资讯 | 美联储年内三次降息,标普指数创收盘新高

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美股

北京时间10月31日凌晨,美股周三收高,标普500指数再创历史最高收盘纪录。美联储宣布降息25个基点,并暗示将暂停宽松措施。美联储主席鲍威尔称目前的货币政策是合适的。

截止收盘,道指收盘上涨115.27点,或0.43%,报27186.69点;标普500指数涨9.88点,或0.33%,报3046.77点;纳指涨27.12点,或0.33%,报8303.98点。

在结束为期两天的货币政策会议后,美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)宣布降息25个基点,将基准利率范围下调至1.50%-1.75%,为年内第三次降息,符合市场预期。美联储同时还暗示放松政策的举措可能接近停顿。

FOMC会议声明称:美联储将联邦基金利率目标下调25个基点,至1.5%-1.75%;美联储将监控信息数据以评估适当的利率路径;美联储重申经济前景仍存在不确定性,劳动力市场强劲,经济增长温和,消费一直强劲增长,但商业投资和出口“依然疲软”。

美联储重申购买国库券的计划,指出通胀低于2%,预期基本持平;美联储还将贴现率下调25个基点至2.25%。

在本次会议上,堪萨斯城联储总裁埃斯特-乔治(Esther L. George)和波士顿联储总裁埃里克-罗森格伦(Eric S. Rosengren)连续第三次对利率决策有异议,二者均支持不降息。

美联储主席鲍威尔在随后召开的新闻发布会上表示,迄今为止的政策调整将为经济提供支持。他称当前货币政策的立场可能仍然是合适的,如果前景发生实质改变,美联储将继续采取应对措施。他称国库券购买纯粹是技术性措施。

美联储宣布降息25个基点后,券商Brown Brothers Harriman的外汇策略全球主管Win Thin表示,美联储政策声明删除“采取适当措施”的措辞降低了今年再次降息的可能性。

“我认为美联储是在表示,它将等待新的信息,然后再决定是否再次下调利率,”他在美联储政策决定发布后的一封电子邮件中写道,“除非数据真的跌落悬崖,否则我认为12月不会再次降息。”

美联储宣布降息并发布上述声明后,GoldMining公司执行副总裁Jeff Wright表示:“我现在认为,美联储12月份不大可能降息,黄金将遭到抛售。这份声明比我预期的更加偏向鹰派。”

焦点个股:

通用电气(GE)第三季度总营收为234亿美元,市场预期为229.27亿美元,去年同期为295.73亿美元。

百胜餐饮集团(YUM)第三季度营收及利润不及市场预期。营收为13.39亿美元,市场预期为13.44亿美元,去年同期为13.91亿美元。按照美国通用会计准则(GAAP)计算的营业利润下降13%,非GAAP准则下营业利润增长6%。第三季度净利润为2.55亿美元,市场预期为2.94亿美元,去年同期为4.54亿美元。2019财年第三季度GAAP每股收益0.81美元,预期0.95美元,前值1.4美元。非GAAP每股收益0.8美元,预期0.94美元,前值1.04美元。

AMD第三季度营收18亿美元,同比增长9%,与此前分析师预期的18.1亿美元基本持平;净利润为1.2亿美元,同比增长近18%。同时公司下调第四季度的业绩指引。

强生(JNJ)宣布,对此前美国食品药品监督管理局测试的同一瓶婴儿爽身粉进行新测试,结果表明爽身粉中不含石棉。

苹果(AAPL)公司、Facebook(FB)和星巴克(SBUX)将于周三盘后发布财报。

 

   

港股

北京时间10月30日,周二美股小幅收跌,道指跌约20点,纳指跌0.6%。区块链概念股大跌,迅雷收跌逾16%。今日早盘,恒指低开低走。午后恒指跌幅扩大

截至收盘,港股恒指跌0.44%报26667.71点,国企指数跌0.64%,报10479.09点。红筹指数跌1.2%,报4247.38点。

热点板块:

华润置地跌1.49%,报价33.15港元,领跌蓝筹。

区块链概念多数走低。其中,雄岸科技跌逾6%,卓尔智联跌逾5%,桐成控股、国际商业结算跌逾4%。分析人士称,区块链概念的爆发有助于提升科技股的市场偏好,短期波动属于正常现象;从长线投资的角度看,区块链值得跟踪,投资者关注的重点可以放在与区块链公司有合作性质的上市公司上。

安踏股价再创新高,一度高见77港元。截至收盘,安踏体育涨1.54%,报价75.6港元。10月29日,国际奥林匹克委员会在瑞士洛桑国际奥林匹克博物馆举行了仪式,并正式宣布安踏成为国际奥委会官方体育服装供应商至2022年底。安踏成为首个与国际奥委会合作的中国体育运动品牌。

中国人寿(2628)涨1.57%,前三季度归母净利润同比增长190.4%。中金报告称,中国人寿第三季度新业务价值同比增速大幅超过市场预期,并继续领跑行业,上调今年盈利预测21%。第三季度净利润强劲增长,主要受益于投资收益大幅改善、税收政策变化,及去年同期基数较低。预计公司将在今年下半年和明年保持领先同业的强劲增长,这将有助于扭转市场对于公司高增长持续性的质疑,推动估值修复。
 

中国A股

北京时间10月30日,三大股指早盘低开,随后短线走弱。盘面上,区块链概念分化显著,前期表现强势的科技板块大面积回调,两市个股板块多半萎靡,除区块链板块以外,市场无几乎无热点题材。总体上,资金观望情绪再起,赚钱相应较差。尾盘,三大股指总体震荡走弱,虽然二胎、水产少数板块较为活跃,但多数题材概念依旧萎靡。总体上,市场氛围并未好转,个股板块跌多涨少,赚钱效应差。

截止收盘,沪指报2939.32点,跌0.50%,深成指报9681.54点,跌0.66%。

从盘面上看,数字货币、半导体、智能音箱居板块涨幅榜前列,稀土永磁、电子竞技、工业大麻板块跌幅榜前列。

热点板块:

集成电路行业走强,圣邦股份、兆易创新、富瀚微、国民技术、韦尔股份、卓胜微、北京君正等多股涨停。

消息面上分析指出,近年来,国家对半导体产业的支持力度不断加大,尤其是日前成立的国家集成电路产业投资基金二期股份有限公司,注册资本几乎是一期的两倍,这将加速国内半导体产业链崛起进程,其中,高景气的细分领域更将面临良好的机遇。

消费电子拉升,领益智造、闻泰科技、共达电声、恒铭达、欣旺达、歌尔股份等多股纷纷拉升。

消息面上分析人士表示,5G换机潮一触即发,消费电子行业有望进入新一轮景气周期。多家消费电子行业公司第三季度业绩超预期,龙头公司率先出现业绩拐点。
 
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