Speculative Trading
Speculative trading is an essential component of the global financial markets. It allows traders to make decisions based on anticipated price movements and aim for profits within a short timeframe. Whether it’s stocks, commodities, or even cryptocurrencies, speculative trading can offer high rewards but involves significant risks. In this detailed guide, we will explore speculative trading in simple terms so that even beginners can understand the concept, its various strategies, and its psychological and ethical aspects.
Table of Contents
What is Speculative Trading?
Speculative trading is a financial strategy used by traders who look to profit from the price movements of assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, or derivatives. Unlike traditional investing, where individuals hold assets for long-term gains, speculative trading focuses on making profits over short-term fluctuations in the market. Speculators rely on market sentiment, news, trends, and technical analysis to predict price movements, hoping to capitalise on them.
The core aim of speculative trading is to generate profits by timing buying and selling. Speculators typically seek opportunities where they believe the price of an asset will increase or decrease based on market conditions. These price movements are often rapid, and the holding period for positions is usually very short, ranging from minutes to days or weeks.
However, speculative trading carries substantial risks. Since traders are betting on short-term market movements, it’s possible to experience significant losses if the market proceeds in the opposite direction of the prediction. The nature of speculative trading requires a strong understanding of the market, the ability to analyse trends, and the discipline to execute trades quickly.
Understanding Speculative Trading
Speculative trading operates on a basic concept: traders buy or sell assets with the intention of profiting from price movements. These movements can be fueled by various factors, including news events, economic data, corporate earnings reports, or changes in global trends.
For speculative trading to work, traders must analyse and predict price changes. This is where technical and fundamental analysis comes into play. Traders rely on these methods to forecast whether an asset’s price will rise or fall, making decisions based on this information. However, it’s important to note that speculative trading doesn’t guarantee profits. It’s possible to experience losses, especially if the prediction is wrong or if the market is unpredictable.
Key Features of Speculative Trading:
- Short-Term Focus: The objective is to capitalize on short-term price movements rather than holding assets for long-term growth.
- High Risk and High Reward: The potential for large profits exists, but the possibility of equally significant losses balances it.
- Market Volatility: Speculative traders thrive in volatile market conditions, where price movements are more frequent and pronounced.
- Use of Leverage: Many speculative traders use leverage to amplify their positions, increasing potential profits and risks.
How Speculative Trading Works?
The mechanics of speculative trading are straightforward, although the tools and strategies involved can be quite sophisticated. The basic process consists of identifying an opportunity, executing a trade, and managing the risk and reward.
Step 1: Identifying the Opportunity
Before executing a trade, speculative traders first need to identify an opportunity based on their analysis. Traders use a combination of methods to spot potential price movements, including:
- Technical Analysis: This involves analysing past price data and chart patterns to predict future price movements. Traders use moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and RSI (Relative Strength Index) to predict trends.
- Fundamental Analysis: Traders might also consider a company’s financial health or broader economic conditions that might affect asset prices.
- For example, a company releasing better-than-expected earnings might increase its stock price, presenting an opportunity for speculative traders.
- Sentiment Analysis: This refers to assessing market sentiment through news, media, or social media platforms to gauge whether investors are generally optimistic or pessimistic about a particular asset or market.
Step 2: Executing the Trade
Once a trader has identified a promising opportunity, the next step is to enter the market by executing a trade. The trader can either buy (go long) or sell (go short), depending on whether they expect the price to increase or decrease.
In speculative trading, positions are typically entered and exited quickly. Traders aim to lock in profits or limit losses within a short period, which requires quick decision-making and the use of real-time market data.
Step 3: Managing Risk and Reward
Effective risk management is essential in speculative trading. Since the market can fluctuate unexpectedly, setting clear risk-reward ratios and using stop-loss orders is important. A stop-loss order automatically closes a trade when the price moves against the trader by a certain amount, limiting potential losses.
For example, a trader may set a stop-loss order at 2% below the purchase price of an asset. If the asset price falls by 2%, the stop-loss order will automatically sell the asset, cutting the loss at a predetermined level. Speculative traders also often set profit targets to lock in gains once the price reaches a certain level.
Step 4: Exiting the Trade
The final step in speculative trading is exiting the trade. Traders must decide when to sell (or buy back) an asset, whether to take profits or cut losses. Timing is critical in speculative trading, as the price can change rapidly quickly.
Successful traders have a clear exit strategy based on their analysis and risk tolerance. Some traders may choose to exit their positions when a specific target is reached, while others may use trailing stops, which allow them to lock in profits while giving the position room to grow.
Types of Speculative Trading Strategies
Traders use several speculative trading strategies to profit from market fluctuations. Each strategy has its approach to risk and reward, and traders typically choose the plan that aligns with their trading goals and risk tolerance.
- Scalping
Scalping is a high-frequency trading strategy that involves making numerous daily trades, each targeting small profits from minor price movements. Scalpers usually hold positions for a very short time—sometimes just seconds or minutes—looking to profit from slight fluctuations in price.
- Time Frame: Very short (seconds to minutes).
- Objective: Capture small price movements.
- Risk: High, as it requires precision and quick execution.
- Reward: Small profits per trade but large cumulative gains.
- Day Trading
Day trading involves buying and selling assets within the same day, with positions typically closed before the market closes. Day traders aim to capitalise on intraday price movements, using technical analysis and market news to make quick decisions.
- Time Frame: Intraday (same day).
- Objective: Profit from short-term price fluctuations within the trading day.
- Risk: High due to market volatility and the need for quick decision-making.
- Reward: Potential for moderate to high profits based on successful predictions.
- Swing Trading
Swing trading is a medium-term strategy where traders hold positions for several days or weeks, aiming to profit from price “swings” or trends. Swing traders mostly use technical analysis to spot trends and capitalise on price movements.
- Time Frame: Medium-term (days to weeks).
- Objective: Profit from larger price swings.
- Risk: Moderate, as positions are held overnight or longer.
- Reward: Larger profits from bigger price movements.
- Momentum Trading
Momentum trading involves buying assets showing strong upward momentum or short-selling assets with downward momentum. Traders use indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify momentum and ride the trend for as long as possible.
- Time Frame: Short-term to medium-term.
- Objective: Profit from sustained price movements in one direction.
- Risk: High, as momentum can reverse quickly.
- Reward: Substantial profits from trending markets.
Examples of Speculative Trading
Let’s consider a few examples of speculative trading strategies in action.
Example 1: Day Trading
A day trader may notice that the stock price of a technology company has been rising throughout the day due to a positive earnings report. The trader buys shares at US$100 early in the morning. By mid-afternoon, the stock price had risen to US$110. The trader then sells the shares, making a profit of US$10 per share, and exits the position before the market closes.
Example 2: Swing Trading
A swing trader might observe a downtrend in the price of oil. After the price reverses, the trader buys oil contracts at US$60, anticipating the price will swing upward. Over the next several days, oil prices rose to US$70, and the trader sold the contracts, making a profit of US$10 per contract.
Frequently Asked Questions
The risk-reward concept in speculative trading refers to the bond between a trade’s potential loss and potential gain. Traders must assess whether the potential reward justifies the risk. A favourable risk-reward ratio means that the potential profit outweighs the risk of loss.
Speculative trading involves taking on risk to profit from price movements, while hedging is a strategy used to reduce or offset potential investment losses. Hedging typically involves taking an opposite position to an existing investment, while speculative trading involves taking positions to profit from price changes.
Leverage refers to borrowing funds to increase the size of a trading position. It allows traders to manage larger positions than they could with their capital. While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases the potential for losses.
The psychology of a speculative trader is crucial to their success. Traders must have emotional discipline, the ability to make quick decisions, and the mental fortitude to handle the stresses of trading. Emotional control and confidence are key psychological traits for managing risk and reward effectively.
Ethics in speculative trading refers to the moral principles that guide traders’ behavior. Speculative traders must act with integrity, avoid market manipulation, and comply with legal and regulatory standards. Ethical trading ensures that traders operate transparently and responsibly in the markets.
Related Terms
- Option Adjusted Spread (OAS)
- Beta Risk
- Bear Spread
- Execution Risk
- Exchange-Traded Notes
- Dark Pools
- Firm Order
- Covered Straddle
- Chart Patterns
- Candlestick Chart
- After-Hours Trading
- Average Daily Trading Volume (ADTV)
- Swing trading
- Sector-Specific Basket
- Regional Basket
- Option Adjusted Spread (OAS)
- Beta Risk
- Bear Spread
- Execution Risk
- Exchange-Traded Notes
- Dark Pools
- Firm Order
- Covered Straddle
- Chart Patterns
- Candlestick Chart
- After-Hours Trading
- Average Daily Trading Volume (ADTV)
- Swing trading
- Sector-Specific Basket
- Regional Basket
- Listing standards
- Proxy voting
- Block Trades
- Undеrmargin
- Buying Powеr
- Whipsaw
- Index CFD
- Initial Margin
- Risk Management
- Slippage
- Take-Profit Order
- Open Position
- Trading Platform
- Debit Balance
- Scalping
- Stop-Loss Order
- Cum dividend
- Board Lot
- Closed Trades
- Resistance level
- CFTC
- Open Contract
- Passive Management
- Spot price
- Trade Execution
- Spot Commodities
- Cash commodity
- Volume of trading
- Open order
- Bid-ask spread
- Economic calendar
- Secondary Market
- Subordinated Debt
- Basket Trade
- Notional Value
- Speculation
- Quiet period
- Purchasing power
- Interest rates
- Plan participant
- Performance appraisal
- Anaume pattern
- Commodities trading
- Interest rate risk
- Equity Trading
- Adverse Excursion
- Booked Orders
- Bracket Order
- Bullion
- Trading Indicators
- Grey market
- Intraday trading
- Futures trading
- Broker
- Head-fake trade
- Demat account
- Price priority
- Day trader
- Threshold securities
- Online trading
- Quantitative trading
- Blockchain
- Insider trading
- Equity Volume
- Downtrend
- Derivatives
Most Popular Terms
Other Terms
- Compound Yield
- Brokerage Account
- Discretionary Accounts
- Industry Groups
- Growth Rate
- Green Bond Principles
- Gamma Scalping
- Funding Ratio
- Free-Float Methodology
- Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
- Floating Dividend Rate
- Flight to Quality
- Real Return
- Protective Put
- Perpetual Bond
- Non-Diversifiable Risk
- Merger Arbitrage
- Liability-Driven Investment (LDI)
- Income Bonds
- Guaranteed Investment Contract (GIC)
- Flash Crash
- Equity Carve-Outs
- Cost of Equity
- Cost Basis
- Deferred Annuity
- Cash-on-Cash Return
- Earning Surprise
- Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)
- Bubble
- Asset Play
- Accrued Market Discount
- Ladder Strategy
- Junk Status
- Intrinsic Value of Stock
- Interest-Only Bonds (IO)
- Interest Coverage Ratio
- Inflation Hedge
- Industry Groups
- Incremental Yield
- Industrial Bonds
- Income Statement
- Holding Period Return
- Historical Volatility (HV)
- Hedge Effectiveness
- Flat Yield Curve
- Fallen Angel
- Exotic Options
- Event-Driven Strategy
- Eurodollar Bonds
- Enhanced Index Fund
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LHN Reports Strong Growth Momentum Driven by Coliwoo Expansion
Company Overview LHN Ltd is a Singapore-based company operating in the co-living and property development sectors. Through its Coliwoo brand, the company has positioned itself as a key player in the growing co-living market, while also maintaining interests in property development and other business segments. Strong Financial Performance Drives Optimism LHN Ltd delivered impressive results in the second half of 2025, with earnings exceeding Phillip Securities Research's expectations. The company's full-year 2025 revenue and profit after tax and minority interests reached 100% and 109% of forecasts, respectively. This strong showing was primarily driven by a substantial jump in co-living earnings, highlighting the company's strategic focus on this growing market segment. The company also announced an increase in dividend distribution, with final and special dividends totalling S$0.03, up from S$0.02 in the previous fiscal year. Aggressive Expansion Plans for Coliwoo The expansion trajectory for LHN's Coliwoo co-living platform remains exceptionally strong, with significant room inventory growth on the horizon. Currently, 714 rooms are undergoing renovation, with an additional 1,500 rooms in the planning pipeline. This expansion represents a remarkable 75% increase from the existing base of 2,933 rooms. The company has identified diverse opportunities across multiple property types, including hotel licenses, student accommodations, commercial buildings, and management contracts. LHN’s management has set an ambitious target of adding approximately 800 rooms annually, translating to a compound annual growth rate of around 27%. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for LHN Ltd, though it has adjusted its valuation methodology following the listing of Coliwoo. The research team now employs a sum-of-parts valuation approach, moving away from its previous 13 times price-to-earnings ratio method. Under this new framework, Coliwoo is valued on a mark-to-market basis with a 10% discount, property development assets at book value, and other remaining business operations at 10 times price-to-earnings. The target price has been revised from S$1.13 to S$0.85. Despite this adjustment, the investment case remains compelling, supported by higher expected dividend yields and new growth areas, including storage space and facilities management businesses. The stock offers attractive valuations with a dividend yield near 6% and an adjusted price-to-book ratio of 0.9 times. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Frasers Property Limited: Value Yet to Be Recognised
Strategic Property Development Across Key Markets Frasers Property Limited (FPL) continues to demonstrate its strategic positioning across diverse property sectors through its recent showcase at Frasers Day Bangkok 2025. The company's portfolio spans industrial, residential, and mixed-use developments, highlighting its comprehensive approach to property development and investment. Key Development Projects Drive Growth The company's recent property visits revealed three flagship projects that exemplify FPL's development strategy. ARAYA – The Eastern Gateway This prime industrial-tech ecosystem is strategically located just 20 minutes from Suvarnabhumi Airport. This development features state-of-the-art infrastructure and comprehensive one-stop services designed to serve modern industries, positioning it as a key industrial hub in the region. GUTE Sukhumvit 76 In the residential sector, GUTE Sukhumvit 76 showcases FPL's high-end development capabilities. This premium residential project comprises 118 detached and semi-detached units across 5.36 hectares, offering spacious layouts and community amenities that cater to upscale suburban living preferences. One Bangkok The crown jewel of FPL's portfolio is One Bangkok, a fully integrated mixed-use district spanning 17 hectares. This comprehensive development features luxury residences, Grade-A offices, diverse retail concepts, hotels, and cultural spaces, representing the company's ability to create vibrant urban ecosystems. Capital Recycling Strategy Addresses Valuation Gap Capital recycling remains a central focus for FPL as the company works to address its significant 57% discount to book value. The group has actively recycled capital into its listed REITs in both Singapore and Thailand, as well as to third parties, with the dual objectives of unlocking value and reducing net debt-to-equity, which currently stands at 89.2% as of September 30, 2025. In FY25, FPL executed S$1.4 billion in divestments, with 45% of proceeds recycled into its listed REITs. The company's key earnings drivers include building its development pipeline through high-quality land acquisitions and strong sell-through rates, the continued ramp-up of One Bangkok, unlocking value through strategic asset recycling, and strengthening recurring fee-based income streams. FPL maintained its commitment to shareholders by paying 4.5 cents per share in dividends in FY25, delivering a dividend yield of 4.4%, while pursuing its broader strategic transformation initiatives. Conclusion As FPL advances its pipeline and unlocks value through targeted recycling efforts, the group continues to demonstrate its ability to create resilient income streams and high-impact landmark developments. With a strengthened balance sheet, expanding development momentum, and iconic projects like One Bangkok setting new benchmarks in urban living, FPL is charting a path of sustained growth. Investors can look forward to a company progressively closing its valuation gap while driving long-term value across multiple real estate sectors. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/FCPTA.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Semiconductor Sector Shows Strong Recovery in Q3 2025
Revenue Growth Signals Market Turnaround The semiconductor industry posted robust performance in the third quarter of 2025, with revenue surging 31% year over year to US$216 billion. This marked a significant acceleration from the second quarter's 27% growth, indicating a strengthening recovery trajectory for the sector. Profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) rose even more dramatically, jumping 93% year-over-year to US$84 billion, representing the highest annual increase since the third quarter of 2024. Technology Transition Drives Growth The sector's strong performance was primarily driven by cloud service providers' strategic transition to cutting-edge technology solutions. Key drivers included the adoption of NVIDIA's Blackwell GB300 GPUs and AMD's MI350 series GPUs, as hyperscalers continued their aggressive capital expenditure programmes. This technological shift reflects the industry's ongoing evolution toward more advanced processing capabilities to meet growing computational demands. Competitive Dynamics in the GPU Market Despite intensifying competition, NVIDIA has maintained its dominant position in the GPU market with over 90% market share across the past two quarters. This resilience comes even as competitors offer compelling alternatives, with Google's TPU delivering an estimated 70% better performance per watt and a lower average selling price (~ 46%) than NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs. Similarly, AMD's MI350 GPU provides approximately 11% better performance per watt and 29% lower pricing. However, NVIDIA's competitive advantage lies in its CUDA software ecosystem, which creates substantial switching costs for customers considering alternatives from AMD or Google. While competitive pricing may pressu margins, its CUDA software ecosystem continues to provide significant protection for its market position. Processor and Memory Outlook The processor and memory segments have experienced five consecutive quarters of decelerating growth since Q3 2024, with trailing twelve-month revenue growth moderating to 51% and 29% respectively. However, analysts believe this deceleration is approaching its trough, supported by hyperscalers' sustained 66% year-over-year capital expenditure growth in Q3 2025, following 65% and 62% growth in the previous quarters. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/strategy-report/semiconductor-3q25-update-processor-and-memory-poised-for-growth-acceleration/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Salesforce Delivers Strong Performance with Informatica Acquisition Boost
Company Overview Salesforce Inc. is a leading cloud-based software company that provides customer relationship management (CRM) solutions and enterprise applications. Its comprehensive cloud computing services enables businesses across various industries manage customer interactions, sales processes, and marketing campaigns.. Strong Quarterly Results Exceed Expectations Salesforce delivered impressive third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, that met revenue expectations while significantly outperforming on earnings. The company's nine-month fiscal 2026 revenue reached 74% of its full-year forecast, while adjusted profit after tax and minority interests reached 80% of its annual projections. Earnings strength was driven by the delayed timing of expenses and improved bad-debt collections, which enhanced overall profitability. Informatica Acquisition Drives Guidance Upgrade The completion of Salesforce's acquisition of Informatica has provided a substantial boost to the company's growth trajectory. Management raised fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 guidance, with the completed Informatica deal contributing a significant three percentage points to revenue growth, bringing the total expected growth to 11-12%. Subscription and Support growth for fiscal 2026 also rose by 0.8 percentage points, resulting in a robust 10% year-over-year increase. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY rating on Salesforce, raising its target price to US$382.00, up from US$364.00. This reflects upward adjustments of 1% to fiscal 2026 revenue and 5% adjusted profit forecasts, following the strong third-quarter results and upgraded guidance. The research firm's valuation methodology remains consistent, with weighted-average cost of capital at 8.4% and terminal growth at 6%. The adjusted fiscal 2026 forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7x offers an attractive valuation, trading below the one-year historical average of 25.3x. This suggest potential upside for investors seeking exposure to the cloud computing sector. Conclusion As FPL advances its pipeline and unlocks value through targeted recycling efforts, the group continues to demonstrate its ability to create resilient income streams and high-impact landmark developments. With a strengthened balance sheet, expanding development momentum, and iconic projects like One Bangkok setting new benchmarks in urban living, FPL is charting a path of sustained growth. Investors can look forward to a company progressively closing its valuation gap while driving long-term value across multiple real estate sectors. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/CRM/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
OUE REIT Maintains Strong Performance Amid Strategic Repositioning
Company Overview OUE REIT is a diversified real estate investment trust with a portfolio spanning office, retail, and hospitality segments. With assets in Singapore and international locations, the REIT is positioning itself as a key player in the commercial real estate sector. Strong Operational Performance Across All Segments OUE REIT continues to demonstrate robust performance across its three primary business segments. The office segment has particularly benefited from the ongoing flight-to-quality trend, which has driven impressive rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. This trend reflects tenants' preference for premium office spaces, reinforcing the REIT's positioning in high-quality commercial properties. The retail segment has shown resilience through its unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the ultra-luxury market. This strategic positioning has helped the segment maintain stable performance despite broader retail market challenges. Meanwhile, the hospitality segment presents an optimistic long-term outlook, supported by an attractive sponsor pipeline, increased efforts to secure MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions) business, and active room rate management. Capital Reallocation and Growth Strategy A significant development for OUE REIT was the successful repatriation of S$318 million in net divestment proceeds from the sale of Lippo Plaza Shanghai. While the specific allocation of these funds are still under review, management has indicated that debt repayment will be prioritised, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. The organisation has also made notable progress on its acquisition strategy, actively screening investment opportunities in Japan and Australia. The REIT’s management has specifically highlighted Australia as the preferred market for office asset acquisitions, particularly Sydney’s office market's attractive characteristics, citing their limited supply and strong demand dynamics. Investment Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for OUE REIT with an unchanged target price of S$0.40. The research house expects growth opportunities to primarily emerge from international acquisitions, particularly noting that the Sydney office segment represents a potentially compelling entry point given current market condition. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation for OUE REIT? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with a target price of S$0.40. Q: How much did OUE REIT receive from the Lippo Plaza Shanghai sale? A: OUE REIT received net divestment proceeds of S$318 million from the sale, which have been repatriated to Singapore. Q: What was the rental reversion performance in the office segment? A: The office segment achieved rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. Q: Which markets is OUE REIT considering for future acquisitions? A: OUE REIT is screening opportunities in Japan and Australia, with Australia being the preferred market for office assets. Q: What factors support the retail segment's performance? A: The retail segment is supported by unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the resilient ultra-luxury market. Q: What is driving the hospitality segment's positive outlook? A: The hospitality segment benefits from an attractive sponsor pipeline, efforts to secure more MICE business, and active room rate management. Q: How will the sale proceeds likely be used? A: While not finalised, priority will be given to debt repayment, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. Q: What makes the Sydney office market attractive for OUE REIT? A: The Sydney office segment offers limited supply and strong demand, creating a potentially compelling entry point for investment. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/OUECR.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. 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ETF Market Review: Most ETFs up in November; gold expected to extend recent gains
November Performance Overview The ETF market delivered mixed results in November, with most funds posting positive returns, though notable exceptions occurred. The standout performer was the oil-tracking ETF (XOP), which surged 5.6% during the month, benefitting from momentum in the energy sector. However, not all sectors shared this success: the Bitcoin-tracking ETF (BITO) declined 17.6%, while the Hang Seng Index ETF (HK.2828) declined 0.3%. Current Market Trends Analysis Technical analysis reveals distinct trend patterns across major asset classes heading into December. The S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Gold, and Singapore Equities are all maintaining strong upward trajectories, suggesting continued investor confidence in these sectors. Meanwhile, Oil and the Hang Seng Index have entered range consolidation phases, indicating potential sideways movement as markets digest recent gains and losses. Bitcoin stands out as the only primary asset class currently in a clear downtrend, reflecting ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency space. December Market Expectations Looking ahead to December, market analysts anticipate divergent performance across ETF categories. Gold-tracking ETFs are expected to extend their recent gains, potentially benefitting from continued safe-haven demand and favourable macroeconomic conditions. This positive outlook for precious metals contrasts sharply with expectations for other major asset classes. Several prominent ETF categories, including those tracking the S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Bitcoin, and the Hang Seng Index, are projected to experience pullbacks in December. This anticipated correction may reflect profit-taking and seasonal market adjustments as investors reposition portfolios ahead of year-end. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference Material: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/technical-analysis/etf-monthly-november-2025-gold-to-outperform-in-december/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. 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Thai Beverage PLC: Challenging Operating Environment Amid External Pressures
Company Overview Thai Beverage PLC (ThaiBev) is a leading beverage company in Southeast Asia, operating primarily in the spirits and beer segments. The company maintains significant market positions in Thailand and Vietnam through its beer operations, while also commanding a strong presence in the regional spirits market. Below-Expectation Financial Performance ThaiBev's recent financial results fell short of analyst projections. For FY25, revenue reached only 92% of forecats, while profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) came in at 86% of expectations. The company's spirits division was particularly weak in the second half of FY25, with PATMI declining 3% year over year. Most concerning was the sharp 11% year-over-year contraction in volumes during the fourth quarter of FY25. The primary driver behind this underperformance was the border dispute with Cambodia, which resulted in a massive exodus of migrant workers from Thailand. This development caused significant disruption to supply chains and contributed to a decline in volumes across ThaiBev's operations. Mixed Segment Performance Despite these challenges, ThaiBev's beer segment demonstrated resilience with strong earnings growth in the second half of FY25. This improvement was attributed to higher contributions from Thailand operations, which reduced minority-interest impacts, and by aggressive cost-cutting measures in distribution and administrative expenses. However, beer volumes still declined 1.2% year over year in 2H25, primarily due to weakness at Sabeco following price increases. Investment Outlook and Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation for ThaiBev, while lowering the target price to S$0.53 from S$0.56. The revised valuation reflects a 22% reduction in FY26 earnings estimates due to lower revenue projections and a 12x FY26 price-to-earnings ratio, which aligns with the company’s four-year average forward PE. Despite significant forecast cuts, analysts expect earnings growth in FY26 as management is anticipated to align operating expenses with reduced volumes. The investment case is further supported by potential gross margin expansion opportunities driven by substantial declines in input costs, including packaging, malt, and molasses prices. However, ThaiBev continues to face a challenging consumer spending environment, recently exacerbated by flooding conditions that may further pressure near-term performance. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/TBV.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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BRC Asia Ltd: Strong Performance Drives 36% Profit Growth
Company Overview and Market Position BRC Asia Ltd operates as a leading steel reinforcement solutions provider in the construction industry, specialising in steel rebar delivery and related services. The company serves as a critical supplier to Singapore's construction sector, supporting major infrastructure and residential development projects across the region. Strong Financial Performance Highlights BRC Asia delivered impressive financial results with adjusted profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) surging 36% year-on-year in the second half of FY25. Full year revenue and adjusted PATMI came in at 96% and 101% of forecasts, respectively, demonstrating solid execution against expectations. Excluding the S$16.5 million disposal gains on associates from 2H24 and other one-off items, the underlying business performance showed remarkable strength. The standout performance was driven primarily by an estimated 34% year-on-year increase in steel rebar delivery volumes, marking the highest volume growth since 2H23. This surge reflects stronger construction project offtake across BRC Asia's key markets, indicating robust demand conditions in the construction sector. Robust Order Book Supports Future Growth BRC Asia's business outlook appears particularly strong, supported by a substantial S$1.9 billion order book. This represents a 36% year-on-year increase and is 42% above the company's five-year historical average. The significant boost stems from S$570 million in T5 contracts awarded during 3Q25, providing substantial revenue visibility for the coming periods. Steel rebar delivery volumes are expected to continue ramping up over subsequent quarters as project offtake strengthens, with peak volumes anticipated in 2026-27. Key growth drivers include HDB BTO buildout programmes, the T5 project ramp-up, and expansion contracts for the Marina Bay Sands Integrated Resort which are expected to be tendered to main contractors by year-end. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research has upgraded BRC Asia to BUY from NEUTRAL, raising the target price to S$5.10 from the previous S$4.10. The revision reflects a 15% increase in FY26 adjusted PATMI forecasts, driven by higher expected delivery volumes. The target price incorporates valuations rolled over to FY26/27, with weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and growth rate assumptions at 10% and 2.5% respectively. The stock also offers an attractive FY26 dividend yield of 4.8%, enhancing its investment appeal. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link:https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/BRCC.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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