技术分析:海峡时报指数 意外涨幅超过2,500点,显示出STI的弹性

 

图1:海峡时报指数 (STI) 日线图 – 第三波会失效吗?

 

STI在9月底从支撑区1的上边界反弹,随后从下降趋势线突破之后,价格已开始上涨。

展望未来,尽管上周五的夜星已形成,但STI可能会破高失效,整个脉冲波3仍然很高。要确认上行,必须突破阻力区,该阻力区也是第3波的无效区。如果发生这种情况,STI可能会形成一个延长的修正波((4)),价格可能会在2,800点,较高的阻力区进行测试。

 

 
图2:海峡时报指数(STI)日线图 – 双“之”字形态?

 

另一个学派与图1的分析非常相似,其认为STI可能要对波段((4))采取长期的修正措施。图2解释了,如果波段3失效将会出现什么样的情况。

因此,在这种情况下,修正波((4))随后将继续形成双“之”字形态。仔细观察,STI在2020年3月中反弹后,似乎出现了某种分形运动。首先,较小的AB楔形实际上是((A)) ((B))和WX的较大分形图案。然而,最新和最大的下降楔形格局,其上行空间有限,价格开始恢复走低,表明多头动能丧失。因此,在这种情况下,价格走势的可能性是,价格将拒绝阻力区,并跌至2,200区域的支撑区。

然而,如果价格强烈突破直接阻力区,那么我们将看到波段X将在2,443点位形成,将价格推高至2,900-3,000区间,最终形成波段Y。

 

 

 

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