资讯 | 降息预期升温,美股三大股指创历史新高。北京将推行环保新规,环保板块持续走强。

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美股

北京时间7月4日凌晨,美股周三收高,三大股指均创历史最高收盘纪录。疲软的经济数据公布后,市场下注美联储将在7月底的货币政策会议上降息。

截止收盘,道指涨179.32点,或0.67%,报26966.00点;标普500指数涨22.81点,或0.77%,报2995.82点;纳指涨61.14点,或0.75%,报8170.23点。

本周四是美国的独立日,美国金融市场休市。周三美国股市提前至美东时间13:00收盘。

周三早间美国ADP机构报告称,美国6月ADP私营部门就业人数增加10.2万,增幅低于市场预期。这份疲软的经济数据公布后,市场认为美联储在7月底的货币政策会议上降息的可能性增大。

在上个月的会议上,美联储宣称将“采取适当措施”维持现有的经济扩张,暗示有可能降息。

美国总统特朗普周三在推特(36.02, -0.20, -0.55%)上发布的信息也使市场的降息预期升温。特朗普表示,美国的货币政策应该向欧洲“看齐”,他指出他们“正在进行大规模的货币操纵游戏,为了与美国竞争而向其金融系统大量注入资金。”

投资者为全球各大央行可能普遍实行宽松货币政策的前景感到欢欣鼓舞。周二,现任国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁克里斯蒂娜-拉加德(Christine Lagarde)被提名接替马里奥-德拉吉(Mario Draghi)担任欧洲央行行长。从拉加德过去的言论来看,她可能更倾向于倡导更宽松的货币政策,这将会继续提振全球市场的风险偏好。

在拉加德获得提名之前,美国总统特朗普提名圣路易斯联储银行执行副行长兼研究主任克里斯托弗-沃勒(Christopher Waller)和欧洲重建与发展银行(European Bank of Reconstruction and Development)美国执行董事朱迪-谢尔顿(Judy Shelton)担任颇具影响力的美联储理事会理事职位。

沃勒被视为是宽松货币政策的倡导者,而谢尔顿最近声称她认为“美联储应该立即降低利率”。

市场策略师表示,对各大央行实行宽松货币政策的前景预期,推动了对风险资产的需求,并推动国债价格上涨、令国债收益率下降。

周三,德国10年期国债收益率下降至-0.382%,再创历史新低。美债收益率跌幅扩大,10年期美债收益率降至1.957%,日内下跌2.42个基点;此前公布的美国6月ISM非制造业指数创2017年7月份以来新低。

宏观基本面:

美国劳工部宣布,截至6月29日,美国当周首次申请失业救济人数为22.1万,预期22.3万,前值22.7万修正为22.9万。

美国商务部周三公布的5月贸易帐数据显示,美国5月贸易逆差为555亿美元,创5个月来新高,预期532亿美元,4月份贸易逆差508亿美元修正为512亿美元。

焦点股关注:

动车生产商特斯拉(TSLA)收高4.6%。该公司在周二收盘后报告称,第二季度交付95200辆汽车,超出分析师预期,并创最高季度交付纪录。

赛门铁克(SYMC)收高13.6%。据报道,该公司已收到博通公司(AVGO)发出的收购要约。

Canopy Growth(WEED)周三宣布,公司CEO Bruce Linton即将辞职,并退出董事会。
 

   

港股

北京时间7月3日,美股早段偏软,到尾盘三大股指均转涨。标指上涨8.68点,报2973.01点,创历史新高;纳指上涨上涨17.90点;道指上涨69.30点。恒指缩量震荡收跌0.07%,报28855.14点。

热点板块:

新城发展控股尾盘跳水收跌23.9%,市值蒸发约150亿港元,旗下物管公司新城悦收跌23.7%。新城系两家港股上市公司迎来暴跌。截至收盘,新城发展控股暴跌23.86%,市值474亿港元。港股新城悦跟随新城控股暴跌23.72%,市值53.8亿港元。消息面上,新城控股董事长王某涉嫌猥亵女童案属实。稍后,上海公安方面回复界面新闻称,上市公司新城控股董事长王某涉嫌猥亵女童属实。其中,王某是新城悦的非执行董事,据wind数据,王某是新城悦实控人。

希玛眼科大涨34.31%,希玛眼科昨日盘后发布公告称,集团截至2019年6月30日止6个月的净利润同比将大幅增加超过100%。

中烟香港高开5.74%,此后涨幅扩大至40%,午后大幅跳水,一度跌超20%,收跌3.4%。中烟香港昨日暴涨52.3%。市场人士分析表示:中烟香港标的的稀缺性,是造成公司股价接连暴涨的原因。中烟香港背靠中烟集团、壁垒优势显著,为目前中烟旗下唯一的国际业务平台。

 

中国A股

北京时间7月3日,沪深两市早盘双双低开,板块个股普跌。随后指数弱势盘整,三大股指跌幅进一步扩大。盘面上,食品饮料板块表现活跃,环保板块再度异动,但通信等题材板块重挫,昨日表现强势军工板块盘中回调。个股炸板率陡增,赚钱效应较差。临近上午收盘,成交量不多缩窄,两市指数延续低位盘整态势。随着白酒等板块的拉升,沪指跌幅小幅收窄。但题材股颓势依旧,创指表现亦相对弱势。午后,指数再度走低,创指跌幅超过1.5%,沪指走势相对平稳。

截止收盘,沪指报3015.26点,跌0.94%,深成指报9419.84点,跌1.32%。

从盘面来看,中船系公司午后开盘大幅拉升,水产养殖板块异动,上午冲高的白酒板块午后迅速走低。总体上看,市场人气依旧低迷。尾盘,指数再度走弱随后弱势盘整,沪指一度跌至3000点附近,创指一度跌幅达2%,而后指数均有所回升。

热点板块:

食品饮料板块拉涨,新乳业、惠发股份、友有食品、维维股份、大康农业、贝因美、金健米业等个股纷纷拉升跟涨。

消息面上商务部7月2日举行“一促两稳”专题新闻发布会,商务部市场运行司副司长王斌表示,当前消费市场总体呈现平稳运行的态势,居民刚性消费需求保持较快增长,下一步将针对汽车、家电消费回落的情况研究进一步促消费的举措。针对消费市场的这些变化,商务部进一步加强政策的跟踪评估,并根据形势发展的需要,会同有关部门研究进一步促进消费的政策举措。

环保板块持续走强,汉宇集团、清水源、维尔利、中国天楹、中环装备、津膜科技等跟涨。

消息面上7月2日晚,媒体报道北京将推动垃圾分类立法,罚款不低于上海。但北京的垃圾分类标准与上海并不完全一致,分为厨余垃圾、有害垃圾、其它垃圾及可回收物。
 
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