Adverse selection

Adverse selection

The vendor and the buyer should both enter a transaction with an equal level of knowledge. The term “adverse selection” describes a situation in which the buyer or the seller knows a component of product quality that the other party does not. Comprehending adverse selection if you work in insurance, economics, or a similar field is critical because it could impact your transactions. 

 

What is adverse selection? 

A situation in which sellers know that buyers do not, or vice versa, regarding a certain feature of product quality. is referred to as adverse selection. So, those who work in hazardous environments or lead high-risk lives are more likely to buy life or disability insurance, knowing they will likely be able to use it.  

Moreover, a seller may be more knowledgeable than a consumer about the goods and services being supplied, which would disadvantage the buyer in the deal. Adverse selection may be seen in markets for insurance or used cars. 

Understanding adverse selection  

Adverse selection occurs when one party to a transaction has more precise knowledge than the other. The side with more information will profit more from the deal, which disadvantages the other party with less accurate information. The price charged for particular goods or services is inefficient due to information asymmetry. These circumstances might happen in the insurance industry, the capital market, and regular marketplaces.  

Insurers have discovered that high-risk individuals are more apt to purchase policies and make heftier premium payments in the insurance industry. The business suffers a financial loss by disbursing more benefits if it charges a low price but only high-risk customers purchase. Yet, the company has more money to pay such benefits because high-risk policyholders pay higher premiums.  

A life insurance provider, for instance, raises premiums for race car drivers. Residents of high-crime areas who get auto insurance from a company are charged more. Similarly, a health insurance provider sets higher premiums for some customers. 

Consequence of adverse selection  

Depending on the circumstance, adverse selection may harm buyers and sellers. It may lead to differences in how a good or service is valued, impacting transactions. For instance, if a seller conceals a product problem from the buyer despite being aware of it, the buyer may end up with a product that falls short of his needs or expectations.  

The seller may have difficulties since potential customers can decide not to buy if they can’t discern the real value of a good or service. Adverse selection can have significant market effects in the insurance industry. High-risk purchasers who hide information to obtain lower premiums might cause a company to face serious financial problems.  

As a result, fewer insurance providers will be in the market, which raises costs for low-risk customers. Ultimately, adverse selection may result in a market with fewer options and higher rates for low-risk consumers. 

Adverse selection between buyer and seller  

When a buyer plans to acquire a service or good from a seller, but the seller knows more about the good or service, this is known as adverse selection. The buyer is disadvantaged in this scenario since he is entering into a contract with a seller who might not be prepared to disclose all the details regarding the offered object. 

 

Adverse selection in the capital markets  

Some securities are more vulnerable to adverse selection than others in the capital markets. For instance, a fast-growing business might charge a premium price for equity when selling it to investors in the capital markets. The investor is subjected to adverse selection if the capital market managers possess inside knowledge about the company that outside investors are unaware of. 

Frequently Asked Questions

Due to the information asymmetry in the market caused by customers’ lack of access to the seller or producer-held information, adverse selection drives up costs. While consumers may be cautious about the quality of the goods offered for sale, this may also result in lower consumption. 

Adverse selection occurs when the pool of potential customers or employees from which a company must choose is not representative of the population as a whole. This can lead to a situation where the company is unable to accurately assess the risks and rewards associated with a given customer or employee, leading to suboptimal outcomes for both the company and the individual.  

In the context of insurance, for example, adverse selection can lead to a situation where sick people are more likely to buy insurance than healthy people, leading to higher premiums and a death spiral for the insurance company. 

The lemon problem, which asserts that used car buyers can’t tell the difference between a nice used automobile (a peach) and a lousy used car (a lemon), leads them to pay the average of the two while hoping for the best, is the most famous example of adverse selection. 

There are a few potential solutions to adverse selection in markets. One is to have better information available to buyers and sellers. Additionally, insurance companies restrict coverage or raise prices to reduce exposure to major claims.  

For example, if people are buying health insurance, there could be a requirement that everyone purchase a basic level of coverage. This would help to ensure that people are not choosing insurance plans that only cover the healthiest individuals. 

It is also possible to directly address the problem of adverse selection through regulation. For example, the government could impose minimum standards on insurance plans or set up a risk classification system to help ensure that people are not choosing policies that do not meet their needs. 

Moral hazard mostly affects transactions before they happen. After a transaction, adverse selection is mostly a problem. Asymmetry in information leads to moral hazard. Moral hazard is eliminated when adverse selection is eliminated. 

 

 

Grouping high-risk persons and charging them greater fees are one-way insurance firms  might avoid adverse selection. 

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Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. 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You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. 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This improved balance sheet provides flexibility for potential acquisitions, whilst forward purchases of raw materials are largely hedged for the current financial year's requirements. Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with a target price of S$0.53, highlighting Thai Beverage’s attractive valuations at 10 times FY26e earnings, with a dividend yield of approximately 5.5%. Margins are expected to remain resilient due to lower-priced raw materials purchased and disciplined operating cost management. The potential spinoff of Beerco presents an asset monetisation opportunity, particularly given Southeast Asia's, especially Vietnam's, attractiveness to strategic investors as a growing consumer market. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq]   This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.   Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

    Micron Technology Benefits from AI Memory Demand and Tight Supply

    Published on Jul 3, 2026 26 

    Company Overview Micron Technology, Inc. is a leading semiconductor company specializing in memory solutions, producing both DRAM and NAND flash memory products for various applications including mobile, client, and automotive markets. Strong Financial Performance Driven by ASP Surge Micron delivered exceptional third-quarter FY2026 results, with adjusted profit after tax and minority interests spiking 12.2 times year-on-year to a record US$28.9 billion. This remarkable performance was underpinned by 41% year-on-year bit shipment growth and substantial average selling price (ASP) increases, estimated at 215% for DRAM and 272% for NAND products. The nine-month FY2026 revenue and adjusted PATMI reached 73% and 72% of full-year forecasts respectively, indicating strong momentum. Revenue surged to US$42 billion whilst profit margins expanded significantly, with gross margins reaching 84.9%, driven primarily by the higher ASPs across both memory segments. Strategic Customer Agreements Reduce Cyclicality A key positive development is Micron's progress in securing long-term strategic customer agreements (SCAs). The company has signed 16 such agreements to date, covering approximately 20% of DRAM volume and 30% of NAND volume from 2026 to 2030. These agreements represent US$100 billion in remaining performance obligations, equivalent to 2.7 times FY25 revenue, with US$22 billion in cash deposits and financial commitments from customers. The SCAs include price bands with floor prices that enable higher gross margins than Micron's historical peak of 63%. This structure provides greater revenue visibility and reduces the company's traditional cyclical exposure, although approximately 75% of revenue remains subject to cyclical demand patterns in mobile, client, and automotive segments. Market Dynamics Support Pricing Power Memory supply remains constrained due to lengthy lead times for new fabrication facility expansions, which typically require 2 to 4 years, alongside persistent cleanroom space limitations. Customers are prioritizing volume security over price considerations, leading major players including Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron to sign longer-term contracts spanning 3 to 5 years, compared to typical one-year commitments historically. Investment Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY rating with a raised target price of US$1870, reflecting increased FY27 revenue and PATMI forecasts raised by 16% and 23% respectively. The valuation assumes a 14 times FY27 price-to-earnings ratio, representing a 52% discount to peers' average forward P/E of 29 times, acknowledging the remaining cyclical exposure in non-SCA revenue streams. Frequently Asked Questions [market_journal_faq]   This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst.   Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

    Save on Brokerage Fees When Trading with CPF/SRS Funds

    Published on Jun 30, 2026 172 

    If you want to invest using your CPF Investment Account (CPFIS) or Supplementary Retirement Scheme (SRS) funds, you can choose between our Cash Plus Account and Cash Management Account. Both account types allow you to trade using your CPF/SRS monies. Read on to find out how they differ! Cash Plus Account Cash Plus Account offers a significantly lower brokerage rate of 0.08% with no minimum commission for trading on the SGX market. To place a BUY order, you will need to prefund your account with cash. A minimum of 50% of the expected trade value* is required as buying power before a trade can be placed or submitted online. The good news is that cash is only required temporarily. Once the CPF/SRS trade is settled, the prefunded amount can be withdrawn or used for the next trade. This could potentially result in significant cost savings for smaller trades and Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy! *Full amount is required for non-marginable counters Cash Management Account Cash Management Account offers greater convenience as no prefunding is required. We will increase your trading limit after reviewing your CPF/SRS statements. This allows you to place trades directly using the approved trading limit. However, the brokerage fee is higher at 0.28%, subject to a minimum commission of S$25. Example: BUY 100 shares of DBS at S$64.38 per share Trade Value: S$6,438 Under Cash Management Account: Approx. Brokerage Fee: S$25 (Minimum commission applies) Under Cash Plus Account: Approx. Brokerage Fee: S$5.20 By prefunding the required amount on Cash Plus Account, you could save approximately SGD 20 on brokerage fees for this trade alone. Which account should you choose? If you are comfortable prefunding your account with cash, the Cash Plus Account can help you reduce trading costs substantially. The prefunded cash can be withdrawn after the CPF/SRS transaction has been settled. If you prefer the convenience of trading without prefunding, Cash Management Account may be more suitable, although the brokerage charges will be higher. For investors looking to minimize trading costs, the Cash Plus Account is generally the more cost-effective option. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

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