Price-to-Book Ratio
Table of Contents
- What is the Price-to-Book Ratio?
- Understanding Price-to-Book Ratio
- Interpretation of the P/B Ratio
- P/B Ratio in Investment Analysis
- Examples of Price-to-Book Ratio
- Comparison of P/B Ratios Across Companies
- Limitations of P/B Ratio
- Adjusting P/B Ratios for Inflation and Currency Fluctuations
- P/B Ratio for ESG
- Advanced Techniques in Analysing P/B Ratios
- P/B Ratio History: Case Studies
- P/B Ratio vs. Other Valuation Metrics
- Behavioural Economics and P/B Ratios
- Risk Associated with P/B Ratios
- Conclusion
- Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Price-to-Book Ratio?
The P/B or Price-to-Book ratio is one of the most widely applied financial measures as it compares the market price per share of the company to the book value per share. The P/B can be used as a simple, quick indicator by investors about the amount they are paying for the net assets in the company. When the P/B ratio is smaller, it shows an undervalued stock, while if the ratio is greater, overvaluation can be detected. The formula for the same is:
P/B Ratio = Market Price per Share / Book Value per Share
In the Singapore and U.S. markets, the P/B ratio is particularly relevant in sectors with significant tangible assets, such as real estate, manufacturing, and banking.
Understanding Price-to-Book Ratio
The P/B ratio reflects the relationship between the company’s current stock price and its book value, essentially the net asset value (assets minus liabilities) recorded on its balance sheet.
- Definition of Book Value: This is the company’s net worth from its balance sheet.
- Market Value vs. Book Value: Market value depends on the stock price, which may be determined by investors’ sentiments, whereas book value is based on accounting principles.
- Role of Intangible Assets: Companies with high intangible assets, such as intellectual property or brand value, probably have lower book values than their market valuation.
Example
- Suppose a U.S. technology company’s market price per share is $50 and the book value per share is $25. The P/B ratio would be 2.0.
- A Singapore REIT with a market price per share of S$1.50 and a book value per share of S$1.00 would have a P/B ratio of 1.5.
This ratio indicates whether a company’s stock is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued in comparison to its assets.
Interpretation of the P/B Ratio
Low P/B Ratio (<1.0)
It indicates that the stock may be undervalued or that the market perceives some problems with its growth or profitability.
- Example: Several banks in the U.S. have traded below their book value during market downturns.
- Implication: A low ratio may reflect a good time to buy, but it calls for caution against risks.
High P/B Ratio (>1.0)
This implies that investors have high expectations about growth prospects or intangible assets not reflected in the book value.
- Example: U.S. technology firms like Apple have high P/B ratios because they have significant intangible assets like intellectual property.
- Implication: A high ratio reflects confidence about the company’s future prospects but may also indicate overvaluation.
Neutral P/B Ratio (~1.0)
This indicates that the stock is somewhat fairly valued vis-à-vis its assets.
- Example: Those firms in industries with stable matured businesses mostly have P/B ratios of ~1.0.
- Implication: Investors look at the firm as having found a balance in market expectations vs. asset values.
P/B Ratio in Investment Analysis
This P/B ratio is very effective in:
- Comparison of Valuation: Comparing companies within an industry. For instance, Singaporean DBS Bank and UOB Bank. The ratio is used to compare banks and other financial companies primarily because the companies are asset-intensive.
- Risk: Low P/B would indicate financial or underlying problems, mainly in cyclical industries. Example: U.S. airlines have traded on volatile P/B as they seem to be sensitive to fuel prices and economic conditions.
- Potential for Growth: Tesla is one company in the U.S. with a high P/B. These companies have enormous market confidence in future growth. Investors should compare the P/B ratio with earnings growth, ROE, and market trends.
Examples of Price-to-Book Ratio
Singapore Market
Singapore Airlines typically has a P/B ratio that reveals that the airline industry is capital-intensive. CapitaLand Investment, the real estate giant, often trades with a P/B ratio close to its tangible assets.
U.S. Market
A banking giant, JPMorgan Chase, tends to keep a P/B ratio between 1.2 and 1.5, which depicts stability in profitability. Amazon has a relatively high P/B ratio because of its growth and innovative nature and because it focuses heavily on intangible assets.
Sector at Play in P/B Ratio Analysis
- Technology: In this sector, the P/B ratio tends to be high because many intangible assets, such as patents and software, exist.
- Real Estate: Typically, P/B ratios are low and asset-backed by tangible items such as land and buildings.
- Energy: Highly volatile P/B ratios due to fluctuating commodity prices and geopolitical considerations.
Comparison of P/B Ratios Across Companies
Same Industry
It points out the anomalies and industry leaders.
Example: Comparison of Singapore’s UOB and OCBC to see which is more valued.
Across Industries
This will enable one to know which sectors are under or over-valued stocks.
For instance, The P/B ratio of a retail company based in the U.S., such as Walmart, and Microsoft, a tech firm.
Limitations of P/B Ratio
- It doesn’t take into account growth prospects or earnings direction.
- It tends to undervalue companies having high intangible assets.
- Less relevant for industries driven by services.
Adjusting P/B Ratios for Inflation and Currency Fluctuations
- Effect of Inflation: In high-inflation countries, asset book values are not aligned with their market values, affecting the accuracy of P/B values.
- Illustration: How tech companies in the U.S. adjust for asset appreciation over a long period
- Currency Fluctuations: Multinationals experience volatility in exchange rates, which impacts reported book value in Singapore and the U.S.
P/B Ratio for ESG
Investments
- ESG Impact on Valuation: Companies with superior ESG performance may have a higher P/B ratio due to investor confidence. For example, green energy companies in the United States, like Tesla, always have an inflated P/B ratio.
- Sector-Specific Analysis: Singaporean REITs, if they focus on sustainable properties, can command a premium P/B ratio.
Advanced Techniques in Analysing P/B Ratios
- Weighted P/B Ratio Analysis: Adjusting the ratio based on the contribution of tangible and intangible assets.
- Singapore REITs and Dividends: Asset valuation and consistent payouts
- Sector-specific P/B Ratio Trends
- Financial Services: Banks have typically low P/B ratios due to asset-heavy models.
- Healthcare: High P/B ratios are associated with innovation and growth prospects.
- Retail: P/B is mixed depending on the level of e-commerce versus brick-and-mortar.
P/B Ratio History: Case Studies
- Dot-Com Bubble: U.S. technology companies in the late 1990s had non-sustainable P/B ratios
- Global Financial Crisis (2008): Banking stocks in the U.S. and Singapore traded below book value.
- COVID-19 Pandemic: Quickly changing P/B ratios due to the uncertainty of markets.
P/B Ratio vs. Other Valuation Metrics
- P/B Ratio vs. P/E Ratio: A Comparison of Asset-Focused (P/B) vs. Earnings-Focused (P/E).
- P/B Ratio vs. EV/EBITDA: Role of Debt and Enterprise Value in the Valuation
- P/B Ratio vs. DDM: Asset-focused valuation vs. future cash flow
Behavioural Economics and P/B Ratios
- Investor Psychology: Overconfidence in the high-growth sectors can make P/B inflated.
- Market Anomalies: How Herding Affects the Trend of P/B Ratios in Bull Markets
- P/B Ratios in Technology-Driven Economies
- Effect of AI and Machine Learning: Companies with large investments in AI, such as NVIDIA in the United States, are normally traded at high P/B ratios.
- Digital Economy in Singapore: Fintech and e-commerce startups can threaten conventional valuation rules.
Risk Associated with P/B Ratios
- Accounting Manipulations: Write-offs and asset impairment distort book value.
- Cyclicality of Industries: Economic cycle-based variations in P/B ratios.
- P/B Ratios Integration in Quantitative Models
- Factor-investing Models: Combining P/B with momentum and quality factors.
- Applications of Machine Learning: Predictive analytics using P/B ratios in stock selection.
Conclusion
The Price-to-Book ratio is a versatile tool for market valuation, risk estimation, and potential for growth in Singapore and the U.S. Markets. Though it provides significant insight for investors, it would be used complementarily with other metrics like the P/E ratio and specific industry-specific parameters.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Industry Standards: Countries like Singapore, where the real estate sector is highly capital-intensive, tend to have lower P/B ratios than the United States, where the tech industry is experiencing rapid growth.
- Market Psychology: P/B ratios tend to decline below 1.0 when the economy goes into recession.
- Intangibles: Companies with high intangible assets tend to have higher P/B ratios, even though their tangible book value is low.
- Singapore Market: This market typically reports book values that are revalued due to the changing nature of the property market.
- U.S. Market: The U.S. market typically follows GAAP, which results in conservative book values as certain intangible assets are excluded.
- Singapore: Usually lower for REITs and banks, mainly because regulatory capital requirements prevail.
- U.S.: Stronger for the tech and healthcare sectors, where there is more confidence in innovation and growth prospects.
- Singapore: P/B ratios in banking and real estate have been stable, but they have been evolving in tech startups.
- U.S.: Growth sectors such as clean energy and artificial intelligence have become stronger in recent decades.
- Bull Markets: P/B ratios expand primarily due to optimism.
- Bear Markets: They contract as the focus shifts to fundamentals.
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The research team now employs a sum-of-parts valuation approach, moving away from its previous 13 times price-to-earnings ratio method. Under this new framework, Coliwoo is valued on a mark-to-market basis with a 10% discount, property development assets at book value, and other remaining business operations at 10 times price-to-earnings. The target price has been revised from S$1.13 to S$0.85. Despite this adjustment, the investment case remains compelling, supported by higher expected dividend yields and new growth areas, including storage space and facilities management businesses. The stock offers attractive valuations with a dividend yield near 6% and an adjusted price-to-book ratio of 0.9 times. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
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Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
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Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
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Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/CRM/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
OUE REIT Maintains Strong Performance Amid Strategic Repositioning
Company Overview OUE REIT is a diversified real estate investment trust with a portfolio spanning office, retail, and hospitality segments. With assets in Singapore and international locations, the REIT is positioning itself as a key player in the commercial real estate sector. Strong Operational Performance Across All Segments OUE REIT continues to demonstrate robust performance across its three primary business segments. The office segment has particularly benefited from the ongoing flight-to-quality trend, which has driven impressive rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. This trend reflects tenants' preference for premium office spaces, reinforcing the REIT's positioning in high-quality commercial properties. The retail segment has shown resilience through its unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the ultra-luxury market. This strategic positioning has helped the segment maintain stable performance despite broader retail market challenges. Meanwhile, the hospitality segment presents an optimistic long-term outlook, supported by an attractive sponsor pipeline, increased efforts to secure MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions) business, and active room rate management. Capital Reallocation and Growth Strategy A significant development for OUE REIT was the successful repatriation of S$318 million in net divestment proceeds from the sale of Lippo Plaza Shanghai. While the specific allocation of these funds are still under review, management has indicated that debt repayment will be prioritised, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. The organisation has also made notable progress on its acquisition strategy, actively screening investment opportunities in Japan and Australia. The REIT’s management has specifically highlighted Australia as the preferred market for office asset acquisitions, particularly Sydney’s office market's attractive characteristics, citing their limited supply and strong demand dynamics. Investment Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for OUE REIT with an unchanged target price of S$0.40. The research house expects growth opportunities to primarily emerge from international acquisitions, particularly noting that the Sydney office segment represents a potentially compelling entry point given current market condition. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation for OUE REIT? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with a target price of S$0.40. Q: How much did OUE REIT receive from the Lippo Plaza Shanghai sale? A: OUE REIT received net divestment proceeds of S$318 million from the sale, which have been repatriated to Singapore. Q: What was the rental reversion performance in the office segment? A: The office segment achieved rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. Q: Which markets is OUE REIT considering for future acquisitions? A: OUE REIT is screening opportunities in Japan and Australia, with Australia being the preferred market for office assets. Q: What factors support the retail segment's performance? A: The retail segment is supported by unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the resilient ultra-luxury market. Q: What is driving the hospitality segment's positive outlook? A: The hospitality segment benefits from an attractive sponsor pipeline, efforts to secure more MICE business, and active room rate management. Q: How will the sale proceeds likely be used? A: While not finalised, priority will be given to debt repayment, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. Q: What makes the Sydney office market attractive for OUE REIT? A: The Sydney office segment offers limited supply and strong demand, creating a potentially compelling entry point for investment. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/OUECR.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
ETF Market Review: Most ETFs up in November; gold expected to extend recent gains
November Performance Overview The ETF market delivered mixed results in November, with most funds posting positive returns, though notable exceptions occurred. The standout performer was the oil-tracking ETF (XOP), which surged 5.6% during the month, benefitting from momentum in the energy sector. However, not all sectors shared this success: the Bitcoin-tracking ETF (BITO) declined 17.6%, while the Hang Seng Index ETF (HK.2828) declined 0.3%. Current Market Trends Analysis Technical analysis reveals distinct trend patterns across major asset classes heading into December. The S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Gold, and Singapore Equities are all maintaining strong upward trajectories, suggesting continued investor confidence in these sectors. Meanwhile, Oil and the Hang Seng Index have entered range consolidation phases, indicating potential sideways movement as markets digest recent gains and losses. Bitcoin stands out as the only primary asset class currently in a clear downtrend, reflecting ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency space. December Market Expectations Looking ahead to December, market analysts anticipate divergent performance across ETF categories. Gold-tracking ETFs are expected to extend their recent gains, potentially benefitting from continued safe-haven demand and favourable macroeconomic conditions. This positive outlook for precious metals contrasts sharply with expectations for other major asset classes. Several prominent ETF categories, including those tracking the S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Bitcoin, and the Hang Seng Index, are projected to experience pullbacks in December. This anticipated correction may reflect profit-taking and seasonal market adjustments as investors reposition portfolios ahead of year-end. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference Material: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/technical-analysis/etf-monthly-november-2025-gold-to-outperform-in-december/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. 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Thai Beverage PLC: Challenging Operating Environment Amid External Pressures
Company Overview Thai Beverage PLC (ThaiBev) is a leading beverage company in Southeast Asia, operating primarily in the spirits and beer segments. The company maintains significant market positions in Thailand and Vietnam through its beer operations, while also commanding a strong presence in the regional spirits market. Below-Expectation Financial Performance ThaiBev's recent financial results fell short of analyst projections. For FY25, revenue reached only 92% of forecats, while profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) came in at 86% of expectations. The company's spirits division was particularly weak in the second half of FY25, with PATMI declining 3% year over year. Most concerning was the sharp 11% year-over-year contraction in volumes during the fourth quarter of FY25. The primary driver behind this underperformance was the border dispute with Cambodia, which resulted in a massive exodus of migrant workers from Thailand. This development caused significant disruption to supply chains and contributed to a decline in volumes across ThaiBev's operations. Mixed Segment Performance Despite these challenges, ThaiBev's beer segment demonstrated resilience with strong earnings growth in the second half of FY25. This improvement was attributed to higher contributions from Thailand operations, which reduced minority-interest impacts, and by aggressive cost-cutting measures in distribution and administrative expenses. However, beer volumes still declined 1.2% year over year in 2H25, primarily due to weakness at Sabeco following price increases. Investment Outlook and Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation for ThaiBev, while lowering the target price to S$0.53 from S$0.56. The revised valuation reflects a 22% reduction in FY26 earnings estimates due to lower revenue projections and a 12x FY26 price-to-earnings ratio, which aligns with the company’s four-year average forward PE. Despite significant forecast cuts, analysts expect earnings growth in FY26 as management is anticipated to align operating expenses with reduced volumes. The investment case is further supported by potential gross margin expansion opportunities driven by substantial declines in input costs, including packaging, malt, and molasses prices. However, ThaiBev continues to face a challenging consumer spending environment, recently exacerbated by flooding conditions that may further pressure near-term performance. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/TBV.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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BRC Asia Ltd: Strong Performance Drives 36% Profit Growth
Company Overview and Market Position BRC Asia Ltd operates as a leading steel reinforcement solutions provider in the construction industry, specialising in steel rebar delivery and related services. The company serves as a critical supplier to Singapore's construction sector, supporting major infrastructure and residential development projects across the region. Strong Financial Performance Highlights BRC Asia delivered impressive financial results with adjusted profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) surging 36% year-on-year in the second half of FY25. Full year revenue and adjusted PATMI came in at 96% and 101% of forecasts, respectively, demonstrating solid execution against expectations. Excluding the S$16.5 million disposal gains on associates from 2H24 and other one-off items, the underlying business performance showed remarkable strength. The standout performance was driven primarily by an estimated 34% year-on-year increase in steel rebar delivery volumes, marking the highest volume growth since 2H23. This surge reflects stronger construction project offtake across BRC Asia's key markets, indicating robust demand conditions in the construction sector. Robust Order Book Supports Future Growth BRC Asia's business outlook appears particularly strong, supported by a substantial S$1.9 billion order book. This represents a 36% year-on-year increase and is 42% above the company's five-year historical average. The significant boost stems from S$570 million in T5 contracts awarded during 3Q25, providing substantial revenue visibility for the coming periods. Steel rebar delivery volumes are expected to continue ramping up over subsequent quarters as project offtake strengthens, with peak volumes anticipated in 2026-27. Key growth drivers include HDB BTO buildout programmes, the T5 project ramp-up, and expansion contracts for the Marina Bay Sands Integrated Resort which are expected to be tendered to main contractors by year-end. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research has upgraded BRC Asia to BUY from NEUTRAL, raising the target price to S$5.10 from the previous S$4.10. The revision reflects a 15% increase in FY26 adjusted PATMI forecasts, driven by higher expected delivery volumes. The target price incorporates valuations rolled over to FY26/27, with weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and growth rate assumptions at 10% and 2.5% respectively. The stock also offers an attractive FY26 dividend yield of 4.8%, enhancing its investment appeal. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link:https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/BRCC.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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