Top 10 Traded US Stocks on POEMS in September 2020 October 12, 2020
Here’s September’s top 10 traded US stocks on Phillip’s Online Electronic Mart System (POEMS), based on gross market value traded. We hope the list will give you a macroeconomic view and insights into the liquidity and consumer trends that could affect these popularly traded stocks.
All three U.S. major indices - Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite - closed lower in September. The Dow was the only index with negative year-to-date returns of about -3.5%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit new highs on 2 September, before giving up some gains to return a positive 7%.
September was a volatile month. The volatility index or VIX spiked to 38 in the earlier part of the month, before settling at 25-30. As the race for COVID-19 vaccines cooled down, pharma and biotech stocks like Moderna (MRNA) and Sorrento Therapeutic (SRNE) dropped out of the top 10 list. This month was the first time tech-related names made a clean sweep of the list, reflecting investors’ continued risk appetite for tech players.
Starting from the 10th position:10th: DocuSign Inc (NASDAQ: DOCU)
DocuSign, which offers e-signature services, is a newbie in the list, making it to the 10th position. It has been on a roar since the start of the pandemic, rising close to 400% from its low in March to a high in September. It was, however, not immune to the tech sell-off in early September. It retreated by close to 30%, to below US$200. From there, it has recovered slightly.
With lockdowns continuing all over the world, work-from-home stocks are reaping the benefits of structural changes in business operations. The pandemic has boosted DocuSign’s subscription revenue by 38%1. However, its meteoric rise has also generated concerns about its valuations vs growth potential.9th: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
After two months of absence, the most valuable chipmaker in the US regained a spot in this month’s list. During the tech sell-off in early September, Nvidia’s stock shed by more than 15%. Its retracement has taken some steam off this high-growth stock, which some think is massively overvalued.
After its recent US$40bn acquisition of chip designer, Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARMH), Nvidia is set to become the world’s premier computing company in the age of AI2. This acquisition should bolster its competitive position vis-à-vis rivals such as Intel and AMD. That said, the deal is still under the consideration of the U.K. government for potential national-security issues and loss of crucial home-ground technology. It is also subject to regulatory approval in the US and China.8th: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE: BABA)
Chinese tech darling, Alibaba, hasn’t ceded its place among the top 10. After the market retracement earlier in the month, Alibaba has rebounded and is within 5% of its all-time high.
As the largest e-commerce provider in China, Alibaba’s earnings beat analysts’ expectations in the most recent August quarter. Unlike some of the other industries which are reeling under the virus, the pandemic has helped Alibaba thrive, thanks to its pole position in the digital space.
The rebound in its share price in the last week of the quarter may be attributed to one of its fastest-growing businesses: cloud computing. This segment is expected to be profitable within the next financial year3. There is more room for growth, backed by increasing demand for big data and immense computing power.7th: Facebook Inc (NASDAQ: FB)
Facebook has been on the list for the fourth consecutive month, since our series started in June. The social-media giant’s share price dipped from a high of over US$300 to a low of US$244 in September's tech sell-off. The correction has allowed investors to enter at a lower price or lower average cost of investment.
While Facebook has been battered by accusations of violations of data privacy and the promotion of misinformation and hate speeches, it continues to grow. Earnings beat analysts' estimates in the second quarter of 2020. The company added 100mn new monthly users for its flagship Facebook service, which lifted its monthly active users from 2.6bn in Q1 to 2.7bn in Q2.4
Facebook has also taken its first step to monetise WhatsApp, by introducing WhatsApp Pay in Brazil. As e-commerce becomes a bigger component of its business, WhatsApp Pay arguably represents a new frontier in the maturing social-media industry.6th: CrowdStrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: CRWD)
Cyber security has been a big winner of the COVID-19 pandemic. Demand for such services is at an all-time high as companies all over scramble to keep their operations running remotely. It is, therefore, not surprising to see CrowdStrike, a cyber security company, popping up in the sixth spot this month.
CrowdStrike’s revenue leapfrogged from US$52.7mn in FY2017 to US$481.4mn in FY2020.5
Its cloud-based endpoint security software has become essential in today's work-from-home environment. This software extends the defensive perimeter from an office to employees' devices by leveraging CrowdStrike's protective cloud-based threat intelligence. Its acquisition of Preempt Security for US$96mn in September is expected to enhance its platform further with identity security capabilities.5th: Square Inc (NYSE: SQ)
Digital-payment and financial-service businesses have been super-charged by consumers’ shift to e-commerce during COVID-19. One of the top performers in this sector has to be Square, which made it to the fifth position in September.
This mobile-payment company was one of the top-performing stocks in recent years - gaining more than 1,200% in the last five years. So far this year, its share price has rallied by more than 150%.
As COVID-19 has led to a paradigm shift in consumer behaviour, Square can be expected to continue to enjoy high demand, as people hunker down and work from home.4th: Zoom Video Communications Inc (NASDAQ: ZM)
Zoom shot up from 10th position in August to fourth this month. The American communications company’s share price has rocketed by about 600% year to date. Its market cap is now higher than IBM’s!
Demand for its products and services continues to climb, in the current remote-working and online-learning environment. However, with a price-earnings ratio of 600x, it is trading way above its historical valuations. Which makes it susceptible to wild price fluctuations in today's volatile market conditions.3rd: Nio Inc (NYSE: NIO)
The electric-vehicle fever shows no signs of screeching to a halt. Nio has maintained its third position for three consecutive months.
Following the Beijing International Auto Exhibition 2020 in September, Nio’s share price continues to advance, after it announced upgrades to its smart-operating system and the introduction of a new driver assistance functionality.6 Nio will also be adding faster charging options at several charging facilities under its battery-as-a-service offering.
Nio's share price jumped by another 10% on 29 September, after Deutsche Bank's analyst wrote that its high-quality premium branding may resonate with consumers, potentially helping it become a long-term winner in the electric-vehicle race.72nd: Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL)
After its stock split, Apple now looks cheaper and more affordable at around US$100+ apiece. However, history repeated itself and Apple traded lower after its stock split. Its share price dropped all the way to US$103.1 from a high of US$137.98 on 2 September. Thereafter, the stock managed to recoup some losses and rebounded to around US$115. This made it the first runner-up in September.
Apple was supposed to make its annual product launch - new-generation iPhone - in September. It unveiled its new Apple Watch and iPad in mid-September, with some new features and services8. However, its new iPhone launch has been delayed to October this year due to delays in chip shipments.1st: Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA)
The leading electric-vehicle maker, Tesla again topped the list, for the third consecutive month. Immediately after its stock split, Tesla’s share price receded to its September low of US$329.88. It lost 35% within a week of its split from a high of US$502.49. In the latter part of September, its share price stabilised at US$400-450.
Tesla hosted its 2020 Battery Day on 22 September. Major announcements included eliminating cobalt in its battery production, Model S to top 200mph and a new cathode plant to streamline its battery production9. Elon Musk also suggested that with a lower cost of producing batteries, Tesla will be able to make a US$25,000 electric car eventually.That’s all, folks!
While COVID-19 and US-China trade wars continue to dominate headlines, the coming US election on 3 November bears close watching. Follow us as we bring you insights and analysis of the election and its potential impact on the various sectors.Reference:
-  https://investor.docusign.com/investors/press-releases/press-release-details/2020/DocuSign-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2020-Financial-Results/
-  https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-to-acquire-arm-for-40-billion-creating-worlds-premier-computing-company-for-the-age-of-ai
-  https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/30/alibaba-cloud-business-will-become-profitable-for-the-first-time.html
-  https://variety.com/2020/digital/news/facebook-q2-revenue-beats-wall-street-estimates-despite-covid-1234721122/
-  https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/09/27/crowdstrike-to-expand-its-cybersecurity-platform-a/
-  https://www.benzinga.com/news/20/09/17677473/nio-shares-rise-after-ev-maker-announces-autopilot-feature-faster-charging-options
-  https://www.barrons.com/articles/nio-electric-cars-could-become-an-iconic-brand-says-analyst-51601394855
-  https://www.apple.com/sg/newsroom/2020/09/new-apple-watch-and-ipad-features-enable-wellness-fitness-and-creativity/
-  https://www.theverge.com/2020/9/22/21450840/tesla-battery-day-production-elon-musk-tabless-range-cathode-cobalt-plaid
About the author
Allen Tan (Senior Dealer), Lee Yong Heng (Dealer) and Joel Lim (ETF Specialist)
Allen graduated from Nanyang Technological University with a Bachelor’s Degree, majoring in Economics with a minor in Business. He joined Phillip Securities in 2016 as an Equity Dealer in the Global Markets Team. He specialises in the US and Canada market and also supports the UK and Europe market. Yong Heng joined Phillip Securities in June 2020 this year as an Equity Dealer in the Global Markets Team. He specializes in the US and Canada markets assisting clients and also supports the UK and Europe markets. Yong Heng graduated with First Class Honours from Singapore Institute of Management, University of London (SIM-GE) in 2015 with a Bachelor’s Degree in Economics & Finance. He also completed his CFA studies last year. Joel graduated from Singapore Institute of Management, University of London with a First-Class Honours in Business. He was the recipient of SIM University of London’s Top Student Bronze Award in 2017 and was the worldwide examination topper for the “Financial Management” module in 2016. Joel was also commended by University of London for his excellent performance in the 2014 Examinations. Joel is involved in ETF education, providing trading ideas and support to traders, dealers and fund managers. Joel also works closely with ETF issuers to educate retail investors about new ETFs during the Initial Offering Period.