SIA Demonstrates Resilience Despite Fuel Cost Surge, Phillip Securities Raises Target to S$7.35 August 11, 2026
Company Overview
Singapore Airlines (SIA) operates as a leading international carrier, providing passenger and cargo services globally. The airline has positioned itself as a premium operator in the competitive aviation sector, leveraging its strategic location and service quality to capture market share.
Strong Revenue Growth Amid Operational Challenges
Phillip Securities Research maintains a NEUTRAL recommendation on Singapore Airlines whilst raising the target price to S$7.35 from S$6.43, following the company’s mixed first quarter performance for fiscal year 2027.
SIA delivered impressive revenue growth of 19.3% year-on-year to S$5,714 million, representing 27% of full-year estimates and exceeding expectations. However, the airline reported a net loss of S$76 million compared to a profit of S$186 million in the previous year, primarily due to substantial fuel cost increases and associate losses.
Record Revenue Performance Drives Positives
The airline achieved record revenue performance across both passenger and cargo segments. Passenger revenue surged 18.6% to S$4,582 million, supported by carrying 10.9 million passengers, a 6.3% increase year-on-year, whilst passenger yields rose 12.0% to 11.2 cents per passenger kilometre. The cargo division demonstrated even stronger growth, with revenue jumping 33.5% to S$708 million. Cargo load factor improved 1.9 percentage points to 58.8%, driven by semiconductor and data-centre-related demand, whilst cargo yields increased substantially by 28.1%.
Management highlighted that SIA successfully captured spillover passenger and cargo traffic as Middle Eastern carriers reduced capacity due to regional conflicts. However, this competitive advantage is expected to diminish in the second quarter as competing capacity is progressively restored, likely moderating future yield gains.
SIA’s balance sheet remains robust with a modest net debt position of S$264 million. Total debt increased marginally from S$10,644.7 million to S$10,743.9 million, including a new S$285 million offshore bond issuance largely offset by other debt repayments. The group maintains access to S$3.24 billion of undrawn committed credit lines, providing substantial financial flexibility.
Fuel Cost Pressures Present Primary Challenge
The primary headwind facing SIA is the dramatic surge in fuel costs. Net fuel costs jumped 78.5% to S$2,253 million as gross fuel costs more than doubled due to elevated jet fuel prices following Middle East conflicts. Management indicated fuel expenses have risen from approximately 28% to 40% of group expenditure this quarter. This increase was partially mitigated by a S$436 million favourable hedging gain, with 46% of first quarter fuel needs hedged through the company’s programmatic hedging strategy.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What was SIA's financial performance in the first quarter?
A: Revenue increased 19.3% year-on-year to S$5,714 million, exceeding expectations, but the company reported a net loss of S$76 million compared to a S$186 million profit the previous year, primarily due to higher fuel costs and associate losses.
Q: How did passenger operations perform during the quarter?
A: SIA carried 10.9 million passengers, up 6.3% year-on-year, with passenger revenue rising 18.6% to S$4,582 million. Passenger yields increased 12.0% to 11.2 cents per passenger kilometre, though load factor eased 0.5 percentage points to 87.1%.
Q: What drove the strong cargo performance?
A: Cargo revenue grew 33.5% to S$708 million, supported by semiconductor and data-centre-related demand. Cargo load factor improved 1.9 percentage points to 58.8%, whilst cargo yields surged 28.1%.
Q: How significant was the fuel cost impact?
A: Net fuel costs jumped 78.5% to S$2,253 million, with fuel expenses rising from approximately 28% to 40% of group expenditure. This was partially offset by a S$436 million favourable hedging gain.
Q: What is SIA's current financial position?
A: SIA maintains a strong balance sheet with net debt of only S$264 million and access to S$3.24 billion of undrawn committed credit lines, providing substantial financial flexibility.
Q: What is Phillip Securities Research recommendation?
A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a NEUTRAL rating whilst raising the target price to S$7.35 from S$6.43, citing SIA's strong operating performance and lower leverage compared to peers.
Q: How sustainable are the current revenue trends?
A: Management expects the tailwind from capturing Middle Eastern spillover traffic to fade in the second quarter as competing capacity is restored, likely moderating future yield gains.
Q: What hedging strategy does SIA employ for fuel costs?
A: SIA operates a programmatic hedging strategy, with 46% of first quarter fuel needs hedged. The company continuously layers on hedging positions, suggesting higher coverage for future periods.
This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.
Disclaimer
These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products.
Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance.
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries.
The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries.
Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned.
This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
About the author
Hashim Osman
Hashim graduated from the National University of Singapore with a degree in Business Administration.
SpaceX Faces Financial Headwinds Despite Connectivity Boom, SELL Recommendation at US$75 Target 
Sheng Siong Maintains Strong Performance but Valuation Concerns Prompt Neutral Rating with S$3.31 Target 
CapitaLand Ascott Trust Maintains Growth Trajectory Despite Near-Term Headwinds, BUY Rating with S$1.08 Target Price 
Apple Inc. Faces Near-Term Headwinds Despite Strong Demand, Downgraded to REDUCE with US$290 Target Price 
