Swing trading
This is a style of trading wherein prices have to be anticipated in a pattern of days up to weeks as the swing trade catches the wave of a price movement within the trend or in a cycle. Swing traders differ from day traders, who usually open and close their positions on the same day because a swing trader will exploit the natural swing in the market by holding for a few days to weeks. The objective is to capitalise on a stock’s or other asset’s movement during a specific trend, either by entering at the beginning of a price swing or riding the trend until it reverses.
Swing trading enables investors to stay away from the disruption caused by fluctuations in the short term and the long-term commitment of buy-and-hold investment. Swing trading is favored by people looking for a balanced approach to trading and investing since it may be less time-consuming than day trading and provides traders with the chance to profit from market movements. This type of trading provides more freedom than day trading, enabling traders to combine their day occupations with market involvement while aiming to profit from price volatility.
Swings traders often employ different types of technical analysis, like moving averages, momentum indicators, chart patterns, and trend lines, to track down those price swings. It means trying to catch a bull’s signal while taking profits during signs of the beginning or ending phases.
In the US and Singapore markets, highly liquid assets such as stocks, commodities, foreign exchange (forex), and ETFs are traded based on swing trading. Generally, technical indicators of short-term price movements are used, and positions are entered while the market is volatile.
Table of Contents
What is swing trading?
The financial markets frequently use swing trading, which is particularly common in the stock, forex, and commodity markets. This type of short- to medium-term trading seeks to take advantage of price “swings” or changes within the price trend of an underlying asset.
Swing trading often lasts from a few days to several weeks as opposed to day trading, which includes starting and closing positions inside a single trading day or long-term investment, when assets are maintained for a lengthy period.
Swing traders try to profit from price fluctuations that take place between support and resistance levels. Their judgments are based on the research of technical and fundamental indicators.
Understanding swing trading
In order to capitalise on short- to medium-term market fluctuations, swing traders frequently maintain positions for a few days to several weeks. Swing traders often look for possible trades using both technical and fundamental analysis. To help them decide, they frequently employ indicators like moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI), as well as trends, patterns, support and resistance levels.
Swing traders use stop-loss orders to limit possible losses and calculate the risk-to-reward ratio for each trade. To control risk and be consistent with the trader’s overall risk tolerance and portfolio, the size of holdings is carefully determined.
Patience and discipline are essential for successful swing trading since they allow you to wait for the best entry and exit moments according to your selected trading strategy.
Key Principles:
- Trend-following: Swing traders usually follow market trends, trying to catch both uptrends (bullish) and downtrends (bearish) for price movements. Trends usually consist of alternating periods of price advances and declines; therefore, they are predictable with technical analysis.
The key to successful swing trading is the risk-to-reward ratio. Swing traders are often focused on a ratio of 1:2, which means they’re willing to risk $1 to make $2 potentially. This will ensure that even with a lower win rate, profitability is achievable in the long term.
- Medium-Term Holding: Swing traders usually hold positions for a few days to several weeks as they wait for a price movement big enough to generate a profit, but not as long as position traders who may hold for months.
- Leverage: Swing traders can use margin or leverage to expand their positions and magnify risks and returns. In the Singapore and US markets, margin trading is allowed but requires prudence since margins can also magnify losses during volatile market conditions.
How does swing trading work?
Swing traders look for chances by examining past price data, chart patterns, and important technical indicators like moving averages, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Fibonacci retracement levels. Based on these studies, they seek to enter a trade when they predict a favorable price swing. The trader thereafter establishes precise entry and exit points as well as stop-loss and profit goals.
Swing traders can maintain positions for a number of days or even weeks since they are not limited by the requirement to complete deals within a single day, as opposed to day traders. This method is appropriate for those with hectic schedules since it offers more freedom and requires less continual supervision.
Swing trading methods
Swing trading employs various methods to identify trading opportunities, and these methods are tailored to the trader’s preferences, risk tolerance, and the specific market they are trading. Some of the common methods include:
Technical analysis
- Chart Patterns: Swing traders look for patterns like head and shoulders, flags, and double tops/bottoms to predict price reversals.
- Moving Averages: They use moving averages to identify trends and potential reversal points.
- Support and Resistance: Swing traders focus on price levels where an asset tends to reverse its direction.
Importance of swing trading
Swing trading holds importance in the financial markets for several reasons:
Swing trading can be executed in highly liquid markets, ensuring traders can enter and exit positions with ease.
- Price efficiency
It contributes to price discovery and market efficiency by exploiting price discrepancies.
- Risk mitigation
Swing trading allows traders to manage and mitigate risk through prudent strategies.
- Diversification
Traders can diversify their portfolios by engaging in swing trading alongside other investment strategies.
Benefits of swing trading
- Profit potential
Swing trading gives the chance to make substantial profits by taking advantage of long-term market trends. Traders who are adept at spotting trends and reversals stand to benefit significantly.
- Reduced stress
Compared to day trading, swing trading is less stressful. Traders do not have to constantly monitor the markets, enabling them to pursue other activities or maintain full-time jobs while trading.
- Flexibility
Stock, forex, and commodity markets are just a few of the financial areas where swing trading is applicable. This flexibility allows traders to choose markets that align with their expertise and preferences.
- Risk management
Swing traders can use stop-loss orders to develop risk management methods and minimise possible losses. This promotes profit preservation and capital protection.
Swing Trading Strategies
Swing trading strategies can be widely different based on the market that is traded, the style of the trader, and the asset class. Here are a few of the commonly used strategies:
- Breakout Strategy
How It Works: A breakout takes place when a price breaks an important level of support or resistance, suggesting that it has enough directional strength. Usually, a breakout trader enters a trade during or at the break of this significant level and waits for the price momentum to sustain further in that particular direction.
For example, in the US market, after a smash earnings report, if Tesla (TSLA) breaks above the resistance level of $750, even swing traders might buy in, anticipating a price jump to the next resistance level.
- Retracement (Pullback) Strategy
How It Works: A retracement strategy exploits short-term reversals within an ongoing trend. Swing traders use this strategy to buy during a pullback when the price moves in the opposite direction of the trend, and sell once the trend resumes.
Example: Assume that the price of MSFT is trending upwards but stalls out and falls to its 50-day moving average. Here, the swing trader might view this as an excellent opportunity for looking to buy because he or she feels the trend may continue.
- Moving Average Crossovers
How It Works: Moving averages are lagging indicators that smooth out price data. When a short-term moving average, such as a 10-day moving average, crosses above a long-term moving average, such as a 50-day moving average, it is a bullish signal and traders will enter a long position. Conversely, when the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, it’s a bearish signal and the trader will look to go short.
Example: In the Singapore market, when the Straits Times Index (STI) 10-day moving average crosses above the 50-day, swing traders might buy the index, expecting it to continue rising.
- Range Trading Strategy
How It Works: Range traders identify stocks or assets trading within a defined price range and look to buy at support levels and sell at resistance levels. This strategy works well for assets not trending strongly in either direction.
Example: A range-bound stock like Singapore Airlines (SIA) could be a candidate for range trading if it consistently bounces between $5 and $6. The swing trader will buy at $5 and sell at $6.
Risk Management in Swing Trading
Risk management is essential in swing trading, especially because markets can be very volatile. Proper risk management protects traders from losing large amounts of their capital during unfavourable market conditions.
- Position Sizing
Position sizing refers to calculating how much of an asset to trade based on the available capital and the trader’s risk appetite. Swing traders risk 1-2% of their total capital on any single trade.
- Stop-Loss Orders
Stop-loss orders are essential tools to minimise potential losses. A stop-loss automatically sells when the price falls to a certain point. This means the traders would not lose more than they can afford to.
Example: Using the US market, in the case of Apple (AAPL), a trader may set a stop-loss order at 3 percent below his purchase price to limit his downward potential risk.
- Risk-Reward Ratio
The risk-reward ratio determines how much risk a trader will take versus the potential reward. A favourable risk-reward ratio is essential for long-term profitability. Many swing traders aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
- Diversification
Diversification helps minimise risk since investments are spread across various asset classes or sectors. A swing trader in Singapore might trade in the local stock market (SGX) and commodities like gold or oil, spreading out the potential blow of a downturn in one of these markets.
Examples of swing trading
Let’s consider two examples to illustrate swing trading:
Stock swing trading
For swing trading, a trader observes a well-defined uptrend in a particular stock. Then the trader identifies a support level and anticipates a price bounce off that support. The trader goes long (buys) when the stock approaches the support level. The trader then sets a stop-loss order slightly below the support to manage risk and a profit target at a resistance level. Once the stock reaches the resistance, the trader exits the position, realising a profit.
Forex swing trading
A swing trader in the forex market picks out a currency pair that has been trading in a range-bound pattern for a while. The trader believes that prices will break out of this area. The trader then opens a position (long or short) in the breakout direction when the price makes a move. The trader establishes a stop-loss and a profit objective and keeps track of the trade’s development. The trader closes the transaction when the price hits the profit objective.
Example 1: US Stock – Tesla (TSLA)
- Market Environment: Tesla is quite volatile, thus creating swings to trade upon.
- Entry: TSLA has been consolidating for several days between $700 and $750. It has finally broken above the $750 resistance.
- Exit: Exit at the $800 level. This is an important resistance and a move above that can be an entry point to long positions.
Example 2: Singapore Stock – DBS Group (D05.SI)
- Market Context: DBS Group is one of the largest banks in Singapore and tends to be volatile during earnings reports or major economic events.
- Entry: After a positive earnings announcement, the trader sees a breakout above $30, a previous resistance point.
- Exit: The trader sells at $33, expecting a pullback based on previous price action.
Conclusion
Swing trading is a flexible and potentially profitable strategy best suited for traders who prefer a more balanced approach than day trading. Focusing on medium-term price movements, swing traders can profit from volatility without the time commitment of more intensive strategies. Proper risk management, strategic planning, and a deep understanding of the markets make swing trading an effective way to build wealth in the US and Singapore markets.
Frequently Asked Questions
The primary objective of swing trading is to profit from the short to medium-term price swings within an underlying asset’s trend. Depending on the expected direction of the price movement, swing traders try to buy low and sell high or sell high and purchase low.
Swing trading involves analysing historical price data, technical and fundamental indicators to identify trading opportunities. Traders set entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to capture price swings over several days to weeks.
To find trading opportunities, swing traders use a variety of techniques, such as technical analysis (chart patterns, moving averages, support/resistance) and fundamental research (economic data, news events).
Swing traders can benefit from profit potential, reduced stress, flexibility, and risk management. They have the opportunity to capture significant price swings in various markets.
Advantages:
- Profit potential from price swings.
- Reduced stress compared to day trading.
- Flexibility in choosing markets
- Risk management through stop-loss orders.
Disadvantages:
- Not suitable for all traders, as it requires time and analysis.
- Potential for losses if trends are misjudged.
- Holding positions overnight exposes traders to overnight risks.
Related Terms
- Option Adjusted Spread (OAS)
- Beta Risk
- Bear Spread
- Execution Risk
- Exchange-Traded Notes
- Dark Pools
- Firm Order
- Covered Straddle
- Chart Patterns
- Candlestick Chart
- After-Hours Trading
- Speculative Trading
- Average Daily Trading Volume (ADTV)
- Sector-Specific Basket
- Regional Basket
- Option Adjusted Spread (OAS)
- Beta Risk
- Bear Spread
- Execution Risk
- Exchange-Traded Notes
- Dark Pools
- Firm Order
- Covered Straddle
- Chart Patterns
- Candlestick Chart
- After-Hours Trading
- Speculative Trading
- Average Daily Trading Volume (ADTV)
- Sector-Specific Basket
- Regional Basket
- Listing standards
- Proxy voting
- Block Trades
- Undеrmargin
- Buying Powеr
- Whipsaw
- Index CFD
- Initial Margin
- Risk Management
- Slippage
- Take-Profit Order
- Open Position
- Trading Platform
- Debit Balance
- Scalping
- Stop-Loss Order
- Cum dividend
- Board Lot
- Closed Trades
- Resistance level
- CFTC
- Open Contract
- Passive Management
- Spot price
- Trade Execution
- Spot Commodities
- Cash commodity
- Volume of trading
- Open order
- Bid-ask spread
- Economic calendar
- Secondary Market
- Subordinated Debt
- Basket Trade
- Notional Value
- Speculation
- Quiet period
- Purchasing power
- Interest rates
- Plan participant
- Performance appraisal
- Anaume pattern
- Commodities trading
- Interest rate risk
- Equity Trading
- Adverse Excursion
- Booked Orders
- Bracket Order
- Bullion
- Trading Indicators
- Grey market
- Intraday trading
- Futures trading
- Broker
- Head-fake trade
- Demat account
- Price priority
- Day trader
- Threshold securities
- Online trading
- Quantitative trading
- Blockchain
- Insider trading
- Equity Volume
- Downtrend
- Derivatives
Most Popular Terms
Other Terms
- Bond Convexity
- Compound Yield
- Brokerage Account
- Discretionary Accounts
- Industry Groups
- Growth Rate
- Green Bond Principles
- Gamma Scalping
- Funding Ratio
- Free-Float Methodology
- Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
- Floating Dividend Rate
- Flight to Quality
- Real Return
- Protective Put
- Perpetual Bond
- Non-Diversifiable Risk
- Merger Arbitrage
- Liability-Driven Investment (LDI)
- Income Bonds
- Guaranteed Investment Contract (GIC)
- Flash Crash
- Equity Carve-Outs
- Cost of Equity
- Cost Basis
- Deferred Annuity
- Cash-on-Cash Return
- Earning Surprise
- Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR)
- Bubble
- Asset Play
- Accrued Market Discount
- Ladder Strategy
- Junk Status
- Intrinsic Value of Stock
- Interest-Only Bonds (IO)
- Interest Coverage Ratio
- Inflation Hedge
- Industry Groups
- Incremental Yield
- Industrial Bonds
- Income Statement
- Holding Period Return
- Historical Volatility (HV)
- Hedge Effectiveness
- Flat Yield Curve
- Fallen Angel
- Exotic Options
- Event-Driven Strategy
- Eurodollar Bonds
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Understanding Emerging Markets ETFs
An Emerging Markets ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) is a pooled investment vehicle that invests primarily in stocks from fast-growing, developing economies across Asia, Latin America, Eastern Europe, and Africa. While some Emerging Markets ETFs track broad global indexes to cover dozens of countries at once, others target specific regions, themes, single countries, or investment factors. Additionally, investors can choose between: Passive ETFs: Designed to track the performance of a specific benchmark index. Active ETFs: Managed by portfolio managers who actively select and adjust holdings to seek outperformance. (To learn more, read our guide on What is an Active ETF?) 1. Why Invest in Emerging Markets ETFs? Higher Long-Term Growth Potential Developing economies like Brazil, China, and India are widely recognised for their structural economic tailwinds. These include expanding middle-class demographics, rapid urbanisation, massive infrastructure development, and accelerating technological adoption. According to projections by S&P Global, emerging markets are expected to contribute approximately 65% of global economic growth by 2035. Historically, these economies have expanded at a significantly faster pace than developed nations. Between 2015 and 2025, emerging markets recorded a 10-year GDP compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of ~5.8%, compared to a more modest 2.0% CAGR for developed markets (Figure 1.1). This growth differential highlights the powerful momentum underlying developing economies. Fig 1.1 World Economics as of June 2026 High Allocation to Next-Gen Technology & Innovation A prominent example of a broad market vehicle is the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM). Beyond traditional industrial sectors, a significant portion of EEM's portfolio is allocated to high-growth technology-related sectors (47.37%) (Figure 1.2). This weighting reflects the rapid digital transformation occurring across developing economies, where domestic champion firms dominate e-commerce, semiconductor fabrication, digital payments, and consumer platforms. Fig 1.2 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) Sector Allocations as of 4 June 2026 Strategic Global Supply Chain Positioning Geographically, funds like EEM feature high concentrations in key Asian growth hubs—notably China (28.82%), Taiwan (21.97%), and India (15.20%) (Figure 1.3). Fig 1.3 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) Country Breakdown as of 4 June 2026 While markets like Taiwan and South Korea provide vital advanced tech manufacturing (such as leading-edge semiconductors), other emerging nations, like Brazil, Indonesia, and Saudi Arabia, possess rich deposits of essential natural resources (e.g., copper, lithium, nickel, and crude oil). Together, these economies form critical backbones for both global manufacturing supply chains and the ongoing energy transition. 2. Recent Performance & Expense Breakdown ETF Name Type 1-Year Return Expense Ratio iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) Emerging Market 34.69% 0.72% State Street SPDR S&P Emerging Asia Pacific ETF (GMF) Emerging Market 19.52% 0.49% iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF(EMXC) Emerging Market 50.58% 0.25% iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF (IDEV) Developed Market 25.48% 0.04% Data as of 31 July 2026. Note: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance Context Over the measured 1-year period, broad developed market benchmarks generated moderate returns (with the S&P 500 returning 19.53% and IDEV returning 25.48%). In contrast, targeted Emerging Markets ETFs significantly outperformed their developed market peers. This outperformance demonstrates how capital inflows can surge into developing markets during periods of favourable economic policy, industrial expansion, and earnings acceleration. Understanding Cost Differentials Despite higher return potential, Emerging Market ETFs generally charge higher expense ratios than core US or developed market funds. Operating across multiple developing jurisdictions introduces` higher operational costs, including: Foreign exchange handling and currency conversions Differing local tax structures and custody fees Lower underlying market liquidity or wider local bid-ask spreads Complex regulatory compliance across multiple jurisdictions Investors are essentially paying a small premium to outsource the operational complexity of building a cross-border emerging market basket manually. 3. Key Risks to Consider While the upside trajectory can be compelling, emerging market assets carry elevated risk profiles: Political and Regulatory Risk: Developing markets can experience abrupt policy shifts, regulatory revisions, trade barriers, or geopolitical friction that may impact corporate earnings or access to capital. Currency (FX) Volatility: Because these funds hold assets denominated in foreign currencies (e.g., BRL, INR, TWD, KRW), returns are subject to exchange rate fluctuations. If an emerging market currency depreciates against your home currency, it can erode or neutralise underlying stock gains. Liquidity and Market Volatility: Smaller or less developed local exchanges can suffer from liquidity dry-spells during broader global risk-off events, leading to higher price volatility. 4. Investor Checklist: Evaluating an Emerging Markets ETF Before allocating capital to an Emerging Markets ETF, review the fund's Factsheet for the following indicators: Benchmark Index: Identify what the fund tracks (e.g., MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. FTSE Emerging Index—note that FTSE classifies South Korea as a developed market, whereas MSCI classifies it as emerging). Country & Sector Concentration: Check whether the fund is overweight in a single nation (e.g., heavy China exposure) or concentrated in a single sector (e.g., technology). Top Holdings: Review the top 10 positions to assess single-stock concentration risk. Tracking Error: Measure how accurately the fund replicates its underlying index performance over time. Trading Volume & Bid-Ask Spread: Look for higher average daily trading volume and tighter bid-ask spreads to ensure cost-efficient trade execution on the exchange. 5. How Singapore Investors Can Incorporate Emerging Markets ETFs 1. Portfolio Diversification Adding Emerging Markets ETFs to a portfolio dominated by US or domestic Singapore equities helps lower overall portfolio concentration risk. Because developing markets operate on distinct economic cycles, their returns often exhibit lower correlation with developed markets over long horizons. 2. Intraday Liquidity vs. Mutual Funds Compared to traditional unit trusts or mutual funds, which settle only once per day at the official Net Asset Value (NAV), ETFs trade live on stock exchanges throughout market hours. This offers investors immediate pricing transparency, continuous execution flexibility, and better tactical timing for entry and exit points. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
A-Sonic Aerospace Scales Up Operations with Strategic JGL Group Acquisition for Enhanced Growth
Company Overview A-Sonic Aerospace Ltd is a logistics company that has been expanding its multi-modal freight forwarding operations. Following its latest acquisition, the enlarged group now operates across 16 countries and 34 cities, positioning itself as a significant player in the regional logistics sector. Major Acquisition Details A-Sonic Aerospace has announced the acquisition of a 60% stake in JGL Group for a total cash consideration of S$15.216 million. The transaction structure includes S$6 million for 23.56% of new shares in JGL and S$9.216 million for 36.34% vendor shares. JGL Group brings over 30 years of operating history and specialises in multi-modal freight forwarding across ocean, air and land transportation, alongside paper trading activities and an upcoming ISO-tank cleaning and maintenance facility. JGL's business model demonstrates strong diversification, with ocean freight forwarding accounting for 77% of revenue, followed by paper trading at 12%. The company maintains a substantial presence across six ASEAN countries, with Singapore representing 48% of revenue, Vietnam 17%, Indonesia 11%, Cambodia 9%, Thailand 9%, and Malaysia 6%. For FY25, JGL recorded revenue of US$63.7 million and PATMI of US$1.82 million. Financial Impact and Growth Drivers The acquisition represents compelling value, with the logistics and paper trading business acquired at an implied valuation of S$48.4 million, translating to a 7.73x P/E ratio excluding the Isotank operations. The transaction is expected to deliver significant financial benefits, increasing A-Sonic's FY25 revenue and PATMI by 28% and 36% respectively on a pro forma basis. Earnings per share will rise substantially by 36% to S$0.0511. Multiple growth drivers emerge from this strategic combination. The increased operating scale and container volume creates opportunities for significant cost synergies, particularly in sea freight expenses. The expansion of the agent network enables reduced agent commissions through improved coverage of receiving agents. Additionally, enhanced working capital availability for JGL operations should drive increased customer revenue. The ISO tank depot, scheduled for operational commencement in FY27, will contribute maiden earnings to the group. The acquisition is expected to complete on 1 October 2026, subject to an Extraordinary General Meeting approval. Notably, A-Sonic continues trading below its net tangible assets value of S$0.6245, suggesting potential undervaluation despite the enhanced growth prospects from this strategic expansion. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Lendlease REIT Sustains Retail Momentum with AEI Potential, Upgraded to S$0.77 Target
Phillip Securities Research has maintained its BUY recommendation on Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT) whilst raising the target price to S$0.77 from S$0.73, following strong retail performance and improved capital management metrics. Company Overview Lendlease Global Commercial REIT operates a portfolio of retail and office properties, with its Singapore retail assets serving as key performance drivers. The REIT has recently expanded its retail footprint through the acquisition of PLQ Mall, positioning itself to benefit from suburban retail demand resilience. Strong Operational Performance Drives Growth The REIT delivered solid 2H26 results, with distribution per unit meeting 50% of expectations and rising 2.7% year-on-year. Gross rental income and net property income increased 6.8% and 6.6% respectively to S$110.0 million and S$78.7 million. This growth was underpinned by full-period contribution from PLQ Mall following its acquisition and exceptional retail performance metrics. Retail rental reversions strengthened to 11.7% from the previous year's 10.2%, whilst committed occupancy remained robust at 98.5%. Tenant sales surged 24.0% year-on-year, with cumulative visitation up 16.4%, demonstrating the strength of suburban retail demand. F&B, sports, and jewellery/watches tenants delivered particularly strong performance, though gifts and ancillary-use segments lagged. Management is executing strategic asset enhancement initiatives at PLQ Mall, reconfiguring approximately 16,000 square feet across Levels 1 and 2. The former H&M, Uniqlo, and Foot Locker spaces are being transformed into 3-5 new tenancies, including two anchor F&B concepts in advanced discussions. This initiative targets high-teens rental reversion upon completion by December 2026. Enhanced Capital Structure The REIT significantly improved its financial position, reducing gearing from 42.6% to 38.9% through strategic capital management. The PLQ acquisition was partially equity-funded via S$280 million private placement and S$196.6 million preferential offering, whilst proceeds from the S$462 million JEM Office sale supported debt repayment. Perpetual securities refinancing proved successful, with S$120 million of S$200 million maturing perpetuals refinanced at 4.28% versus the previous 4.2% rate. The remaining S$80 million was funded through cheaper bank debt. Cost of debt improved to 2.75%, down 71 basis points year-on-year and below management's 2.9% guidance. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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SpaceX Faces Financial Headwinds Despite Connectivity Boom, SELL Recommendation at US$75 Target
Phillip Securities Research has initiated coverage of Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) with a SELL recommendation and a DCF-derived target price of US$75.00, based on a WACC of 10.0% and terminal growth rate of 3.5%. The research highlights significant concerns about the company's financial trajectory despite its market-leading positions in space launch and satellite connectivity. Company Overview and Business Performance SpaceX operates as a diversified space technology company with two primary revenue streams: its dominant launch franchise and rapidly expanding satellite broadband business through Starlink. The company's connectivity division has emerged as the clear profit engine, generating substantial growth with revenue climbing 50% to US$11.4 billion and achieving an impressive 39% segment operating margin. However, launch services now represent only 22% of FY25 revenue, indicating the company's strategic shift towards connectivity services. Financial Challenges and Cash Flow Concerns Despite strong growth in connectivity, SpaceX faces substantial financial headwinds. The company recorded an operating loss of US$2.6 billion and net loss of US$4.9 billion in FY25, accompanied by negative free cash flow of US$14 billion. Phillip Securities forecasts that SpaceX will continue generating negative free cash flows through at least FY30, with cumulative outflows expected to reach approximately US$90 billion over this period. AI Ambitions Face Uncertainty The company's artificial intelligence initiatives, whilst positioned as a growth story, present mixed prospects. AI revenue reached only US$3.2 billion in FY25 against a segment operating loss of US$6.4 billion. Critically, the AI business relies heavily on compute contracts that are set to expire by the end of 2029, creating uncertainty about future revenue sustainability. Phillip Securities projects group revenue will peak at US$58 billion in FY28 before declining. Investment Outlook The research presents a cautious view of SpaceX's investment prospects, with the SELL recommendation reflecting concerns about the company's path to profitability despite its technological achievements and market positions. The significant capital requirements and extended timeline to positive cash flow generation appear to weigh heavily on the investment thesis, even as the connectivity business demonstrates strong operational performance. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. 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SIA Demonstrates Resilience Despite Fuel Cost Surge, Phillip Securities Raises Target to S$7.35
Company Overview Singapore Airlines (SIA) operates as a leading international carrier, providing passenger and cargo services globally. The airline has positioned itself as a premium operator in the competitive aviation sector, leveraging its strategic location and service quality to capture market share. Strong Revenue Growth Amid Operational Challenges Phillip Securities Research maintains a NEUTRAL recommendation on Singapore Airlines whilst raising the target price to S$7.35 from S$6.43, following the company's mixed first quarter performance for fiscal year 2027. SIA delivered impressive revenue growth of 19.3% year-on-year to S$5,714 million, representing 27% of full-year estimates and exceeding expectations. However, the airline reported a net loss of S$76 million compared to a profit of S$186 million in the previous year, primarily due to substantial fuel cost increases and associate losses. Record Revenue Performance Drives Positives The airline achieved record revenue performance across both passenger and cargo segments. Passenger revenue surged 18.6% to S$4,582 million, supported by carrying 10.9 million passengers, a 6.3% increase year-on-year, whilst passenger yields rose 12.0% to 11.2 cents per passenger kilometre. The cargo division demonstrated even stronger growth, with revenue jumping 33.5% to S$708 million. Cargo load factor improved 1.9 percentage points to 58.8%, driven by semiconductor and data-centre-related demand, whilst cargo yields increased substantially by 28.1%. Management highlighted that SIA successfully captured spillover passenger and cargo traffic as Middle Eastern carriers reduced capacity due to regional conflicts. However, this competitive advantage is expected to diminish in the second quarter as competing capacity is progressively restored, likely moderating future yield gains. SIA's balance sheet remains robust with a modest net debt position of S$264 million. Total debt increased marginally from S$10,644.7 million to S$10,743.9 million, including a new S$285 million offshore bond issuance largely offset by other debt repayments. The group maintains access to S$3.24 billion of undrawn committed credit lines, providing substantial financial flexibility. Fuel Cost Pressures Present Primary Challenge The primary headwind facing SIA is the dramatic surge in fuel costs. Net fuel costs jumped 78.5% to S$2,253 million as gross fuel costs more than doubled due to elevated jet fuel prices following Middle East conflicts. Management indicated fuel expenses have risen from approximately 28% to 40% of group expenditure this quarter. This increase was partially mitigated by a S$436 million favourable hedging gain, with 46% of first quarter fuel needs hedged through the company's programmatic hedging strategy. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. 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Company Overview Sheng Siong Group Ltd operates as a leading supermarket chain, focusing on fresh products and frozen meals whilst expanding its store footprint across its markets. The company has demonstrated consistent operational improvements, particularly in gross margin expansion over more than a decade. Financial Performance Analysis Sheng Siong delivered solid first-half results for FY26, with revenue and profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) reaching 50% and 48% respectively of full-year forecasts. The company's second quarter performance was particularly impressive, with PATMI rising 11% year-on-year to S$38 million. This growth was underpinned by record gross margins of 32.8% and strategic store expansion. The company's margin expansion story continues to impress investors, with FY26 expected to mark the 14th consecutive year of rising gross margins. This sustained improvement reflects the company's strategic shift towards higher-margin fresh products, supported by robust demand in frozen product categories. The competitive landscape appears to have stabilised, with more rational pricing strategies across the sector. Key Operational Strengths Phillip Securities Research identified several positive factors driving Sheng Siong's performance. The jump in gross margins represents a standout achievement, with quarterly gross margins reaching a record 32.8% in the second quarter. This improvement stems from increased contributions from fresh products, which require specialised equipment to extend shelf life, alongside growth in frozen meals and meat segments. Store expansion continues to drive revenue growth, with the company increasing its store footprint by 9.5% year-on-year to 772,600 square feet across four additional stores, despite closing one location at Elias Mall in April. Notably, revenue per square foot remained relatively stable at S$1,100, demonstrating consistent productivity across the expanded network. Remarkably, Phillip Securities Research noted no significant negative factors in their analysis, highlighting the company's strong operational execution. Investment Outlook and Recommendation Despite strong operational performance, Phillip Securities Research downgraded their recommendation from Accumulate to Neutral, citing valuation concerns. The target price was raised to S$3.31 from S$3.16, incorporating peak pandemic valuations and rolling forward to 28x price-earnings multiples for FY27. Several headwinds are anticipated, including slower 5% net store growth due to closures, rising operating costs from utility renegotiations, and reduced free cash flow as the company begins capital expenditure on its S$520 million Sungei Kadut distribution centre project spanning 2026-2030. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. 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Steady Performance Amidst Portfolio Transformation CapitaLand Ascott Trust, a leading hospitality real estate investment trust, delivered a resilient performance in the first half of FY26 despite facing operational challenges from its ongoing portfolio enhancement initiatives. The trust operates a diversified portfolio of serviced residences and hotels across key global markets, positioning itself as a premier hospitality accommodation provider. Financial Performance Shows Stability The trust reported a 1H26 distribution per unit (DPU) of 2.53 cents, remaining stable year-on-year and aligning with analyst estimates. This result represented 41% of the full-year forecast, with management expecting seasonally stronger performance in the second half. However, core DPU declined 10% year-on-year to 2.16 cents, primarily attributed to timing differences between acquisitions and divestments, income losses from properties undergoing asset enhancement initiatives (AEIs), foreign exchange fluctuations, and one-off tax adjustments. On a same-store basis, distributable income decreased 1% year-on-year. Operational Metrics Reflect Mixed Trends Revenue per available unit (RevPAU) for the second quarter declined 2% year-on-year to S$156, largely due to downtime from properties undergoing enhancement works in key markets. However, on a same-store basis, RevPAU demonstrated resilience with a 1% year-on-year increase, supported by improved operational efficiency and a notable 1 percentage point improvement in portfolio occupancy to 79%. Future Growth Catalysts Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with an unchanged dividend discount model-based target price of S$1.08. The research house maintains its FY26 DPU forecast of 6.1 cents, incorporating S$26 million in distribution top-ups to offset income losses from The Cavendish London AEI project. The firm expects low single-digit portfolio RevPAU growth driven by resilient room rates and higher occupancy levels. Completed enhancement initiatives are expected to support long-term portfolio growth, with higher contributions anticipated from stabilised acquisitions. Notably, The Cavendish London post-AEI and Somerset Clarke Quay are projected to contribute a combined 0.16 cents to FY27 DPU, increasing to 0.21 cents in FY28 and 0.50 cents in FY29. At current levels, the shares offer an attractive FY26 dividend yield of 6.7%. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. 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Apple Inc. operates as a technology company that designs, develops, and sells consumer electronics, computer software, and online services. The company's flagship products include the iPhone smartphone and MacBook computer lines, which continue to represent significant revenue drivers for the business. Strong Performance Amid Supply Challenges Apple delivered solid third-quarter results for fiscal year 2026, with both revenue and profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) meeting analyst expectations. The company achieved impressive 17% year-on-year revenue growth, driven by robust performance across key product categories. iPhone sales surged 22% compared with the previous year, whilst MacBook revenue expanded by an even stronger 29% year-on-year. For the nine-month period, Apple's revenue and PATMI reached 77% and 80% respectively of full-year forecasts, indicating the company remains on track to meet annual projections. The strong performance reflects continued consumer appetite for Apple's premium products across multiple segments. Demand Outpacing Supply Capacity Despite the positive financial results, Apple faces significant operational challenges that are constraining its growth potential. Management highlighted that demand for both iPhone 17 and MacBook products continues to exceed the company's ability to supply them, creating a bottleneck that limits revenue opportunities. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Apple provided revenue growth guidance of 9 to 11% year-on-year. However, this projection reflects the impact of ongoing supply constraints that prevent the company from fully capitalising on strong consumer demand. Additionally, foreign exchange headwinds are expected to create further pressure on revenue growth during the period. Rising Cost Pressures Memory prices represent a growing concern for Apple's profitability outlook. The continued increase in memory costs poses a meaningful headwind that could compress margins going forward. This cost inflation occurs at a challenging time when the company is already grappling with supply chain limitations. Research Recommendation Phillip Securities Research has downgraded Apple from NEUTRAL to REDUCE, maintaining a DCF target price of US$290. The research firm kept its fiscal year 2026 revenue and PATMI assumptions unchanged, applying a weighted average cost of capital of 6.3% and terminal growth rate of 3.5%. The downgrade reflects concerns about supply constraints, rising memory costs, and AI regulations weighing on near-term performance. Notably, there remains no clear evidence that Apple Intelligence is meaningfully driving product upgrades among consumers. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. 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