Contrarian Strategy
Table of Contents
Contrarian Strategy
Investors frequently find themselves at the intersection of conventional wisdom and unusual success in the constantly changing financial markets. One strategy that has stood the test of time and confounded traditional approaches is the Contrarian Strategy. A good alternative for investors trying to understand the intricate workings of financial markets is the contrarian method. Contrarian investors can uncover hidden gems and succeed in the markets by challenging the status quo and embracing opportunities diverging from popular sentiment. While not without its challenges, the contrarian approach has proven its mettle in the portfolios of some of the most successful investors in history.
Who is a Contrarian?
Contrarianism is a mindset that deviates from the consensus and challenges prevailing market sentiment. Contrarians are individuals who go against the crowd, questioning popular beliefs and making decisions that differ from the majority. This contrarian approach can be particularly powerful in the realm of investing, where emotional reactions and herd mentality often drive market movements.
Contrarianism extends beyond mere dissent; it is a deliberate strategy aimed at capitalising on the emotional reactions and herd mentality that often drive market fluctuations. By analysing market sentiment and identifying instances where assets are mispriced due to collective overreactions, contrarians position themselves to exploit potential market inefficiencies. This strategy requires a keen understanding of market dynamics, a willingness to challenge popular narratives, and the patience to wait for the market to recognise the underlying value of contrarian positions.
Understanding Contrarian Strategy
Understanding the Contrarian Strategy is akin to navigating financial markets with a contrarian compass, guiding investors away from the conventional currents of popular sentiment. This strategic approach involves a deliberate departure from mainstream investment norms. Contrarian investors actively seek opportunities where market consensus diverges, capitalising on the mispricing of assets resulting from emotional reactions and prevailing herd mentalities.
The crux of the Contrarian Strategy lies in recognising that markets often overreact to news, events, or prevailing trends, leading to temporary misalignments between an asset’s intrinsic value and its market price. By identifying such discrepancies, contrarians position themselves to benefit from the eventual correction as markets sober up to the true worth of an investment.
Understanding the Contrarian Strategy becomes a valuable tool for investors navigating the dynamic global markets. It demands a keen eye for market sentiment, a contrarian mindset willing to question consensus, and the ability to patiently weather periods of divergence before the market aligns with the contrarian’s perspective.
Breaking down the Contrarian Strategy
Contrarian strategy encompasses several key principles:
Opposing the Crowd Mentality: At its core, the Contrarian Strategy involves going against the prevailing sentiments of the majority. Instead of succumbing to the influence of popular market trends, contrarians actively seek opportunities where the consensus view may be flawed.
Analysing Market Overreactions: Contrarians scrutinise instances where markets exhibit irrational exuberance or unwarranted pessimism. By identifying these overreactions, they position themselves to exploit potential mispricing in assets, anticipating a correction in the market sentiment.
Value Identification: Unlike traditional approaches, contrarians prioritise the identification of undervalued assets over conforming to popular investment choices. This entails a meticulous analysis of fundamental factors, such as earnings, dividends, and book values, to gauge the intrinsic worth of an investment.
Working of Contrarian Strategy
Contrarian investors actively look for assets that are out of favour or unpopular. They use various indicators, such as:
Market Sentiment Analysis: Contrarian strategy begins with a meticulous analysis of market sentiment. By scrutinising prevailing opinions and emotions within the market, investors identify instances where the consensus deviates significantly from the intrinsic value of an asset.
Identifying Overreactions: Contrarians focus on situations where the market reacts excessively to positive or negative news, leading to mispricing. This approach involves recognising when investors become overly optimistic or pessimistic, creating opportunities for contrarians to take a position counter to the prevailing sentiment.
Risk Management: An effective risk management plan is essential to contrarian thinking. Investors reduce risk by diversifying their portfolios and adhering to a strict position-sizing strategy because they understand that not all contrarian wagers will be profitable.
When the majority is excessively bullish or bearish, contrarians take the opposite stance, anticipating a reversal. By embracing the discomfort of swimming against the tide, contrarians position themselves to benefit from the eventual market correction. This approach relies on the idea that, eventually, the market would realize an asset’s true value, providing contrarian investors with advantageous returns. By adopting a contrarian strategy, investors can potentially exploit market misjudgments and emerge successful in a landscape where adaptability and astuteness are crucial.
Examples of Contrarian Investors
Several notable contrarian investors have successfully employed this strategy:
Warren Buffett: While renowned as a value investor, Buffett’s contrarian moves during market downturns, such as the 2008 financial crisis, showcase his ability to go against prevailing sentiments.
John Templeton: Famous for his contrarian approach, Templeton bought stocks in the midst of World War II when others were fearful, reaping substantial profits later.
George Soros: Well-known for his contrarian “reflexivity” hypothesis, he makes money by taking advantage of market mispricing caused by the feedback loop between prices and market players.
Frequently Asked Questions
Contrarian investing involves going against prevailing market sentiment, while value investing focuses on identifying undervalued assets based on fundamental analysis. Contrarians may invest in assets that are unpopular, regardless of intrinsic value, while value investors seek assets with intrinsic value that the market has overlooked.
Going against the grain and making investments in assets that are out of style or unpopular is known as Contrarian Investing. Contrarians believe that markets overreact to news and events, leading to mispriced assets that can be exploited for profit.
Notable contrarian investors include Warren Buffett, John Templeton, and George Soros. These individuals have successfully applied contrarian principles to achieve remarkable investment success.
Billionaire contrarians have often employed deep value strategies, identifying fundamentally sound but temporarily undervalued assets. By patiently waiting for market sentiment to shift, these investors capitalise on the correction, beating the market in the long run.
Contrarian investing is not foolproof and comes with its limitations. It requires a high level of patience, as markets may take time to recognise the true value of contrarian positions. Additionally, there is a risk of misjudging market sentiment, leading to potential losses.
Related Terms
- Gamma Scalping
- Free-Float Methodology
- Flight to Quality
- Equity Carve-Outs
- Ladder Strategy
- Event-Driven Strategy
- Dividend Capture Strategy
- Credit Default Swap (CDS)
- Company Fundamentals
- Buy And Hold Strategy
- Withdrawal Plan
- Basis Risk
- Barbell Strategy
- Risk budgeting
- Trading Strategy
- Gamma Scalping
- Free-Float Methodology
- Flight to Quality
- Equity Carve-Outs
- Ladder Strategy
- Event-Driven Strategy
- Dividend Capture Strategy
- Credit Default Swap (CDS)
- Company Fundamentals
- Buy And Hold Strategy
- Withdrawal Plan
- Basis Risk
- Barbell Strategy
- Risk budgeting
- Trading Strategy
- High-Yield Investment Programs
- Risk Appetite
- Portfolio Diversification
- Closing Transaction
- Replication Strategy
- Correlation Coefficient
- Currency hedge
- Automatic Investment Plan
- Automatic Reinvestment
- Core-Satellite Strategy
- Overlay Strategy
- Long/Short Strategy
- Strategic Asset Allocation
- Tactical Asset Allocation
- Gearing
- Dividend stripping
- Resting Order
- Buy to opening
- Buy to Close
- Yield Pickup
- Interpolation
- Intrapreneur
- Hyperledger composer
- Horizontal Integration
- Queueing Theory
- Homestead exemption
- The barbell strategy
- Retirement Planning
- Credit spreads
- Stress test
- Accrual accounting
- Growth options
- Growth Plan
- Advance Decline Line
- Accumulation Distribution Line
- Box Spread
- Charting
- Advance refunding
- Accelerated depreciation
- Amortisation
- Accrual strategy
- Hedged Tender
- Value investing
- Long-term investment strategy
Most Popular Terms
Other Terms
- Compound Yield
- Brokerage Account
- Discretionary Accounts
- Industry Groups
- Growth Rate
- Green Bond Principles
- Funding Ratio
- Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
- Floating Dividend Rate
- Real Return
- Protective Put
- Perpetual Bond
- Option Adjusted Spread (OAS)
- Non-Diversifiable Risk
- Merger Arbitrage
- Liability-Driven Investment (LDI)
- Income Bonds
- Guaranteed Investment Contract (GIC)
- Flash Crash
- Cost of Equity
- Cost Basis
- Deferred Annuity
- Cash-on-Cash Return
- Earning Surprise
- Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)
- Bubble
- Beta Risk
- Bear Spread
- Asset Play
- Accrued Market Discount
- Junk Status
- Intrinsic Value of Stock
- Interest-Only Bonds (IO)
- Interest Coverage Ratio
- Inflation Hedge
- Industry Groups
- Incremental Yield
- Industrial Bonds
- Income Statement
- Holding Period Return
- Historical Volatility (HV)
- Hedge Effectiveness
- Flat Yield Curve
- Fallen Angel
- Exotic Options
- Execution Risk
- Exchange-Traded Notes
- Eurodollar Bonds
- Enhanced Index Fund
- Embedded Options
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LHN Reports Strong Growth Momentum Driven by Coliwoo Expansion
Company Overview LHN Ltd is a Singapore-based company operating in the co-living and property development sectors. Through its Coliwoo brand, the company has positioned itself as a key player in the growing co-living market, while also maintaining interests in property development and other business segments. Strong Financial Performance Drives Optimism LHN Ltd delivered impressive results in the second half of 2025, with earnings exceeding Phillip Securities Research's expectations. The company's full-year 2025 revenue and profit after tax and minority interests reached 100% and 109% of forecasts, respectively. This strong showing was primarily driven by a substantial jump in co-living earnings, highlighting the company's strategic focus on this growing market segment. The company also announced an increase in dividend distribution, with final and special dividends totalling S$0.03, up from S$0.02 in the previous fiscal year. Aggressive Expansion Plans for Coliwoo The expansion trajectory for LHN's Coliwoo co-living platform remains exceptionally strong, with significant room inventory growth on the horizon. Currently, 714 rooms are undergoing renovation, with an additional 1,500 rooms in the planning pipeline. This expansion represents a remarkable 75% increase from the existing base of 2,933 rooms. The company has identified diverse opportunities across multiple property types, including hotel licenses, student accommodations, commercial buildings, and management contracts. LHN’s management has set an ambitious target of adding approximately 800 rooms annually, translating to a compound annual growth rate of around 27%. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for LHN Ltd, though it has adjusted its valuation methodology following the listing of Coliwoo. The research team now employs a sum-of-parts valuation approach, moving away from its previous 13 times price-to-earnings ratio method. Under this new framework, Coliwoo is valued on a mark-to-market basis with a 10% discount, property development assets at book value, and other remaining business operations at 10 times price-to-earnings. The target price has been revised from S$1.13 to S$0.85. Despite this adjustment, the investment case remains compelling, supported by higher expected dividend yields and new growth areas, including storage space and facilities management businesses. The stock offers attractive valuations with a dividend yield near 6% and an adjusted price-to-book ratio of 0.9 times. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Frasers Property Limited: Value Yet to Be Recognised
Strategic Property Development Across Key Markets Frasers Property Limited (FPL) continues to demonstrate its strategic positioning across diverse property sectors through its recent showcase at Frasers Day Bangkok 2025. The company's portfolio spans industrial, residential, and mixed-use developments, highlighting its comprehensive approach to property development and investment. Key Development Projects Drive Growth The company's recent property visits revealed three flagship projects that exemplify FPL's development strategy. ARAYA – The Eastern Gateway This prime industrial-tech ecosystem is strategically located just 20 minutes from Suvarnabhumi Airport. This development features state-of-the-art infrastructure and comprehensive one-stop services designed to serve modern industries, positioning it as a key industrial hub in the region. GUTE Sukhumvit 76 In the residential sector, GUTE Sukhumvit 76 showcases FPL's high-end development capabilities. This premium residential project comprises 118 detached and semi-detached units across 5.36 hectares, offering spacious layouts and community amenities that cater to upscale suburban living preferences. One Bangkok The crown jewel of FPL's portfolio is One Bangkok, a fully integrated mixed-use district spanning 17 hectares. This comprehensive development features luxury residences, Grade-A offices, diverse retail concepts, hotels, and cultural spaces, representing the company's ability to create vibrant urban ecosystems. Capital Recycling Strategy Addresses Valuation Gap Capital recycling remains a central focus for FPL as the company works to address its significant 57% discount to book value. The group has actively recycled capital into its listed REITs in both Singapore and Thailand, as well as to third parties, with the dual objectives of unlocking value and reducing net debt-to-equity, which currently stands at 89.2% as of September 30, 2025. In FY25, FPL executed S$1.4 billion in divestments, with 45% of proceeds recycled into its listed REITs. The company's key earnings drivers include building its development pipeline through high-quality land acquisitions and strong sell-through rates, the continued ramp-up of One Bangkok, unlocking value through strategic asset recycling, and strengthening recurring fee-based income streams. FPL maintained its commitment to shareholders by paying 4.5 cents per share in dividends in FY25, delivering a dividend yield of 4.4%, while pursuing its broader strategic transformation initiatives. Conclusion As FPL advances its pipeline and unlocks value through targeted recycling efforts, the group continues to demonstrate its ability to create resilient income streams and high-impact landmark developments. With a strengthened balance sheet, expanding development momentum, and iconic projects like One Bangkok setting new benchmarks in urban living, FPL is charting a path of sustained growth. Investors can look forward to a company progressively closing its valuation gap while driving long-term value across multiple real estate sectors. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/FCPTA.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Semiconductor Sector Shows Strong Recovery in Q3 2025
Revenue Growth Signals Market Turnaround The semiconductor industry posted robust performance in the third quarter of 2025, with revenue surging 31% year over year to US$216 billion. This marked a significant acceleration from the second quarter's 27% growth, indicating a strengthening recovery trajectory for the sector. Profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) rose even more dramatically, jumping 93% year-over-year to US$84 billion, representing the highest annual increase since the third quarter of 2024. Technology Transition Drives Growth The sector's strong performance was primarily driven by cloud service providers' strategic transition to cutting-edge technology solutions. Key drivers included the adoption of NVIDIA's Blackwell GB300 GPUs and AMD's MI350 series GPUs, as hyperscalers continued their aggressive capital expenditure programmes. This technological shift reflects the industry's ongoing evolution toward more advanced processing capabilities to meet growing computational demands. Competitive Dynamics in the GPU Market Despite intensifying competition, NVIDIA has maintained its dominant position in the GPU market with over 90% market share across the past two quarters. This resilience comes even as competitors offer compelling alternatives, with Google's TPU delivering an estimated 70% better performance per watt and a lower average selling price (~ 46%) than NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs. Similarly, AMD's MI350 GPU provides approximately 11% better performance per watt and 29% lower pricing. However, NVIDIA's competitive advantage lies in its CUDA software ecosystem, which creates substantial switching costs for customers considering alternatives from AMD or Google. While competitive pricing may pressu margins, its CUDA software ecosystem continues to provide significant protection for its market position. Processor and Memory Outlook The processor and memory segments have experienced five consecutive quarters of decelerating growth since Q3 2024, with trailing twelve-month revenue growth moderating to 51% and 29% respectively. However, analysts believe this deceleration is approaching its trough, supported by hyperscalers' sustained 66% year-over-year capital expenditure growth in Q3 2025, following 65% and 62% growth in the previous quarters. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/strategy-report/semiconductor-3q25-update-processor-and-memory-poised-for-growth-acceleration/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Salesforce Delivers Strong Performance with Informatica Acquisition Boost
Company Overview Salesforce Inc. is a leading cloud-based software company that provides customer relationship management (CRM) solutions and enterprise applications. Its comprehensive cloud computing services enables businesses across various industries manage customer interactions, sales processes, and marketing campaigns.. Strong Quarterly Results Exceed Expectations Salesforce delivered impressive third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, that met revenue expectations while significantly outperforming on earnings. The company's nine-month fiscal 2026 revenue reached 74% of its full-year forecast, while adjusted profit after tax and minority interests reached 80% of its annual projections. Earnings strength was driven by the delayed timing of expenses and improved bad-debt collections, which enhanced overall profitability. Informatica Acquisition Drives Guidance Upgrade The completion of Salesforce's acquisition of Informatica has provided a substantial boost to the company's growth trajectory. Management raised fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 guidance, with the completed Informatica deal contributing a significant three percentage points to revenue growth, bringing the total expected growth to 11-12%. Subscription and Support growth for fiscal 2026 also rose by 0.8 percentage points, resulting in a robust 10% year-over-year increase. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY rating on Salesforce, raising its target price to US$382.00, up from US$364.00. This reflects upward adjustments of 1% to fiscal 2026 revenue and 5% adjusted profit forecasts, following the strong third-quarter results and upgraded guidance. The research firm's valuation methodology remains consistent, with weighted-average cost of capital at 8.4% and terminal growth at 6%. The adjusted fiscal 2026 forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7x offers an attractive valuation, trading below the one-year historical average of 25.3x. This suggest potential upside for investors seeking exposure to the cloud computing sector. Conclusion As FPL advances its pipeline and unlocks value through targeted recycling efforts, the group continues to demonstrate its ability to create resilient income streams and high-impact landmark developments. With a strengthened balance sheet, expanding development momentum, and iconic projects like One Bangkok setting new benchmarks in urban living, FPL is charting a path of sustained growth. Investors can look forward to a company progressively closing its valuation gap while driving long-term value across multiple real estate sectors. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/CRM/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
OUE REIT Maintains Strong Performance Amid Strategic Repositioning
Company Overview OUE REIT is a diversified real estate investment trust with a portfolio spanning office, retail, and hospitality segments. With assets in Singapore and international locations, the REIT is positioning itself as a key player in the commercial real estate sector. Strong Operational Performance Across All Segments OUE REIT continues to demonstrate robust performance across its three primary business segments. The office segment has particularly benefited from the ongoing flight-to-quality trend, which has driven impressive rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. This trend reflects tenants' preference for premium office spaces, reinforcing the REIT's positioning in high-quality commercial properties. The retail segment has shown resilience through its unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the ultra-luxury market. This strategic positioning has helped the segment maintain stable performance despite broader retail market challenges. Meanwhile, the hospitality segment presents an optimistic long-term outlook, supported by an attractive sponsor pipeline, increased efforts to secure MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions) business, and active room rate management. Capital Reallocation and Growth Strategy A significant development for OUE REIT was the successful repatriation of S$318 million in net divestment proceeds from the sale of Lippo Plaza Shanghai. While the specific allocation of these funds are still under review, management has indicated that debt repayment will be prioritised, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. The organisation has also made notable progress on its acquisition strategy, actively screening investment opportunities in Japan and Australia. The REIT’s management has specifically highlighted Australia as the preferred market for office asset acquisitions, particularly Sydney’s office market's attractive characteristics, citing their limited supply and strong demand dynamics. Investment Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for OUE REIT with an unchanged target price of S$0.40. The research house expects growth opportunities to primarily emerge from international acquisitions, particularly noting that the Sydney office segment represents a potentially compelling entry point given current market condition. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation for OUE REIT? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with a target price of S$0.40. Q: How much did OUE REIT receive from the Lippo Plaza Shanghai sale? A: OUE REIT received net divestment proceeds of S$318 million from the sale, which have been repatriated to Singapore. Q: What was the rental reversion performance in the office segment? A: The office segment achieved rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. Q: Which markets is OUE REIT considering for future acquisitions? A: OUE REIT is screening opportunities in Japan and Australia, with Australia being the preferred market for office assets. Q: What factors support the retail segment's performance? A: The retail segment is supported by unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the resilient ultra-luxury market. Q: What is driving the hospitality segment's positive outlook? A: The hospitality segment benefits from an attractive sponsor pipeline, efforts to secure more MICE business, and active room rate management. Q: How will the sale proceeds likely be used? A: While not finalised, priority will be given to debt repayment, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. Q: What makes the Sydney office market attractive for OUE REIT? A: The Sydney office segment offers limited supply and strong demand, creating a potentially compelling entry point for investment. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/OUECR.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
ETF Market Review: Most ETFs up in November; gold expected to extend recent gains
November Performance Overview The ETF market delivered mixed results in November, with most funds posting positive returns, though notable exceptions occurred. The standout performer was the oil-tracking ETF (XOP), which surged 5.6% during the month, benefitting from momentum in the energy sector. However, not all sectors shared this success: the Bitcoin-tracking ETF (BITO) declined 17.6%, while the Hang Seng Index ETF (HK.2828) declined 0.3%. Current Market Trends Analysis Technical analysis reveals distinct trend patterns across major asset classes heading into December. The S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Gold, and Singapore Equities are all maintaining strong upward trajectories, suggesting continued investor confidence in these sectors. Meanwhile, Oil and the Hang Seng Index have entered range consolidation phases, indicating potential sideways movement as markets digest recent gains and losses. Bitcoin stands out as the only primary asset class currently in a clear downtrend, reflecting ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency space. December Market Expectations Looking ahead to December, market analysts anticipate divergent performance across ETF categories. Gold-tracking ETFs are expected to extend their recent gains, potentially benefitting from continued safe-haven demand and favourable macroeconomic conditions. This positive outlook for precious metals contrasts sharply with expectations for other major asset classes. Several prominent ETF categories, including those tracking the S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Bitcoin, and the Hang Seng Index, are projected to experience pullbacks in December. This anticipated correction may reflect profit-taking and seasonal market adjustments as investors reposition portfolios ahead of year-end. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference Material: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/technical-analysis/etf-monthly-november-2025-gold-to-outperform-in-december/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. 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Thai Beverage PLC: Challenging Operating Environment Amid External Pressures
Company Overview Thai Beverage PLC (ThaiBev) is a leading beverage company in Southeast Asia, operating primarily in the spirits and beer segments. The company maintains significant market positions in Thailand and Vietnam through its beer operations, while also commanding a strong presence in the regional spirits market. Below-Expectation Financial Performance ThaiBev's recent financial results fell short of analyst projections. For FY25, revenue reached only 92% of forecats, while profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) came in at 86% of expectations. The company's spirits division was particularly weak in the second half of FY25, with PATMI declining 3% year over year. Most concerning was the sharp 11% year-over-year contraction in volumes during the fourth quarter of FY25. The primary driver behind this underperformance was the border dispute with Cambodia, which resulted in a massive exodus of migrant workers from Thailand. This development caused significant disruption to supply chains and contributed to a decline in volumes across ThaiBev's operations. Mixed Segment Performance Despite these challenges, ThaiBev's beer segment demonstrated resilience with strong earnings growth in the second half of FY25. This improvement was attributed to higher contributions from Thailand operations, which reduced minority-interest impacts, and by aggressive cost-cutting measures in distribution and administrative expenses. However, beer volumes still declined 1.2% year over year in 2H25, primarily due to weakness at Sabeco following price increases. Investment Outlook and Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation for ThaiBev, while lowering the target price to S$0.53 from S$0.56. The revised valuation reflects a 22% reduction in FY26 earnings estimates due to lower revenue projections and a 12x FY26 price-to-earnings ratio, which aligns with the company’s four-year average forward PE. Despite significant forecast cuts, analysts expect earnings growth in FY26 as management is anticipated to align operating expenses with reduced volumes. The investment case is further supported by potential gross margin expansion opportunities driven by substantial declines in input costs, including packaging, malt, and molasses prices. However, ThaiBev continues to face a challenging consumer spending environment, recently exacerbated by flooding conditions that may further pressure near-term performance. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/TBV.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. 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BRC Asia Ltd: Strong Performance Drives 36% Profit Growth
Company Overview and Market Position BRC Asia Ltd operates as a leading steel reinforcement solutions provider in the construction industry, specialising in steel rebar delivery and related services. The company serves as a critical supplier to Singapore's construction sector, supporting major infrastructure and residential development projects across the region. Strong Financial Performance Highlights BRC Asia delivered impressive financial results with adjusted profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) surging 36% year-on-year in the second half of FY25. Full year revenue and adjusted PATMI came in at 96% and 101% of forecasts, respectively, demonstrating solid execution against expectations. Excluding the S$16.5 million disposal gains on associates from 2H24 and other one-off items, the underlying business performance showed remarkable strength. The standout performance was driven primarily by an estimated 34% year-on-year increase in steel rebar delivery volumes, marking the highest volume growth since 2H23. This surge reflects stronger construction project offtake across BRC Asia's key markets, indicating robust demand conditions in the construction sector. Robust Order Book Supports Future Growth BRC Asia's business outlook appears particularly strong, supported by a substantial S$1.9 billion order book. This represents a 36% year-on-year increase and is 42% above the company's five-year historical average. The significant boost stems from S$570 million in T5 contracts awarded during 3Q25, providing substantial revenue visibility for the coming periods. Steel rebar delivery volumes are expected to continue ramping up over subsequent quarters as project offtake strengthens, with peak volumes anticipated in 2026-27. Key growth drivers include HDB BTO buildout programmes, the T5 project ramp-up, and expansion contracts for the Marina Bay Sands Integrated Resort which are expected to be tendered to main contractors by year-end. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research has upgraded BRC Asia to BUY from NEUTRAL, raising the target price to S$5.10 from the previous S$4.10. The revision reflects a 15% increase in FY26 adjusted PATMI forecasts, driven by higher expected delivery volumes. The target price incorporates valuations rolled over to FY26/27, with weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and growth rate assumptions at 10% and 2.5% respectively. The stock also offers an attractive FY26 dividend yield of 4.8%, enhancing its investment appeal. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link:https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/BRCC.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
