什么喜欢CMB:

NIM 环比提高了6个基点至2.72%:NIM 的扩张得益于资产负债结构的改善。请注意,到2019年一季度末,活期存款占存款总额的环比上升3.4个百分点至64.4%。这是一个关键的驱动因素,使总体融资成本保持在较低水平,从而实现NIM的扩张。此外,贷款增长(环比增长5%) 超过了资产增长(环比增长1%)。2019年一季度的NIM 比2018年度高出9个基点。

稳定的资产质量和拨备水平:2019年一季度,不良贷款率下降了1个基点至1.35%,而不良贷款覆盖率环比增加499个基点至363.2%。较高的拨备水平为未来的收益提供了缓冲。

资本比率改善:CET 1 比率环比上升了14个基点至11.92%,并且我们注意到,一级资本比率和总资本充足率均有所改善。风险加权资产增长(环比增长4%)快于资产增长(环比增长1%) 和利润的跃升(环比增长92%),它们是2019年一季度推动资本比率扩张的关键因素。

 
 

令我们感到担忧的是

存款增长环比仅增长1%:CMB的存款增速低于行业3.5%的环比增速。企业存款环比增长持平,而零售存款环比增长约为2%。积极的迹象是,2019年一季度的活期存款环比增长了3.4个百分点至64.4%。这主要得益于企业活期存款增长的推动。

 
 

建议

整体来说,我们看好CMB。主要是因为该公司拥有强劲的盈利能力,以及资产质量稳定。

 
 

本文为英文翻译版本,仅供参考,一切请以英文版本为准。如果有想了解更多全球股市资讯,请关注微信公众共 “辉立资本新加坡” (SGPSPL)。同时提供在线免费开设股票账户,一个账户轻松交易美股,港股,新加坡股

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