研报 | 平安银行股份有限公司

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平安银行:积极
买入价:CNY12.56 | 止损价:CNY10.05
目标价:CNY18.76 | 收盘价: CNY13.64
 

摘要

平安银行在中国提供商业银行服务。公司提供存款服务,贷款服务,票据服务,结算服务,信用卡服务,国际银行业务,网上银行及其他相关的服务。

 
 

2019年一季度业绩概述

平安银行 (PAB) 公布2019年一季度净利润为74亿元人民币,同比增长13%。

收入受到零售存款环比快速增长13%的推动。在银行间融资成本下降的推动下,净息差 (NIM) 环比提高了3个基点至2.53%。

公布的不良贷款率为1.73%,环比收缩了2个基点。然而,非抵押消费贷款的不良贷款百分比有所上升,是对未来资产质量的担忧之一。

总体而言,我们对2019年一季度的表现持乐观态度。主要是因为公司的存款增长强劲,而且资产质量不断改善。

 

积极方面

NIM 环比小幅上涨3个基点,但同比激增28个基点。PAB的NIM 扩张,主要得益于同业间拆借的融资成本环比下降了9个基点 (请注意,行业3个月-SHIBOR 环比下降了17个基点)。然而,我们预计,NIM的势头将会减弱,这是由于降息的压力和银行间进一步节约融资成本的上行空间有限所致。

存贷比率 (LDR) 同比上升173个基点至88.85%,但环比略有下降409个基点。零售存款环比增长13% (而企业存款环比增长6%)。随着核心资本比率环比上升21个基点至8.75%,PAB 拥有更大的贷款空间。

不断改善资产质量及不良贷款覆盖率。公布的不良贷款比率为1.73%,环比收缩了2个基点;同时,至2019年一季度末,不良贷款覆盖率环比微升15个百分点,达到171%。在监管机构将准备金覆盖率的监管要求降低到120%-150%的背景下,公司有足够的流动空间供未来使用。

非利息收入的环比增长19%,而同比增长25%。净费用的环比增长了26%,而同比增长了11%,主要是受信用卡交易量快速增长的推动。非费用收入同比增长188%,这是由于投资收入 (同比增长518%),而管理层将此归因于会计变动所致,即自2018年三季度以来,将部分的净利息收入归类为投资收入。

 
 

消极方面

非抵押个人贷款的不良贷款率持续攀升。信用卡贷款和心意贷 (XYD,无抵押个人贷款) 的不良贷款率环比分别上升2个基点和14个基点,但基数较低。

 
 

建议

总体来说,我们认为2019年一季度的业绩表现积极。主要是因为公司的存款增长强劲,以及不断改善的资产质量。

 
 

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