腾飞房地产信托(Ascendas REIT)

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总收益和DPU 与我们的预期相符。

26个物流资产来自英国的第二投资组合,收入几乎贡献了整个季度。

为Grab位于one-north的新总部打造量身定制的开发项目。

维持增持评级。由于DPU的估值提高,上调目标价至新元2.88 (先前目标价为新元2.78)

对新加坡的医疗保健部门维持中性评级。

 

积极方面

新加坡所有细分市场都出现了正向租金逆转。五个细分市场的租金逆转介于+ 1.7%至+10.3% 之间,而加权平均值为+3.2%。 澳洲和英国没有签署续约协议。

收购英国26个物流物业的第二投资组合于10月4日完成。目前,8亿新元的英国投资组合占腾飞房产信托投资组合总额的7%,而上一季度这一占比为3%。英国投资组合的加权平均租赁期限 (WALE) 较长,为11.3年,而新加坡的WALE为3.9年,从而提供了收入的可见性。在英国投资组合中最早的租约到期时间为2021财年。

整个投资组合的占有率环比保持稳定,由90.6% 略升至91.3%。这是由新加坡和英国投资组合所推动的。就新加坡而言,因有新的进驻使其占有率提高至87.3%,而扩大后的英国投资组合仍保持100% 的占有率。

为Grab 位于one-north的总部获得了1.81亿新元的配套定制项目。该资产将是一个建筑面积为42,310 平方米的商业园区物业。预期将于2020年第四季度完成。(相比之下,腾飞房产信托位于Tampines的Giant Hypermart 物业的建筑面积为42,194 平方米。) 它的租期很长,为11年,而每年的租金上涨和续租选项为五年。从整个宏大计划来看,该物业不会对目前投资额为111亿新元的腾飞房产信托产生实质性影响。

 

消极方面

环比的总杠杆率上升,但这并不令人感到意外。由于新债务为英国第二投资组合提供了部分融资,使杠杆率从33.2% 上升至36.7%。在我们之前的报告中, 我们估计截至2019财年末,杠杆率为36.4%。

 

投资行动
前景乐观。总投资组合中,在2019年四季度面临到期的租约仅占总租金收入的1.6%。虽然2020财年将有18.6%的租赁需要续租,但大部分是由多租户的建筑组成;因此来自单个租户转换产生的潜在影响是有限的。

维持增持评级;新的目标价为新元2.88 (先前目标价为新元2.78)

我们预计收益率约为6% 将保持稳定,因为这个大型投资组合是多元化的,不会受到任何单一物业的实质性影响。我们的目标价对2019财年末的远期股价与净资产比率设定为1.34 倍。

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