Flight to Quality 

In times of economic uncertainty or market instability, investors move their money from high-risk assets to more stable investments. This shift is known as flight to quality or flight to safety. Investors priorities security over potential returns, opting for safe-haven assets such as government bonds, gold, and cash-equivalent securities. This article explains the concept, causes, and impact of flight to quality, real-world examples and its effects on financial markets. 

What is Flight to Quality? 

Flight to quality is a financial phenomenon where investors shift their funds from risky investments to safer alternatives during economic turmoil. This movement reflects a preference for capital preservation rather than seeking high returns. It is often observed during financial crises, geopolitical conflicts, or sharp declines in the stock market. 

During such periods, investors tend to sell stocks, corporate bonds, and emerging market securities, redirecting their funds into assets perceived as stable. These include government bonds (such as U.S. Treasury securities), gold, and highly liquid money market instruments. This transition causes the value of risky assets to decline while safer investments appreciate in demand and price. 

Understanding Flight to Quality 

Flight to quality primarily stems from fear and uncertainty in the financial markets. Investors seek stability by reducing exposure to volatile assets and reallocating funds into low-risk instruments. The effects of this shift include: 

  • Decline in high-risk asset prices: Stocks, corporate bonds, and emerging market investments often experience significant losses. 
  • Increase in safe-haven asset demand: Government securities, gold, and cash-equivalent instruments rise in value due to heightened investor interest. 

For example, in early 2020, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic led to massive sell-offs in equity markets, while demand for U.S. Treasury bonds and other secure assets surged.

Causes and Triggers of Flight to Quality 

Several factors can prompt investors to shift their capital toward safer assets: 

  • Economic Instability

Economic downturns, weak corporate earnings, rising unemployment, and declining GDP growth often indicate trouble, prompting investors to seek refuge in stable assets. The 2008 financial crisis is a prime example, where widespread concerns over bank failures led to a sharp increase in demand for U.S. government bonds. 

  • Geopolitical Tensions

Wars, political instability, trade disputes, and international conflicts create uncertainty, leading investors to exit riskier markets. For instance, in 2022, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine resulted in a significant flight to safety, with investors moving capital from volatile assets to U.S. Treasury securities and gold. 

  • Market Crashes

Sudden stock market downturns or prolonged bear markets often trigger widespread panic selling. A historical example includes Black Monday in 1987, where global stock markets suffered one of the worst crashes, leading investors to shift towards secure investments. 

  • Financial Institution Collapses

The failure of major financial institutions can shake investor confidence, triggering a flight to quality. The collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 led to massive capital flows into safe-haven assets, exacerbating market volatility. 

Impact on Currency Markets and Exchange Rates 

Flight to quality significantly affects currency markets and global exchange rates. 

  • Strengthening of Safe-Haven Currencies: The U.S. dollar (US$) often strengthens as investors seek the stability of U.S. government-backed securities. 
  • Depreciation of Riskier Currencies: Emerging market currencies usually decline as capital flows out of riskier economies. 

This shift has implications for multinational companies, as a stronger domestic currency can make exports more expensive, potentially affecting corporate revenues. 

Examples of Flight to Quality 

COVID-19 Pandemic (2020)

During the early months of the COVID-19 outbreak, the stock market experienced a sharp downturn. The S&P 500 Index fell nearly 34% between February and March 2020. Investors sold off equities and corporate bonds in favour of cash-equivalent instruments and U.S. government securities. This move reflected concerns about economic stability and the long-term impact of the pandemic on businesses and markets.

Aviation Industry:

The aviation sector has also experienced a “flight to quality,” with airline stocks leading a significant rally in 2024. Airlines such as United Airlines, Allegiant, and American Airlines have seen substantial gains, driven by increased air travel and cruise bookings. This surge indicates a robust recovery in the travel industry, with consumers showing a strong preference for established and reliable carriers. 

Russian Invasion of Ukraine (2022)

The geopolitical uncertainty caused by the Russia-Ukraine war led to a surge in demand for U.S. Treasury bonds and gold. Investors exited emerging markets and stocks, investing in more secure assets. This shift highlighted how global conflicts can significantly influence investor behaviour and financial markets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Flight to quality occurs when investors move their funds from high-risk investments, such as stocks and corporate bonds, to safer assets like government securities, gold, or money market funds during economic instability. 

Common triggers include economic downturns, geopolitical conflicts, market crashes, and financial institution failures. Events such as the 2008 financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russia-Ukraine war have all caused investors to seek safer investment options. 

During a flight to quality, stock prices decline as investors sell riskier equities. This mass exodus from the stock market can lead to sharp declines in major indices, such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, as seen during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic. 

Safe-haven assets typically include: 

  • Government bonds (e.g., U.S. Treasuries) 
  • Gold 
  • Cash-equivalent instruments such as money market funds 

These assets are considered stable and reliable during economic turmoil, as they retain value even when other investments decline.

When investors shift towards government bonds during market uncertainty: 

  • Bond prices increase due to rising demand. 
  • Bond yields fall due to the inverse relationship between price and yield. 

In contrast, corporate bond yields may rise as investors demand higher returns for taking on more significant risks. 

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    Bank of America Shows Strong Growth Momentum with Record Net Interest Income

    Published on Jan 29, 2026 55 

    Company Overview Bank of America Corporation (BOA) stands as one of America's largest financial institutions, operating across multiple segments including consumer banking, global markets, investment and brokerage services, and wealth management. The bank maintains a diversified revenue stream with its substantial investment and brokerage segment contributing approximately 18% of total revenue, positioning it well to capitalise on market volatility and capital markets activity. Strong Fourth Quarter Performance Bank of America delivered solid fourth quarter 2025 results with profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) rising 12% year-over-year to US$7.6 billion. While earnings came in slightly below analyst estimates, full-year 2025 earnings reached 95% of forecasted levels. The bank demonstrated its commitment to shareholder returns by raising its dividend per share 8% year-over-year to US$0.28 and conducting US$6.3 billion in common stock net repurchases during the quarter, significantly higher than the US$3.5 billion repurchased in the same period last year. Record Net Interest Income Drives Growth The quarter's standout performance came from record net interest income(NII), which surged 10% year-over-year, driven by robust Global Markets activity, fixed-rate asset repricing, and increased deposit and loan balances. This strong NII performance formed the foundation of the bank's earnings growth, complemented by a 12% year-over-year recovery in investment and brokerage revenue and a 10% year-over-year decline in provisions. Positive Outlook and Investment Thesis BAC’s management has provided encouraging guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting NII growth of 5-7% supported by continued fixed-rate asset repricing and deposit and loan growth. First quarter 2026 NII is expected to grow approximately 7% year-over-year, though expenses are anticipated to rise by around 4% year-over-year. Research Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation on BAC with a raised target price of US$60, up from the previous US$56 target. The valuation assumes a 1.48x FY26e price-to-book value multiple and a 15.3% return on equity estimate. The research firm expects growth drivers to include higher NII from fixed-asset repricing and loan growth recovery, continued wealth management fee growth, higher global markets revenue from increased volatility, and a slower pace of expense growth. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What was Bank of America's fourth quarter 2025 profit performance? A: Bank of America's PATMI rose 12% year-over-year to $7.6 billion in 4Q25, though it was slightly below estimates. Full-year 2025 earnings reached 95% of forecasted levels. Q: What drove the bank's earnings growth in the fourth quarter? A: Earnings growth was primarily driven by record net interest income that increased 10% year-over-year, a 12% year-over-year recovery in investment and brokerage revenue, and lower provisions that declined 10% year-over-year. Q: What is the bank's guidance for 2026? A: Bank of America expects FY26e NII growth of 5-7% and 1Q26e NII growth of approximately 7% year-over-year, with 1Q26e expenses expected to rise by around 4% year-over-year. Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation and target price? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation with a raised target price of US$60, up from the previous US$56 target, based on rolling valuations to FY26e. Q: How did the bank return value to shareholders? A: Bank of America raised its dividend per share 8% year-over-year to US$0.28 and conducted US$6.3 billion in common stock net repurchases in 4Q25, compared to US$3.5 billion in 4Q24. Q: What are the expected growth drivers for 2026? A: Expected FY26e growth drivers include higher NII from fixed-asset repricing and loan growth recovery, continued wealth management fee growth, higher global markets revenue from increased volatility, and slower expense growth. Q: What makes Bank of America attractive as an investment? A: The research house likes BAC for its substantial investment and brokerage segment representing approximately 18% of revenue and its ability to maintain stable NII during periods of market volatility. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.    Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. 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    JPMorgan Chase Delivers Solid Q4 Results Despite Investment Banking Headwinds

    Published on Jan 29, 2026 27 

    Company Overview and Market Position JPMorgan Chase operates as one of the largest diversified financial services institutions globally, with leading positions in Consumer & Community Banking and Corporate & Investment Banking. The bank's diversified revenue streams and strong market presence enable consistent performance across various economic cycles. Strong Fourth Quarter Performance JPMorgan Chase & Co reported adjusted fourth quarter 2025 profit after tax and minority interests of US$15.2 billion, representing a 9% year-over-year increase that met analyst estimates. The bank's full-year 2025 earnings reached 101% of forecasted levels, demonstrating consistent execution across its diversified business model. The company increased its dividend per share by 20% to US$1.50, while the dividend payout ratio rose to 32% from 26% in the previous year. Additionally, JPMorgan returned significant capital to shareholders through US$7.9 billion in net common stock repurchases during the quarter. Revenue Growth Drivers and Segment Performance Net interest income grew 7% year-over-year, supported by higher deposit balances and increased revolving balances in the Card Services division, despite a 7-basis point decline in net interest margin. The bank's loan portfolio expanded 9% year-over-year, contributing to overall growth momentum. Non-interest income increased 7% year-over-year, serving as the primary growth driver with notable strength in principal transactions and asset management fees, which surged 17%. However, investment banking fees declined 4%, creating a headwind for overall performance. Forward Guidance and Investment Outlook JP Morgan’s management provided fiscal year 2026 guidance projecting net interest income of US$103 billion, representing 7% growth, while expenses are expected to reach US$105 billion, indicating 10% growth. Phillip Securities Research maintains a NEUTRAL recommendation with a raised target price of US$320, up from the previous US$305, based on fiscal year 2026 estimates. The research firm's Gordon Growth Model valuation assumes 2.54 times price-to-book value and a 20.6% return on equity estimate. Investment Merits and Risk Considerations The bank's ability to generate consistent revenue growth across all segments, particularly in Consumer & Community Banking and Corporate & Investment Banking, represents a key investment merit. However, analysts express caution regarding macro uncertainties including trade tensions and policy shifts that could increase provisions and non-performing loans. Additionally, higher expense growth trajectory may pressure earnings, while current valuations appear elevated with price-to-earnings ratio at 15 times versus the 10-year average of 11.6 times. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What was JPMorgan Chase's fourth quarter 2025 profit performance? A: JPMorgan Chase reported adjusted fourth quarter 2025 profit after tax and minority interests of US$15.2 billion, representing a 9% year-over-year increase that met analyst estimates. Q: How did the bank's net interest income perform despite margin pressure? A: Net interest income grew 7% year-over-year from higher deposit balances and increased revolving balances in Card Services, even though the net interest margin declined by 7 basis points. Q: Which business segments drove non-interest income growth? A: Non-interest income increased 7% year-over-year, primarily driven by principal transactions and asset management fees, which grew 17%, while investment banking fees declined 4%. Q: What is JPMorgan's guidance for fiscal year 2026? A: JPMorgan's management provided guidance for fiscal year 2026 net interest income of US$103 billion, representing 7% growth, and expenses of US$105 billion, indicating 10% growth. Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's investment recommendation? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a NEUTRAL recommendation with a target price of US$320, raised from the previous US$305, based on fiscal year 2026 estimates. Q: What are the key investment merits for JPMorgan Chase? A: The bank's ability to continue growing revenue across all segments, particularly in Consumer & Community Banking and Corporate & Investment Banking, represents the primary investment merit. Q: What risks are analysts concerned about regarding JPMorgan's outlook? A: Analysts express caution due to macro uncertainties such as trade tensions and policy shifts that could increase provisions and non-performing loans, plus higher expense growth that may pressure earnings. Q: How do current valuations compare to historical levels? A: Current valuations appear elevated with the price-to-earnings ratio at 15 times versus the 10-year average of 11.6 times, and price-to-book ratio at 2.5 times versus the 10-year average of 1.5 times. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.    Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. 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    Wells Fargo Reports Mixed Q4 Results as Severance Costs Weigh on Performance

    Published on Jan 29, 2026 19 

    Company Overview and Market Position Wells Fargo & Company operates as one of the largest financial services institutions in the US, providing banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer finance services. The company serves millions of customers through its extensive branch network and digital platforms, maintaining a strong market position in retail banking, commercial lending, and wealth management services. Strong Earnings Growth Offset by One-Time Expenses The company delivered solid fourth-quarter 2025 results with earnings growing 6% year-over-year to US$5.4 billion, though full-year earnings came in slightly below analyst expectations at 96% of forecasted levels. The bank's performance was supported by net interest income growth from loan expansion, higher non-interest income, and reduced provision expenses. Shareholders benefited from a 13% dividend increase to US$0.45 per share and US$5 billion in common stock repurchases, representing a 25% year-over-year increase. Revenue Diversification Drives Performance Wells Fargo & Company's revenue growth was bolstered by a 4% year-over-year increase in net interest income, while non-interest income expansion came primarily from investment advisory and brokerage services, along with card fee income. Credit provisions declined 5% year-over-year, providing additional earnings support. However, a significant severance expense of US$612 million hampered the pace of earnings acceleration during the quarter. Forward Guidance and Investment Outlook The company’s management has provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting net interest income of approximately US$50 billion, representing 5% year-over-year growth, while expenses are expected to reach around US$55.7 billion, up 2% from the previous year. The Phillip Securities Research team maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation with a raised target price of US$98, up from the previous US$95 target. This valuation assumes a 1.73x price-to-book ratio and 15.8% return on equity estimate. The research team expects the eventual lifting of Wells Fargo's asset cap will enable deposit growth, lending expansion, and increased investment in markets and trading activities, which will strengthen the bank's competitive position. However, potential headwinds include macroeconomic factors that could impact non-interest income growth, particularly in investment banking and trading, while potentially leading to higher provision expenses. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What was Wells Fargo's fourth-quarter 2025 earnings performance? A: Wells Fargo reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of US$5.4 billion, representing 6% year-over-year growth, though full-year earnings came in at 96% of analyst forecasts. Q: What factors supported Wells Fargo's earnings growth? A: Earnings were supported by net interest income growth from loan expansion, higher non-interest income from investment advisory and brokerage services and card fees, and a 5% year-over-year decline in credit provisions. Q: What expense impacted Wells Fargo's earnings acceleration? A: A severance expense of US$612 million hampered the bank's earnings acceleration during the quarter. Q: What is Phillip Securities Research recommendation and target price for Wells Fargo? A: The Research house maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation with a raised target price of US$98, up from the previous target of US$95. Q: What are Wells Fargo's guidance projections for fiscal year 2026? A: Management projects net interest income of approximately US$50 billion (5% year-over-year growth) and expenses of around US$55.7 billion (2% year-over-year increase) for fiscal year 2026. Q: How did Wells Fargo reward shareholders during the quarter? A: The bank increased its dividend by 13% year-over-year to US$0.45 per share and conducted US$5 billion in common stock repurchases, up 25% from the previous year. Q: What are the key growth opportunities for Wells Fargo? A: The expected lifting of the bank's asset cap will allow for deposit growth, lending expansion, and increased investment in markets and trading activities, strengthening its competitive position. Q: What potential headwinds does Wells Fargo face? A: Macroeconomic factors could impact non-interest income growth, particularly in investment banking and trading activities, and may lead to higher provision expenses. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.    Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. 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    Reddit Inc.: Transforming Community Engagement into Revenue Growth

    Published on Jan 26, 2026 57 

    Company Overview Reddit Inc. (RDDT) operates as a community-driven social media platform that facilitates conversations across diverse topics and interests. The company has positioned itself as a unique digital ecosystem where user-generated content and community interactions create valuable data assets and advertising opportunities. Key Investment Highlights Reddit's business model is experiencing a fundamental transformation, with community-driven conversations emerging as a significant growth engine. The company is successfully transitioning its data licensing strategy from one-time training deals to recurring, usage-based monetisation models. This shift is supported by robust demand from the artificial intelligence industry and the development of deeper strategic partnerships. The platform's differentiated approach centres on high-intent, rich first-party user data that creates sustainable advertising opportunities. Reddit is leveraging AI-driven advertising tools to enhance efficiency and drive average revenue per user (ARPU) expansion, which positions the company to capture greater value from its engaged user base. Strong Financial Performance Reddit achieved a significant financial milestone in FY24 by turning cash flow positive. The company demonstrated exceptional cash generation capabilities, with operating cash flow and free cash flow growing 396% and 355% year-over-year, respectively. This impressive performance was supported by IPO-related capital inflows and the company's capital-efficient operating model, with capital expenditures representing less than 1% of total revenue. Investment Recommendation and Outlook Phillip Securities Research has initiated coverage of Reddit with a BUY rating and established a discount cash flow (DCF)-based target price of US$280. The valuation framework incorporates a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.5% and a terminal growth rate of 6%, which reflects confidence in the company's long-term growth prospects. For FY25, analysts project robust revenue growth across Reddit's key business segments. Advertising revenue is forecasted to increase 66% year-over-year, driven by continued product enhancements and platform improvements. Additionally, "other" revenue, which includes data licensing agreements, is expected to grow 55% year-over-year, supported by existing contractual arrangements and expanding partnerships within the AI industry. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation and target price for Reddit? A: Phillip Securities Research has initiated coverage with a BUY rating and a DCF target price of US$280, using a WACC of 7.5% and terminal growth rate of 6%. Q: How is Reddit's data licensing business model evolving? A: Reddit is transitioning from one-off training deals to recurring, usage-based monetisation supported by strong AI industry demand and deepening partnerships. Q: What makes Reddit's advertising opportunity unique? A: Reddit offers differentiated, high-intent, rich first-party user data that enables a durable advertising opportunity, with AI-driven ad tools improving efficiency and driving ARPU expansion. Q: How did Reddit perform financially in FY24? A: Reddit's cash flow turned positive in FY24, with operating cash flow and free cash flow growing 396% and 355% year-over-year, respectively, supported by IPO-related inflows. Q: What are the revenue growth projections for FY25? A: Reddit operates with minimal capital expenditure requirements, with CAPEX representing less than 1% of total revenue, demonstrating a capital-efficient operating model. Q: What drives Reddit's community-based growth engine? A: Reddit's community-driven conversations are becoming a growth engine through the monetisation of user engagement and data assets for both advertising and AI industry applications. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.    Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. 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    CNMC Goldmine Holdings: Phillip Securities Maintains BUY Rating Amid Production Expansion

    Published on Jan 26, 2026 52 

    Company Overview CNMC Goldmine Holdings operates as a gold mining company with operations in Malaysia's tropical rainforest region. The company focuses on gold extraction through both open-pit and underground mining facilities, positioning itself as a key player in the Malaysian mining sector. Production Expansion Drives Growth Prospects The company has successfully completed a 60% expansion of its CIL (Carbon-in-Leach) facility, resulting in a significant increase in gold production capacity from 500 to 800 tonnes per day. This substantial enhancement represents a major milestone in CNMC's operational scaling efforts and demonstrates management's commitment to expanding production capabilities. Work is currently underway on the additional Sokor underground gold mining facility, which is expected to reach completion by1H2026. However, the project faces potential challenges due to its location in Malaysia's tropical rainforest, where the terrain is more susceptible to water accumulation issues. Should these environmental challenges persist, completion may be delayed to the second half of 2026, with operations potentially beginning in 2027. Investment Merits and Financial Outlook Phillip Securities Research has raised its gold price forecast by 13% to US$4,300, up from the previous forecast of US$3,800, reflecting the current gold price surge of 21% above earlier projections. This adjustment has led to a 6.6% increase in projected PATMI for FY26e. CNMC’s management appears focused on enhancing shareholder returns through increased dividend payments if earnings exceed expectations. Currently maintaining a 30% payout ratio, there is potential for this to increase based on performance. Research Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains its BUY rating for CNMC, raising the target price to S$1.47 from the previous S$1.34, implying an 11.2x FY25e P/E ratio. The valuation approach remains conservative, with no terminal value factored in, given that the mining permit remains valid until 2034. Key catalysts identified include the potential for earlier-than-anticipated completion of the additional Sokor Underground mining facility and the possibility of a higher dividend payout ratio exceeding the current 30% level. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is CNMC's current gold production capacity? A: CNMC has increased its gold production from 500 to 800 tonnes per day following the completion of a 60% CIL facility expansion. Q: When is the Sokor underground mining facility expected to be completed? A: The facility is expected to be completed by the first half of 2026, though potential delays due to water accumulation issues could push completion to the second half of 2026. Q: What is Phillip Securities Reseach's current recommendation and target price for CNMC? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY rating with a target price of S$1.47, up from the previous S$1.34. Q: How has the gold price forecast been adjusted? A: The gold price forecast has been raised by 13% to US$4,300 from the previous US$3,800 due to current gold prices surging 21% above earlier projections. Q: What are the key investment catalysts for CNMC? A: Key catalysts include earlier-than-anticipated completion of the Sokor Underground mining facility and a potential increase in the dividend payout ratio above the current 30%. Q: What challenges does the Sokor project face? A: The project is located in Malaysia's tropical rainforest, making it more prone to water accumulation issues due to the terrain, which could impact completion timing. Q: How long is CNMC's mining permit valid? A: The mining permit remains valid until 2034, providing operational certainty for the medium term. Q: What is management's approach to shareholder returns? A: Management appears keen to increase shareholder returns through dividends if earnings exceed expectations, potentially raising the current 30% payout ratio. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.    Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

    Experiences segment is primary growth driver
    Phillip Securities Research Initiates Coverage of Disney with Accumulate Rating

    Published on Jan 22, 2026 76 

    Company Overview The Walt Disney Company is a leading global entertainment powerhouse with a diversified portfolio spanning content creation, streaming services, sports media, and theme park operations. The company's competitive advantage lies in its unrivalled intellectual property ecosystem, anchored by globally beloved franchises including Disney Animation, Pixar, Marvel, and Star Wars. This extensive IP portfolio enables Disney to maintain strong consumer engagement across multiple platforms, driving multiple and complementary revenue streams. Key Investment Highlights Disney's strategic positioning centres on three critical factors that underpin its investment appeal. First, the company benefits from a comprehensive entertainment ecosystem that leverages its iconic franchises to drive monetisation at scale, supporting sustainable long-term revenue growth. Second, Disney has successfully demonstrated its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences by prioritising its direct-to-consumer streaming business while transitioning away from traditional linear television. Most notably, the streaming segment achieved profitability in the second half of 2024, marking a significant operational milestone. Primary Growth Driver: Experiences Segment The Experiences segment serves as Disney's primary growth engine, accounting for 45% of total revenue and consistently delivering high-single- to low-double-digit year-over-year growth. This segment encompasses theme parks, resorts, and cruise operations, benefiting from resilient attendance patterns and higher per-capita guest spending and effective yield management strategies despite competitive pressures in the entertainment and leisure industry. Streaming Success and Digital Transformation Disney's strategic pivot towards streaming has yielded positive results, with the direct-to-consumer business turning profitable. This achievement reflects the company's successful adaptation to evolving consumer viewing habits and validates its investment in digital content distribution. Achieving profitability positions Disney more competitively within an increasingly crowded global streaming landscape and strengthens the overall earnings profile of the group. Research Recommendation Phillip Securities Research has initiated coverage of The Walt Disney Company with an ACCUMULATE rating and a target price of US$130.00. The valuation methodology employs a discounted cash flow analysis utilising a weighted average cost of capital of 7.7% and a long-term growth rate of 3.5%. This recommendation reflects confidence in Disney's ability to leverage its diversified business model and capitalise on the continued global expansion of streaming services alongside the resilient post-COVID recovery of its experiences segment. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation and target price for Disney? A: Phillip Securities Research initiated coverage with an ACCUMULATE rating and target price of US$130.00, based on a DCF analysis using a 7.7% WACC and 3.5% growth rate. Q: What makes Disney's intellectual property ecosystem unique? A: Disney possesses an unrivalled IP ecosystem anchored by major franchises including Disney Animation, Pixar, Marvel, and Star Wars, which supports strong consumer engagement across platforms and enables monetisation at scale. Q: Which segment is Disney's primary growth driver? A: The Experiences segment is Disney's primary growth driver, contributing 45% of revenue and delivering consistent high-single to low-double-digit year-over-year growth through theme parks, resorts, and cruise operations. Q: When did Disney's streaming business become profitable? A: Disney's streaming segment turned profitable in the second half of 2024, marking a significant milestone in the company's digital transformation strategy. Q: How has Disney adapted to changing consumer viewing habits? A: Disney has prioritised its direct-to-consumer streaming business while transitioning away from linear television, successfully adapting to evolving consumer preferences in entertainment consumption. Q: What factors support the Experiences segment's strong performance? A: The Experiences segment benefits from resilient attendance, higher per-capita guest spending, and effective yield management strategies, maintaining strong performance despite competitive pressures. Q: What is Disney's strategic positioning for long-term growth? A: Disney is well-positioned to monetise its IP at scale through continued global streaming expansion and the resilient post-COVID recovery of its experiences segment, underpinning long-term revenue growth. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.  Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

    Protecting More Than Just Walls: Fire Insurance vs Home Insurance

    Published on Jan 12, 2026 129 

    As we begin 2026, it is timely to review the foundations of our finances, how we should protect our wealth for our loved ones, such as something as important as protecting the roof over their heads. In Singapore, we are fortunate to be largely free from natural disasters. As a result, homeowners assume that only the most basic coverage is sufficient. However, when it comes to safeguarding your home, understanding the differences between Fire Insurance and Home Insurance is paramount. For most homeowners who service a HDB or bank loan, fire insurance is mandatory and is typically included at the onset of loan application. Fire insurance primarily covers the structure of the property including walls, ceilings and built-in fixtures. In essence, it ensures the home can be restored to a habitable condition after a fire-related incident. However, fire insurance does not cover the contents of your home. This means that the items such as furniture, appliances, personal belongings and renovation works are typically excluded from coverage. While home insurance is not compulsory, it serves as a complimentary layer of protection providing a much broader scope of coverage, and helps to bridge the gaps that fire insurance does not address. Typically, home insurance includes coverage for household items, furniture, personal belongings, as well as renovation, clean-up and repair costs. Depending on the policy, it may also cover temporary accommodation expenses while your home is being repaired, along with other incidents such as theft, burst water pipes and other forms of accidental damage. Home insurance generally falls into two categories: “Insured Perils” and “All Risk”. As their names suggest, insured perils refer to specific events listed in the policy, such as fire, lightning, explosions, burst pipes, theft involving forced entry, and certain natural disasters. Any damage that does not arise from the events explicitly stated in the policy will not be covered. All risk plans, on the other hand, offer wider protection. They generally cover most scenarios unless specifically excluded in the policy terms. Due to the wider scope of coverage, all risk plans typically come with higher premiums. Beyond the type of coverage, it is also important to understand how claims are calculated. Home insurance policies typically fall under either an “Average Clause” or “First Loss” basis. For example, under the Average Clause, if the contents of your home amount to more than the insurance coverage, your claims may be proportionately reduced. In other words, being underinsured can result in lower claim settlements. With first loss plans, this penalty does not apply. The insurer will pay up to the insured amount stated in the policy, regardless of the total value of home contents. In summary, fire insurance ensures that the bare minimum is covered, while home insurance helps reduce financial strain when unforeseen incidents occur. As with all protection planning, the key lies in understanding what coverage you currently have, what it includes, and whether it still suits your needs. As you start 2026 on a positive note, it may be helpful to ask yourself: Do I know what my existing fire insurance covers? Do I have adequate protection for my home contents? Would taking up home insurance give me peace of mind? Protection planning is about making thoughtful decisions early, so that you are better equipped for whatever lies ahead. If you are unsure where to begin or would like a second opinion, we are always happy to help. Sometimes, a simple review can make all the difference. Wishing you a happy, healthy, and prosperous year ahead. Contributor: Claudia Tan Financial Services Director Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (A member of PhillipCapital) https://bit.ly/TTPclaudia Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

    Singapore Market Outlook 2026: Phillip Securities Forecast

    Published on Jan 9, 2026 369 

    Record-Breaking 2025 Performance Sets Stage for Continued Growth Singapore's equity market delivered exceptional returns in 2025, registering its highest gains in 16 years with a remarkable 22.7% increase, significantly outperforming the previous year's 16.9% gain. This outstanding performance has positioned the market favourably as investors look toward 2026 opportunities. Favourable Market Conditions Create Investment Opportunities Phillip Securities Research views 2026 as a particularly fertile environment for Singapore equities, supported by several key structural factors. Interest rates have declined to 1.20%, marking their lowest levels in three and a half years, creating more attractive conditions for equity investments. Additionally, the deployment of Singapore's S$5 billion Equity Development Programme (EQDP) is expected to generate an unprecedented liquidity premium specifically benefitting small and mid-cap stocks in the local market. Three Major Investment Themes Drive 2026 Strategy The research house identifies three primary themes that will shape Singapore's equity landscape in 2026. First, asset monetisation strategies are anticipated to generate stronger investment gains, with particular focus on major corporations including Singtel, Keppel, and Sembcorp Industries. These companies are positioned to unlock value through strategic asset optimisation initiatives. Secondly, the low interest rate environment creates benefits equities by making them more attractive relative to fixed-income alternatives while simultaneously reducing borrowing costs for companies. This environment is expected to particularly benefit Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) through enhanced dividend growth prospects. Third, a capital expenditure-driven earnings cycle is emerging across multiple industries. This cycle encompasses significant investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure, renewable energy projects, and domestic capital expenditure programmes. The healthcare sector presents additional opportunities through potential drug commercialisation and infrastructure development that could lead to a sector re-rating. Market Positioning and Outlook The convergence of these factors - record market performance, favourable monetary conditions, substantial government liquidity support, and multiple growth themes - creates a compelling investment case for Singapore equities. The research suggests that 2026 will benefit from this unique combination of supportive elements, positioning the market for continued strong performance across various sectors and market capitalisations. Frequently Asked Questions Q: How did Singapore equities perform in 2025? A: Singapore equities registered their highest gains in 16 years, with the market rising 22.7% in 2025, compared to 16.9% in 2024. Q: What makes 2026 favourable for Singapore equities? A: Three key factors create a fertile environment: interest rates at 3½-year lows of 1.20%, deployment of the S$5 billion EQDP creating liquidity premiums for small and mid-cap stocks, and multiple investment themes supporting the market. Q: What are the three major investment themes for 2026? A: The themes are asset monetisation (particularly from Singtel, Keppel, and Sembcorp Industries), low interest rates benefitting equities and REITs, and a capex-driven earnings cycle across AI, renewable energy, and domestic investments. Q: Which sectors are expected to benefit from the capex cycle? A: Multiple industries will benefit from AI investments, renewable energy projects, and domestic capex. Healthcare specifically could see re-rating through potential drug commercialisation and infrastructure development. Q: How will low interest rates impact different asset classes? A: Low interest rates make equities more attractive compared to other investments while reducing borrowing costs for companies and supporting dividend growth, particularly benefiting REITs. Q: What is the S$5 billion EQDP and how does it affect the market? A: The Equity Development Programme (EQDP) is a S$5 billion initiative whose deployment will create an unprecedented liquidity premium specifically for Singapore small and mid-cap stocks. Q: Which specific companies are highlighted for asset monetisation opportunities? A: Phillip Securities Research specifically identifies Singtel, Keppel, and Sembcorp Industries as companies positioned to outperform through asset monetisation strategies. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.    Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

    IMPORTANT INFORMATION

    This material is provided by Phillip Capital Management (S) Ltd (“PCM”) for general information only and does not constitute a recommendation, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to invest in any of the exchange-traded fund (“ETF”) or the unit trust (“Products”) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. You should read the Prospectus and the accompanying Product Highlights Sheet (“PHS”) for key features, key risks and other important information of the Products and obtain advice from a financial adviser (“FA“) pursuant to a separate engagement before making a commitment to invest in the Products. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a FA, you should assess whether the Products are suitable for you before proceeding to invest. A copy of the Prospectus and PHS are available from PCM, any of its Participating Dealers (“PDs“) for the ETF, or any of its authorised distributors for the unit trust managed by PCM.  

    An ETF is not like a typical unit trust as the units of the ETF (the “Units“) are to be listed and traded like any share on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (“SGX-ST”). Listing on the SGX-ST does not guarantee a liquid market for the Units which may be traded at prices above or below its NAV or may be suspended or delisted. Investors may buy or sell the Units on SGX-ST when it is listed. Investors cannot create or redeem Units directly with PCM and have no rights to request PCM to redeem or purchase their Units. Creation and redemption of Units are through PDs if investors are clients of the PDs, who have no obligation to agree to create or redeem Units on behalf of any investor and may impose terms and conditions in connection with such creation or redemption orders. Please refer to the Prospectus of the ETF for more details.  

    Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The purchase of a unit in a fund is not the same as placing your money on deposit with a bank or deposit-taking company. There is no guarantee as to the amount of capital invested or return received. The value of the units and the income accruing to the units may fall or rise. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the Products. There can be no assurance that investment objectives will be achieved.  

    Where applicable, fund(s) may invest in financial derivatives and/or participate in securities lending and repurchase transactions for the purpose of hedging and/or efficient portfolio management, subject to the relevant regulatory requirements. PCM reserves the discretion to determine if currency exposure should be hedged actively, passively or not at all, in the best interest of the Products.  

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    The information provided herein may be obtained or compiled from public and/or third party sources that PCM has no reason to believe are unreliable. Any opinion or view herein is an expression of belief of the individual author or the indicated source (as applicable) only. PCM makes no representation or warranty that such information is accurate, complete, verified or should be relied upon as such. The information does not constitute, and should not be used as a substitute for tax, legal or investment advice.  

    The information herein are not for any person in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or availability for use would contravene any applicable law or regulation or would subject PCM to any registration or licensing requirement in such jurisdiction or country. The Products is not offered to U.S. Persons. PhillipCapital Group of Companies, including PCM, their affiliates and/or their officers, directors and/or employees may own or have positions in the Products. Any member of the PhillipCapital Group of Companies may have acted upon or used the information, analyses and opinions herein before they have been published. 

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