Balance of trade (BOT)

Table of Contents

Balance of trade (BOT)
What is the balance of trade?
Understanding the balance of trade
Types of balance of trade
Formula of balance of trade
Importance of balance of trade
Frequently Asked Questions

Balance of trade (BOT)

An essential economic concept known as the balance of trade calculates the difference between a nation’s total exports and imports of commodities and services. It is a crucial metric for measuring a nation’s economic success and can show how competitive it is on the global stage. Governments, companies, and investors all carefully monitor the trade balance since it can significantly affect currency exchange rates, trade policy, and overall economic growth.

What is the balance of trade?

The balance of trade, commonly referred to as the trade balance, is the difference between an economy’s total value of exports and imports. It is one of the crucial elements of a nation’s balance of payments, which is a record of all transactions between a government and the rest of the world over a specified period, usually a year. The balance of trade is an important economic indicator that reflects a country’s international trade activity and can impact its overall financial health.

Understanding the balance of trade

The balance of trade keeps track of a nation’s product and service imports and exports. A nation has a trade surplus when its exports exceed its imports. On the other hand, a nation has a trade deficit when its imports exceed its exports. Several variables, such as an economy’s policies, productivity levels, and currency strength, impact the trade balance. While a negative trade balance can result in economic challenges like inflation and unemployment, a positive trade balance can boost economic growth and employment.

In March 2023, the US trade gap dropped to US$64.2 billion, down from US470.6 billion in February and below market expectations of a US$63.3 billion US$ shortfall. Natural gas, fuel oil, crude oil, passenger vehicle sales and trip sales drove a 2.1% increase in exports to US$256.2 billion, while sales of non-monetary gold and transportation decreased. While this happened, imports decreased by 0.3% to US$320.4 billion, with decreases in purchases of semiconductors, electric equipment, digging gear, crude and fuel oil, organic chemicals, cell phones, other home products, and transportation. However, imports of travel, medicinal preparations, and finished metal forms increased.

When looking at Q1, the goods and services gap shrank by US$77.6 billion, or 27.6%, from the corresponding period in 2022. While imports fell by US$16.2 billion or 1.6%, exports climbed by US$61.4 billion or 8.7%.

Types of balance of trade

The two types of balance of trade are as follows:

Favourable balance of trade

A favourable balance of trade occurs when the value of a country’s exports exceeds the value of its imports. This can lead to a surplus in foreign currency reserves, as well as a boost to domestic industries and employment.

Unfavourable balance of trade

An unfavourable balance of trade occurs when the value of a country’s imports exceeds the value of its exports. This can lead to a deficit in foreign currency reserves and a decline in domestic industries and employment. Governments may attempt to correct an unfavourable balance of trade through measures such as tariffs or import restrictions or by promoting exports through subsidies or other incentives.

Formula of balance of trade

The formula for calculating the balance of trade is as follows:

Balance of trade = total value of exports – total value of imports

This formula produces a positive or negative number representing the balance of trade by deducting the total value of a nation’s imports from the full value of its exports. If exports are more significant than imports, there is a positive balance of trade or trade surplus. When imports are worth more than exports, a negative balance of trade, or trade deficit, results.

Importance of balance of trade

The balance of trade is an important economic indicator that measures a country’s international trade. A positive balance of trade, or trade surplus, can contribute to a country’s economic growth by increasing domestic production, investment, and employment.

A trade surplus can also accumulate foreign currency reserves, stabilising exchange rates and supporting the domestic currency. Monitoring the balance of trade can help identify areas where a country is competitive or lacking in terms of export industries and competitiveness. Governments may use the balance of trade as a guide for implementing trade policies, such as import restrictions or export incentives, to achieve a favourable balance of trade.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are examples of balance of trade?

Examples of countries with a positive balance of trade or trade surplus balance include Germany, Japan, South Korea, and China. These countries export more goods and services than they import, resulting in a net inflow of funds. On the other hand, countries with a negative balance of trade or trade deficit, such as the United States, import more goods and services than they export, leading to a net outflow of funds.

What is the difference between a balance of trade and a balance of payment?

The trade balance is the difference between a nation’s imports and exports of physical items. On the other hand, the balance of payments is a more comprehensive metric that accounts for all financial dealings between a nation and the rest of the globe, including transfers, investments, and service exchanges.

What is a surplus balance of trade?

A surplus balance of trade occurs when a country’s total exports exceed its total imports during a given period. This means that the government is exporting more than it is importing, resulting in a positive balance of trade. A surplus balance of trade indicates a strong economy, as it reflects that the country is producing and selling more goods and services to other countries than it is buying from them. This can increase domestic employment, economic growth, and ensure a more robust national currency. However, a surplus balance of trade can also result in trade tensions with other countries, as they may feel that the government is taking advantage of them by exporting more than it is importing.

What are the factors affecting the balance of trade?

The factors affecting the balance of trade include the exchange rate, trade policies, tariffs and quotas, domestic and foreign demand, inflation rates, and economic development.

How to measure the balance of trade?

The balance of trade is measured as the difference between the total value of products and services exported and imported during a given period, often a year.

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Centurion Corporation Maintains Strong Growth Trajectory with BUY Rating and S$1.94 Target Price

Published on Aug 21, 2026 33

Centurion Corporation Ltd (CCL), a leading provider of purpose-built worker accommodation (PBWA) and student accommodation across Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, and the UK, has demonstrated robust growth momentum in its 1H26 results. The company operates a diversified portfolio of accommodation assets serving both migrant workers and students across multiple markets. Strong Revenue Growth Driven by Strategic Acquisitions CCL's revenue performance has been particularly impressive, with first-half 2026 revenue surging 31% year-on-year to S$184.9 million, marking the company's strongest growth since the first half of 2022. This exceptional performance was primarily driven by a series of strategic acquisitions and asset enhancement initiatives across key markets. The revenue acceleration reflects several major acquisitions that have significantly expanded CCL's capacity. The company acquired an additional 55% stake in the 8,006-bed Westlite Mandai Purpose-Built Workers' Accommodation (PBWA) facility, representing 19% of Singapore's capacity. In Malaysia, CCL acquired the 7,083-bed Harum Megah PBWA, adding 20% to the country's capacity. The Australian market saw the addition of the 732-bed EPIISOD Macquarie Park facility, which boosted Australia's PBSA capacity by 82%. Beyond acquisitions, ongoing asset enhancement initiatives have contributed substantially to growth. These projects added 5,460 beds, representing a 13% increase in Singapore capacity through expansions at Westlite Toh Guan and Westlite Mandai PBWA facilities, which are currently in the occupancy ramp-up phase. Market Dynamics Signal Continued Demand A significant positive development for CCL came through securing a three-year lease extension from JTC for the 1,224-bed Westlite Tuas Avenue 2 quick build dormitory, with options for an additional 3.5-year extension. This extension indicates a shortage of worker dormitories in Singapore, particularly given the progress of major construction projects including Changi Terminal 5, Marina Bay Sands Integrated Resort, healthcare facilities, and Cross Island Line construction. Investment Outlook and Guidance Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with an upgraded target price of S$1.94, increased from the previous S$1.85. The revised valuation incorporates CCL's 7,000-bed Kranji Close PBWA project and improved quick build dormitory valuations. CCL has provided forward revenue guidance of S$190 million for the second half of 2026, representing 22% year-on-year growth, with total beds expected to grow at a 5% compound annual growth rate through 2028. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Frencken Group Outlook Strengthens on Semiconductor Recovery, Upgraded to Buy with S$3.30 Target Price

Published on Aug 21, 2026 21

Frencken Group Ltd, a leading provider of precision engineering and manufacturing services across semiconductor, medical, automotive, and industrial automation sectors, has received an upgraded rating from Phillip Securities Research following its 1H26 results and improved outlook for the remainder of the year. Mixed First Half Performance Sets Stage for Recovery The company's 1H26 revenue and profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) came in within expectations, representing 47% and 45% of full-year forecasts respectively. PATMI declined 3% year-on-year to S$19.2 million, primarily due to anticipated weakness in semiconductor and analytical life science segments. However, this decline was partially offset by robust performance in medical, industrial automation, and automotive divisions. Key Positive Developments Drive Optimism The medical segment showed particularly strong momentum, with 2Q26 revenue accelerating to 16% year-on-year growth, reaching S$35.8 million compared to just 5% growth in 1Q26. This acceleration was driven by increased orders from Europe for digital pathology equipment, highlighting the company's strong positioning in advanced medical technology manufacturing. Industrial automation also demonstrated resilience, with 2Q26 revenue rebounding 19% year-on-year to S$10.8 million following a 1% decline in 1Q26. This recovery was attributed to higher orders from the company's data storage customer, though management cautioned that 2H26 industrial automation revenue is expected to decline due to changes in customer sourcing arrangements. The automotive segment maintained steady growth momentum, with 1H26 revenue advancing 10% year-on-year to S$32.2 million. This performance was underpinned by increased production of radar antennas. Notably, Frencken's European automotive customer is transitioning from pilot production in Sweden to high-volume production in China, with management guiding a production ramp that will increase volumes quarter-by-quarter over the next two years. Second Half Recovery Expected Phillip Securities Research anticipates 2H26 growth in Frencken's semiconductor, automotive, and medical segments will offset the projected decline in industrial automation. The semiconductor outlook appears particularly promising, with DUV and metrology demand expected to surge for the company's Netherlands front-end semiconductor customer in 2H26. Additionally, some demand pull-in is anticipated from automotive customers. Based on these developments, Phillip Securities Research upgraded Frencken Group to BUY from ACCUMULATE whilst maintaining the target price at S$3.30, representing a valuation of 29x FY27 price-to-earnings ratio. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Pan-United Corporation Delivers Stellar 1H26 Results with Surging Margins and Volume Growth

Published on Aug 21, 2026 25

Pan-United Corporation Ltd, a leading ready-mixed concrete (RMC) provider in Singapore, has reported exceptional first-half 2026 results that significantly exceeded expectations. Phillip Securities Research maintains its BUY recommendation whilst raising the target price to S$1.96 from the previous S$1.73, reflecting improved revenue and earnings forecasts. Company Overview Pan-United Corporation operates as a primary supplier of ready-mixed concrete in Singapore's construction sector, serving major infrastructure and residential development projects. The company has invested in digital technology platforms to enhance operational efficiency and maintains a strong market position in the local construction industry. Strong Revenue Growth Driven by Multiple Factors The company delivered impressive first-half 2026 performance with revenue accelerating 37% year-on-year to S$549.6 million, marking the biggest increase since 2H21. This stellar performance was underpinned by an estimated 26% increase in RMC volume alongside a 9% rise in average selling prices. The volume growth stemmed from significant construction projects including Changi Airport Terminal 5, Thomson-East Coast Line/Downtown Line 2 extension, healthcare facilities such as the New Tengah General & Community Hospital, and ongoing Build-To-Order flat construction. Higher RMC prices resulted from supply chain disruptions and rising fuel costs due to Middle East conflicts, which elevated aggregate and cement costs. Despite these input cost pressures, Pan-United demonstrated remarkable pricing power by effectively passing increased costs to customers whilst maintaining strong demand. Margin Expansion Through Operational Excellence Particularly noteworthy was the company's ability to expand margins despite higher input costs. EBITDA and net margins improved by 82 and 55 basis points year-on-year respectively, demonstrating effective cost management and operational leverage. The company achieved higher operational efficiencies from increased volumes delivered through its Air Digital technology platform, which enhanced productivity and resource allocation. PATMI surged 52% year-on-year to S$31.3 million, representing the strongest growth since 2H23. This performance reflected both volume growth and improved operational efficiency rather than merely price increases. Positive Outlook and Shareholder Returns Construction visibility remains healthy with 1H26 contracts awarded increasing 9% year-on-year to S$31 billion. Industrial projects showed particular strength with 63% growth in twelve-month tenders through June 2026, supported by JTC industrial site tenders and PUB upgrade projects. The company increased its interim dividend by 50% to 1.5 cents per share whilst maintaining a consistent 34% payout ratio, providing shareholders with enhanced returns alongside capital appreciation potential. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Prime US REIT Shows Recovery Momentum with Occupancy Gains, Maintains US$0.25 Target Price & Buy Rating

Published on Aug 21, 2026 11

Company Overview Prime US REIT is a real estate investment trust focused on freehold integrated urban logistics properties strategically located across major gateway markets in the United States. The REIT owns a diversified portfolio of logistics assets serving key metropolitan areas. Mixed Performance Amid Recovery Trajectory Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for Prime US REIT with a revised target price of US$0.25, down from the previous US$0.32. The adjustment reflects updated forecasts following the REIT's first-half 2026 results, which showed mixed performance indicators against a backdrop of ongoing occupancy recovery. The REIT reported a 1H26 distribution per unit (DPU) of 0.50 US cents, representing 38% of Phillip Securities Research's full-year forecast. Whilst this figure fell below estimates, it marked a remarkable 317% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by management's decision to raise the payout ratio significantly to 65% from just 10% in the previous corresponding period. However, distributable income declined 33.1% year-on-year due to elevated operating costs and finance expenses, which rose 17% following incremental drawdowns on debt facilities to fund capital expenditure. Positive Portfolio Momentum The standout performance metric was the continued improvement in portfolio occupancy, which recorded its fifth consecutive quarter of growth. Occupancy levels reached 84.1% in the second quarter, advancing from 83.1% in the first quarter and representing a substantial improvement from 78.9% in the first quarter of 2025. The leasing momentum remained robust, with 90,000 square feet of new leases secured during the second quarter at a positive rental reversion of 6.2%. Notably, 29,000 square feet of this leasing activity came from existing tenant expansions, demonstrating the quality and stickiness of Prime's tenant base. The REIT has 492,000 square feet of committed leases representing 11.7% of net lettable area yet to commence cash contributions, scheduled to contribute progressively from the third quarter onwards. Stable Financial Metrics Despite operational challenges, Prime US REIT maintained stable balance sheet metrics. Aggregate leverage remained steady at 44.9% with an interest coverage ratio of 1.6 times. The weighted average interest rate increased modestly by 10 basis points to 5.5%, with further increases expected following hedge expirations in June 2026. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

PopNex Market Share Advances Despite Challenging New Home Sales Environment, Maintains S$2.08 Target Price & Accumulate Rating

Published on Aug 21, 2026 13

Company Overview PropNex Ltd is Singapore's leading property agency services company, operating across multiple segments including private resale transactions, HDB resale, rental services, and project marketing for new home developments. The company has demonstrated consistent market share gains across its key business segments. Mixed Performance in Challenging Market Conditions PropNex delivered 1H26 results that were within expectations, with revenue and PATMI representing 53% and 57% of full-year forecasts respectively. The company reported a modest 3% year-on-year decline in PATMI to S$41 million, despite facing challenging market conditions and record comparatives from the previous year. The interim dividend remained steady at 5 cents, reflecting management's confidence in the business fundamentals. Key Positives: Resilient Private Resale Growth The standout performer was the private resale market, which generated S$167.5 million in revenue, marking a solid 6.9% year-on-year increase. This growth was primarily driven by the landed resale segment, which surged 25% to S$42 million. The significant discount between resale properties and new launch prices continues to support transaction volumes in this segment. PropNex strengthened its market position further, with private resale market share increasing by one percentage point to 66.3%. Key Negatives: New Home Sales Under Pressure Project marketing sales faced headwinds, declining 8% year-on-year to S$238.4 million. This weakness reflected broader industry challenges, with new home sales falling 9.4% year-on-year to 4,154 units during 1H26. The decline stems from fewer new launches in the market, creating a more constrained environment for project marketing activities. Outlook and Investment Recommendation Despite current challenges, PropNex continues to gain overall market share, reaching 64.3% of all HDB resale and private residential transactions, up from 60.6% in FY25. The company expects a more exciting pipeline in 2027, with potentially 11,000 units launching compared to 8,500 units in 2025. Phillip Securities Research maintains its Accumulate recommendation and DCF target price of S$2.08, noting that PropNex offers an attractive yield of 5.2%, supported by net cash of S$130 million and an impressive return on equity of 58%. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Sea Ltd Shows Strong Growth Momentum with BUY Rating and US$170 Target

Published on Aug 21, 2026 6

Sea Ltd, a leading Southeast Asian digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services platform, continues to demonstrate robust performance across its key business segments. Phillip Securities Research maintains its BUY recommendation with an unchanged target price of US$170.00, citing significant growth runway ahead for the company. Strong Revenue Performance Across Business Units The company delivered impressive second-quarter results with revenue growth of 48% year-on-year, driven by strong performance across its three main divisions. Shopee, the e-commerce arm, posted 49% year-on-year growth, whilst Monee, the digital financial services division, expanded rapidly with 59% year-on-year growth. Garena, the digital entertainment segment, showed more modest but steady growth of 16% year-on-year. Revenue slightly exceeded expectations, though elevated sales and marketing expenses and higher provision for credit losses impacted earnings. Shopee Maintains Healthy Growth Trajectory Shopee continues to demonstrate strong market momentum with gross merchandise value growing 28% year-on-year to US$38.3 billion, marking eight consecutive quarters of sequential growth. The platform benefits from robust user acquisition and engagement metrics, with monthly active buyers increasing 18% year-on-year and new active buyers surging 35% year-on-year. Purchase frequency also improved by 8% year-on-year, indicating deeper user engagement. Advertising revenue remains a significant growth driver, expanding 70% year-on-year with advertising take rates improving by 90 basis points. The company's investments in logistics, fulfilment, ShopeeVIP, and content initiatives are gaining traction, with fulfilment volume growing 20% quarter-on-quarter and VIP membership increasing 25% quarter-on-quarter. Livestream and short-video orders experienced particularly strong growth of 50% year-on-year. Monee Expands Through Enhanced Credit Models Monee's sophisticated approach to credit risk management is enabling aggressive expansion of its borrower base. The division has refined its credit-risk models by combining transactional data with external data sources, improving approval rates by 10% whilst maintaining similar risk levels. AI-based income document verification has reduced review time by 95%, streamlining operations significantly. The loan book reached US$11.1 billion, representing 52% year-on-year growth, whilst maintaining a low 90-day non-performing loan ratio of 1.0%. Monee added 5.3 million first-time borrowers during the quarter, with active credit users growing 34% year-on-year to 40 million users. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Shopify Positioned to Lead AI Commerce Revolution Despite Margin Pressures, Accumulate Rating at US$170 Target

Published on Aug 21, 2026 8

Strong Performance Drives Forecast Upgrades Shopify Inc., the leading e-commerce platform provider, continues to demonstrate robust growth momentum as it positions itself at the forefront of artificial intelligence-driven commerce. The company's second quarter performance exceeded expectations, with both revenue and adjusted profit after tax and minority interests surpassing forecasts due to stronger-than-expected gross merchandise value growth and broad-based merchant momentum. Revenue climbed 34% year-on-year, supported by growth across both subscription solutions (+23% YoY) and merchant solutions (+37% YoY). The merchant solutions growth was particularly driven by strong GMV expansion and higher Shopify Payments penetration. However, margins declined 90 basis points year-on-year due to a mix shift toward lower-margin merchant solutions revenue and increased AI and large language model costs. Analyst Outlook and Recommendation Phillip Securities Research has downgraded its recommendation from Buy to Accumulate, citing recent share price movement, whilst raising the target price to US$170 from US$160. The research house has increased its FY26 revenue and profit forecasts by 3% and 1% respectively to reflect the stronger-than-expected GMV growth, whilst maintaining unchanged terminal growth and weighted average cost of capital assumptions. AI Integration Strengthens Competitive Position The positives surrounding Shopify's strategic direction are compelling. AI is increasingly emerging as a significant tailwind for the platform, with traffic on agentic and AI-attributed orders both tripling year-on-year in the second quarter. Sidekick daily active users rose 3.6 times year-on-year, whilst catalogue conversion rates are double those of general search. The company's Catalogue feature could become a structural competitive advantage as AI-driven shopping gains traction. It provides AI agents with richer, structured product data to match products with specific consumer intent rather than simply ranking by keywords. This particularly benefits Shopify's long-tail merchants, with 75% of AI-attributed orders coming from outside its top 100 categories. Additionally, as AI agents and other channels create a more fragmented commerce environment, Shopify's ability to manage complex transaction flows across taxes, discounts, inventory, fulfilment, and payments provides critical infrastructure. Shop Pay GMV grew 53% year-on-year, whilst Shopify Payments penetration reached 68% of GMV, up from 65% in the prior year period. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Singapore Exchange Limited Delivers Record Performance, Downgraded to Neutral at S$25.00 Target

Published on Aug 21, 2026 9

Strong Cash Equities Growth Drives Record Year Singapore Exchange Limited, one of Asia's leading multi-asset exchanges providing trading, clearing, settlement, and depository services across equities, derivatives, and fixed income, delivered a record-breaking performance in FY26 driven primarily by exceptional cash equities growth. The exchange operator's 2HFY26 revenue and earnings met analyst estimates, with full-year results coming in at 102% and 101% of forecasts respectively. Key Performance Drivers Cash equities emerged as the standout performer, contributing 59% of 2H26 revenue growth with revenues surging 40% year-on-year to S$282 million. This represented S$80 million of the S$135 million group increase, positioning cash equities revenue at nearly 1.5 times equity derivatives, up from 1.1 times previously. The strong performance was underpinned by FY26 securities daily average value (SDAV) rising 35% to S$1.8 billion, marking an 18-year high, whilst maintaining the average net clearing fee at 2.61 basis points. Fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) also delivered robust growth, with revenue increasing 21% year-on-year on record FY26 currency and commodity derivatives volumes, particularly in INR/USD, USD/CNH and iron ore contracts. SGX FX average daily value expanded 33% in FY26 through client expansion into EMEA and the Americas. Mixed Performance Across Segments Equity derivatives trading and clearing revenue showed modest growth of 2.5% year-on-year, though the average net fee per contract declined 7% to S$1.20. Management attributed this decline to Singapore dollar strength and a higher proportion of clients benefiting from volume tier pricing, expecting this trend not to persist. Notably, equity derivatives have fallen to become the third-largest segment, overtaken by FICC. Analyst Outlook and Valuation Concerns Phillip Securities Research has downgraded Singapore Exchange to Neutral whilst raising the target price to S$25.00 from S$18.30 previously. The upgrade in target price reflects increased FY27 estimates by 11% due to higher FICC and equities revenue alongside lower operating expenses. However, the downgrade reflects valuation concerns, with SGX trading at 38.6 times FY26 P/E versus a five-year mean of approximately 22 times, suggesting record performance levels are already priced into current valuations. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq] This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

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