资讯 | 美联储暗示今年不加息

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美股

北京时间3月21日凌晨,美股周三收盘涨跌不一,道指收跌逾140点,银行股领跌。美联储维持利率不变,下调GDP预期,并暗示今年不再加息。美联储主席鲍威尔重申谨慎的货币政策立场。

截至收盘,道指跌141.71点,或0.55%,报25745.67点;标普500指数跌8.34点,或0.29%,报2824.23点;纳指涨5.02点,或0.07%,报7728.97点。

银行板块普遍下跌。美联储声明暗示今年不再加息、明年加息一次。声明公布后,美国国债收益率下降,使高盛(GS)、JP摩根大通(JPM)与美国运通(AXP)等金融股承压。

宏观基本面:

在结束为期两天的货币政策会议后,美联储在美东时间周三下午2点公布了货币政策会议声明。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)维持利率在2.25%-2.5%不变,称经济增长放缓,符合市场预期。

美联储还表示将放缓缩表操作,预计在9月底停止。

在此次会议上,美联储不仅决定不加息,还暗示今年不会再加息。

与3个月前的政策预测相比,美联储政策决策机构FOMC明显转向鸽派。在去年12月,FOMC曾预计2018年加息4次、2019年再加息2次是合适的,但除非情况发生重大变化,否则FOMC目前似乎不太可能加息。

FOMC在会后声明中表示,在采取任何进一步加息措施之前,它将保持“耐心”。

焦点股关注:

联邦快递(FDX)收跌3.5%。该公司第三财季业绩低于市场预期,部分原因是旗下FedEx Ground业务部门成本提高所致。这家物流企业的业绩表现通常被视为是全球经济前景的指针。

谷歌(GOOG)收高2.1%。欧盟反垄断机构周三表示谷歌阻碍竞争对手的在线搜索广告业务发展,因此对其处以14.9亿欧元的罚款。这是反垄断机构两年内对谷歌进行的第三次处罚。但欧盟的罚款似乎对谷歌股价没有影响。

2018年欧盟反垄断机构对谷歌处于43.4亿欧元的罚款,原因是谷歌利用其广受欢迎的Android移动操作系统来垄断市场。

在此之前,因阻碍购物比价网站的竞争对手,谷歌网站在2017年被罚款24.2亿欧元。

食品生产商通用磨坊(GIS)股价攀升,该公司宣布第三财季盈利超出预期,并上调了全年业绩展望。

E.W. Scripps(SSP)股价上涨。这家电视与新闻报纸出版商表示,将收购Nexstar Media Group(NXST)与Tribune Media(TRCO)在7个市场的8个电视台。

 

   

港股

北京时间3月20日,美股周二收盘涨跌不一。投资者关注有关贸易谈判进展的相互矛盾的报道,并等待美联储政策会议结果。周三开盘,港股恒生指数低开0.37%,随后在29370点上下波动。

截止收盘,恒生指数跌0.49%,报29320.97点;国企指数跌0.53%,报11624.98点;红筹指数跌0.49%,报4644.03点。

沪港通资金流向方面,沪股通净流入11.83亿,港股通(沪)净流入为4.34亿。

深港通资金流向方面,深股通净流出8.41亿,港股通(深)净流入为6.98亿。

热点板块:

中国生物制药跌3.39%,报7.13港元,领跌蓝筹;香港交易所跌1.58%。

内房股上涨。中国恒大涨1.92%;融创中国涨1.85%;碧桂园涨0.83%。

中资券商股下跌。华泰证券跌3%;中信证券跌2.82%;中国银河跌1.87%。

苹果概念股下跌。丘钛科技跌3.57%;瑞声科技跌1.96%;舜宇光学跌1.7%。

航空股下跌。中国南方航空跌1.06%;中国东方航空跌3.22%;中国国航跌2%。

碧桂园服务大涨12.04%,报13.96港元。碧桂园服务昨日午间公布,截至2018年12月31日止12个月,公司实现收入46.75亿元人民币(单位下同),同比增长49.76%;毛利约17.62亿元,同比增长70.11%;公司股东应占溢利9.23亿元,同比增长129.79%。

小米跌4.59%,报11.64港元。财报显示,报告期内实现总营收1749亿元人民币,同比增长52.6%,经调整利润86亿元人民币,同比增长59.5%。需要注意的是,小米集团经营利润较2017财年122.15亿人民币,下滑至2018财年11.96亿人民币,下滑幅度90.2%。小米的CFO周受资曾在2018年第三季度电话会议上做出解释称,小米在上市之前向雷军支付高达约99亿元人民币的股权激励开支等导致经营利润下滑。

美团跌3.75%,报价50港元。中国通海证券表示,以非共识意见给予美团点评卖出评级, 因为市场似乎并没有完全抵消其各部门竞争压力不断升级和对补贴的依赖导致周转时间长于预期所产生的负面连锁反应。近期核心产品外卖服务业的竞争压力、预期至2021年共享单车服务持续亏损状态以及成本超支压缩利润率的风险使我们对美团点评保持观望态度。我们给予34.33港元的目标价,即意味美团点评有37%的下跌空间。除了通海证券的唱空,今日美团迎来千亿市值解禁,这批股票总数量接近27亿股,以目前美团股价52.55港元计算,这批股份的总市值超过1400亿港元。

 

 

中国A股

北京时间3月20日,周三两市小幅低开后,早盘维持横盘震荡走势,盘中养殖业、稀土永磁板块的跳水,带动三大股指纷纷走低,创指失守1700点一度大跌逾3%,尾盘地产、多元金融板块轮番拉涨,各大股指探底回升,沪指率先翻红,再向3100点发起冲击,但两市个股依旧跌多涨少,资金做多意愿仍不是很足,沪股通净流入11亿,深股通净流出8亿。

截至收盘,沪指报3090.64点,跌0.01%,深成指报9800.60点,跌0.40%。

从盘面上看,工业大麻、西安自贸区、新疆振兴居板块涨幅榜前列,猪肉、氢能源、稀土永磁居板块跌幅榜前列。

热点板块:

工业大麻板块掀涨停潮,领涨两市,金鹰股份、华升股份、天津磁卡、恒丰纸业、龙津药业、诚志股份、东风股份涨停,紫鑫药业、银河生物哈药股份、德展健康等个股均有大涨表现。

新疆振兴板块崛起,板块内多股涨停,天富能源、西部建设、国际实业、新疆众和、北新路桥、天山股份、新疆天业涨停,新赛股份、国统股份、金风科技、麦趣尔等个股均有不俗表现。

多元金融板块尾盘异动拉升,表现抢眼,陕国投A、渤海租赁、九鼎投资、五矿资本、熊猫金控等个股均有不同程度拉升。

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