Weekly Updates 12/5/25 – 16/5/25 May 13, 2025
This weekly update is designed to help you stay informed and relate economic and company earnings to potentially value-add your CFD (Contract For Difference) trading via hedging (risk reducing). This article should be used for educational purposes only and not as financial advice. We urge all traders to carry out your own due diligence before submitting trades.
Recap for last week (05 May – 09 May 2025)
*These prices are taken based on the previous Monday’s opening price and the preceding Friday’s closing price.
Last week major US equities indexes had losses with the S&P 500 dipped by 0.13% while the DJI has the biggest fall of 0.32%. Investors are closely watching the tariff developments ahead of a weekend meeting between US and China which could most likely cause a huge impact on market sentiment. A stock to take note is that Tesla shares jumped about 4.7% for the third week straight due to positive sentiment on the new US trade deals including a potential tariff reduction on Chinese imports. Despite this positive momentum, Tesla faced declining sales in Europe and China with UK registrations dropping 62% YoY and Germany is looking at a 46% decline. Tesla has since been adjusting their strategy by introducing a new rear-drive Model Y while offering a cheaper financing option to boost demand.
Updates for the week (12 May – 16 May 2025)
The data below showing the economic releases read as “Analyst’s estimate/ Consensus | Previous data”.
This week ahead focuses on the CPI Data and Retail Sales data coming out of the US, with CPI YoY expected to be 2.4% while the CPI MoM is expected to increase to 0.3% from -0.1%. With the delayed effects of tariffs not yet felt by US businesses and consumers, any uptick in CPI data could signal the beginning of the effects of tariffs being passed down to the consumer. The US Fed and analysts are keeping a close eye on CPI data as the FOMC has signaled that it does not forecast having any rate cuts for 2025 due to uncertainty and CPI being above 2%.
US earnings releases for this week focus on Cisco which is set to release their fiscal 3Q earnings on Wednesday. Analysts are expecting their EPS of $0.92 which reflect a 4.5% YoY increase with revenue projected at $14.1 billion (that is a 11% YoY rise). The UBS Global Research analyst (David Vogt) notes that the company’s strong enterprise demand for Cisco’s networking and AI products could drive revenue upside for the current quarter. Investors are eyeing on its updates on AI infrastructure orders and quantum computing advancements. Another worthy stock to pay attention to will be Walmart. It’s Q1 earnings are released on Thursday where the retail giant has outperformed the broader market in 2025 gaining a total of 10% total return basis while the S&P 500 has declined 3.8% YTD. Economists suggest that Walmart is considered a go-to stock during recessionary periods due to its outstanding performance during this kind of period. Market participants will be watching closely to see if Walmart maintains its resilience amid economic uncertainty.
Nasdaq: Trading Opportunity by Jorell Low
Key Entry Price Pivot(s)
- 78.32
Recommended Trade
- Long above 78.32
- Stop Loss: 75.0
- Take Profit: 84.15
Alternative Case
- Short at 78.32
- Stop Loss: 81.0
- Take Profit: 69.97
Remarks
- Price has currently broken out of a key resistance at 78.32 due to improving trade relations between China and the US.
- Price also broken and held above the 200-day moving average, showing bullish strength.
- As the current trend remains bullish, we can enter in longs on the retest of the key resistance at 78.32, targeting the previous All-Time-High of 84.15, with a stop below the resistance at 75.
- Alternatively, if the price breaks below the resistance of 78.32 and struggles to stay above it, the strategy shifts to a short position, targeting the next level of support at 69.97, with a stop loss above the recent high at around 81.
If you have any feedback or questions, feel free to email us at samht@phillip.com.sg or onishathyeyn@phillip.com.sg or cfd@phillip.com.sg.
Disclaimer
This material is provided to you for general information only and does not constitute a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to buy or sell the investment product mentioned. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation or any of your particular needs.
Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and not liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of your acting based on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks.
The risk of loss in leveraged trading can be substantial. You may sustain losses in excess of your initial funds and may be called upon to deposit additional margin funds at short notice. If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your positions may be liquidated.
The resulting deficits in your account are subject to penalty charges. The value of investments denominated in foreign currencies may diminish or increase due to changes in the rates of exchange.
You should also be aware of the commissions and finance costs involved in trading leveraged products. This product may not be suitable for clients whose investment objective is preservation of capital and/or whose risk tolerance is low.
Clients are advised to understand the nature and risks involved in margin trading. You may wish to obtain advice from a qualified financial adviser, pursuant to a separate engagement, before making a commitment to purchase any of the investment products mentioned herein. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a qualifies financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest and we do not offer any advice in this regard unless mandated to do so by way of a separate engagement.
You are advised to read the trading account Terms & Conditions and Risk Disclosure Statement (available online at www.poems.com.sg) before trading in this product. Any CFD offered is not approved or endorsed by the issuer or originator of the underlying securities and the issuer or originator is not privy to the CFD contract. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
CFD Disclaimer
Investments are subject to investment risks. The risk of loss in leveraged trading can be substantial. You may sustain losses in excess of your initial funds and may be called upon to deposit additional margin funds at short notice. If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your positions may be liquidated. The resulting deficits in your account are subject to penalty charges. The value of investments denominated in foreign currencies may diminish or increase due to changes in the rates of exchange. You should also be aware of the commissions and finance costs involved in trading leveraged products. This product may not be suitable for clients whose investment objective is preservation of capital and/or whose risk tolerance is low. Clients are advised to understand the nature and risks involved in margin trading.
You may wish to obtain advice from a qualified financial adviser, pursuant to a separate engagement, before making a commitment to purchase any of the investment products mentioned herein. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a qualified financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest and we do not offer any advice in this regard unless mandated to do so by way of a separate engagement. You are advised to read the trading account Terms & Conditions and Risk Disclosure Statement (available online at https://www.poems.com.sg/) before trading in this product.
Any CFD offered is not approved or endorsed by the issuer or originator of the underlying securities and the issuer or originator is not privy to the CFD contract.
This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
This material is intended for general circulation only and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products.
About the author
Sam Hei Tung (Assistant Manager, Dealing) | Onisha Thye (Dealing)
Sam graduated from National University of Singapore with a Master of Science in Finance. He personally manages his own investment portfolio and does equity and economic research in his free time. Sam believes that education and information is essential to making good financial decisions.
Onisha is a dealer at the CFD Dealing Desk. She graduated from Monash University with a double major in finance and econometrics. Her natural curiosity for finance is what drove her to be in this field as she is fascinated by all the possibilities and opportunities.
