中国美国通胀数据出炉,市场承压.

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美股

北京时间6月13日凌晨,美股周三收跌,主要股指录得连续第二个交易日下滑。美国5月CPI数据显示通胀压力低迷,使美联储在今年降息的压力大增。地缘政治不确定性增加,避险偏好提高,美国原油重挫4%创5个月新低,美债收益率下滑。
截至收盘,道指跌43.68点,或0.17%,报26004.83点;标普500指数跌5.88点,或0.2%,报2879.84点;纳指跌29.85点,或0.38%,报7792.72点。科技与银行板块领跌。高盛集团(GS)、思科系统公司(CSCO)、沃尔格林联合博姿集团(WBA)、摩根大通(JPM)、英特尔(INTC)、美国运通(AXP)及IBM等普遍收跌。受到原油期货价格重挫影响,埃克森美孚(XOM)与雪佛龙(CVX)等原油公司均录得跌幅。CPI报告公布后,市场避险偏好提高,美债受到追捧,收益率下跌。黄金与日元攀升。美元汇率走低。周三美国10年期收益率下跌2.3个基点,降至2.112%。2年期国债收益率重挫5.7个基点,降至1.869%。30年期国债收益率下降1.9个基点,降至2.595%。本周关键数据是周五的美国零售销售报告。虽然美国数据风险偏高,但当前的市场定价也表明美联储减息预期仍可能继续提高。因此任何糟糕的数据都将进一步打压美元和美债收益率。投资者对保护主义和全球增长的担忧重新浮现。分析师认为,由于无法保证紧张局势能在G20会议上得到解决,市场不确定性正在增大。

宏观基本面:经济数据面,美国劳工部周三报告称,5月消费者价格指数(CPI)环比增长0.1%,符合市场预期。但扣除食品与能源因素之后的核心CPI仅环比增长0.1%,低于市场预期。数据还表明,扣除能源和食品因素的核心CPI指数同比上涨2%,涨幅低于预期;连续四个月环比上涨0.1%,也低于预期。总体CPI同比上涨1.8%,低于预期。

焦点股关注:高通(QCOM)收跌2.3%。此前美国联邦贸易委员会驳回了高通申请暂缓执行反垄断裁决的请求。人造肉第一股Beyond Meat(BYND)收盘大涨12.6%。周二该股大幅下跌,因其遭摩根大通降评级至中性。思科(CSCO)股价走低。券商William Blair今日将其评级降至与大市持平。波音(BA)收跌0.66%。美国联邦航空管理局表示,波音737 MAX确定能将在年底前复飞。一旦确认安全,737 MAX将恢复服务。Facebook(FB)收跌1.7%。该公司表示,每月有超过7.2亿人和每天超过1.4亿人至少花一分钟在Facebook Watch上。亚马逊(AMZN)宣布终止在美外卖送餐业务“亚马逊餐厅”。谷歌(GOOG)改革游说团队以应对美国监管机构审查。谷歌解雇了大约6家游说公司,这是该公司全球政府事务和政策运营重大改革的一部分。

 

   

港股

北京时间6月12日,周二美股三大指数高开低走;港股ADR指数全日偏软。周三早盘,港股遭遇重挫,恒指低开低走,午后跌幅继续扩大,重挫550点,跌幅一度超2%。截至收盘,港股恒指跌1.73%,报27308.46点;国企指数跌1.18%,报10495点;红筹指数跌1.27%,报4308.6点。沪港通资金流向方面,沪股通净流入14.67亿,港股通(沪)净流入21.97亿。深港通资金流向方面,深股通净流出1.82亿,港股通(深)净流入10.73亿。

热点板块:科网股集体走低,舜宇跌6%,金山跌6.73%,富智康跌6.25%,金蝶国际跌5.11%。券商股走低,其中,华泰证券跌5.3%,海通国际跌4.8%,海通证券跌3.9%,中国银河跌3.6%。黄金股部分走高,招金矿业涨5.87%,山东黄金涨5.3%,紫金矿业涨2.87%。人民银行日前公布的数据显示,截至5月底,黄金储备达6161万盎司,较4月末增加51万盎司,是自2018年12月以来连续第6个月增持黄金储备.世界黄金协会在5月初发布的一份报告中称,今年首季度全球央行的黄金购买量创下6年来最高水平。

中烟香港周三挂牌高开1.84%,涨幅一度扩大至20%,收涨9.63%,报价5.35港元。据中烟香港公告,公司将于6月12日在港挂牌上市,每股发行价4.88港元,集资净额约7.35亿港元。截至2018年底,中烟香港在香港仅有28名雇员,员工总成本共计约2591.4万元港元。2018年,中烟香港收入约为70.33亿港元,意味着人均年创收逾2.5亿港元。

据悉,中国烟草利税总额相当于华为的15倍,如果将“两桶油”、“四大行”、“BAT”2017年的利润相加,即中石油+中石化+百度+阿里巴巴+腾讯+工行+中行+农行+建行=1.14万亿,才勉强超过中国烟草总公司的工商利税总额。大约20个阿里巴巴才能赶得上中国烟草总公司。

东方教育跌11.82%,报价9.92港元。中国东方教育公布,全球发售4.358亿股,其中香港发售3317.1万股,国际配售约4.02亿股;发售价每股11.25港元;每手500股;2019年6月12日上市。同俞敏洪创办的新东方英语不同,1988年成立的中国东方教育控股有限公司(以下简称中国东方教育)主要从事厨师教育,成立时间早于新东方英语,总部位于安徽省合肥市。

 

中国A股

北京时间6月12日,经过昨日的大涨之后,三大股指早盘集体低开,随后指数经过一段的时间的盘整后小幅拉升,但随后指数迅速回落。券商、黄金板块小幅异动,但对指数反弹动能明显不足,随后指数再度走低。盘面上,临近上午收盘,指数呈现低位盘整态势,两市成交量小幅萎缩,热点题材轮动加快。板块方面,种植板块受到资金热捧迅速崛起,稀土永磁板块后劲不足,炸板率小幅攀升。市场题材板块间资金抢夺较激烈,仍处存量博弈的阶段。总体上,市场赚钱效应较差,资金谨慎情绪浓厚,板块个股跌多涨少。午后,三大股指继续走低,沪指在2900点关口上方震荡,随后指数稍显回升。稀土永磁板块午后小幅跳水后有所回暖,板块内炸板率小幅攀升。市场人气稍显低迷,整体上两市股指维持低位震荡态势。尾盘,指数稍有回弹后再度下行,随后沪指延续横盘整理格局,创指走势大同小异,深成指再度下探至9000点关口下方。总体上, 资金观望情绪依旧浓厚,赚钱效应较差,个股炸板率较高。

截至收盘,沪指报2909.38点,跌0.56%,深成指报5954.72点,跌0.92%从盘面来看,种植业、稀土、黄金居板块涨幅榜前列,汽车、分散染料、工业大麻板块跌幅榜前列。

宏观基本面:中国5月CPI同比增长2.7%,创15个月新高,预期2.7%,前值2.5%。中国月PPI同比 0.6%,预期0.6%,前值0.9%。统计局表示,鲜果价格处历史高位,同比涨26.7%,环比涨10.1%,主要原因是去年苹果和梨减产,今年库存不足,加之今年南方阴雨天气较多,时令鲜果市场供应减少。猪肉因受天气变热等影响,消费需求减弱。

热点板块:稀土永磁持续走强,鸿达兴业、中钢天源、正海磁材、金力永磁、横店东磁、章源钨业等个股纷纷走强。消息面上国家发改委近日下发《关于开展稀土等战略性矿产资源情况调研的通知》,自6月10日起,由国家发改委、工信部、自然资源部相关司局负责人分别带队,赴内蒙古、江西、福建、湖南、广东、广西、四川省(区)开展调研。据了解,由发改委牵头联合工信部、自然资源部到各地调研稀土等战略性矿产资源情况,力度空前。5G板块逆市上涨路通视信、铭普光磁、兴瑞科技、华体科技、新雷能、亚光科技等个股均跟涨。消息面上在5G牌照发放后,第一阶段场景的最大应用之一就是VR/AR产业,这是一个万亿级别的产业,在痛点解决后接下来就是逐步放量的阶段,需要重点关注VR/AR设备商、沉浸式游戏开发和运营商龙头的主题投资机会。

 
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