Short Covering
In the world of finance, the term “short covering” frequently arises, piquing investors’ interest. This process is vital in shaping market dynamics and significantly affects price movements and investor sentiment. Grasping its mechanisms and implications is crucial for those navigating the complexities of financial markets. Like any trading strategy, successful short covering requires extensive research, effective risk management, and continuous vigilance.
Table of Contents
What is Short Covering?
Short covering is the process by which investors who have previously engaged in short selling—selling securities they do not own, such as stocks or commodities—buy them back to close their positions. In a short sale, investors borrow assets they anticipate will decline in value, sell them on the market, and plan to repurchase them at a lower price. Short covering occurs when these investors buy back the securities to return them to the lender, ideally at a reduced cost, allowing them to profit from the price difference.
This practice plays a crucial role in market dynamics, impacting price fluctuations and investor behavior. Several factors, including speculative motives, risk management strategies, and changes in market sentiment can influence short covering. Short sellers may face potential losses when the price of the shorted asset begins to rise. They engage in short covering to limit these losses and close their positions, which can create upward price pressure, often referred to as a short squeeze.
Understanding Short Covering
Short covering typically arises when the price of the asset being shorted starts to rise. This prompts short sellers to buy back the assets to close their positions, mitigating potential losses. In doing so, they contribute to upward price pressure, known as a short squeeze. This phenomenon can lead to rapid price increases, particularly if a significant number of short positions are closed simultaneously.
Various factors may drive the decision to engage in short covering, including changes in market sentiment, unexpected developments, or risk management strategies. For investors, understanding the dynamics of short covering is crucial for making informed trading decisions and managing their portfolios effectively, particularly in volatile market conditions. By grasping the mechanics and implications of short covering, investors can better navigate market fluctuations and capitalise on trading opportunities.
Working of Short Covering
The mechanics of short covering are straightforward. Short covering occurs when investors who have sold short assets, such as stocks or commodities, opt to repurchase them to close their positions. This action is often prompted by factors like changing market conditions, unexpected news, or simply the desire to limit potential losses.
To delve into the mechanics, let’s consider a scenario: an investor sells short 100 shares of a company’s stock at $50 per share, anticipating a decline in price. However, if the stock price starts to rise instead, the investor may face potential losses. To mitigate these losses, they choose to buy back the 100 shares, ideally at a lower price, thus closing their short position.
The process of short covering contributes to upward price pressure, particularly when multiple investors engage in it simultaneously. This phenomenon, known as a short squeeze, can lead to rapid price increases, further incentivising short sellers to cover their positions. Ultimately, understanding the dynamics of short covering is essential for investors to make informed decisions and effectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of financial markets.
Risks of Short Covering
While short covering can be profitable, it also carries certain risks. Here are the key risks associated with short covering:
- Loss Exposure: Investors engaging in short covering may face potential losses, especially if the asset’s price rises. This risk is inherent in short selling, as investors might have to repurchase the securities at prices higher than what they initially sold them for.
- Market Volatility: Short covering can increase market volatility, particularly during uncertain periods or significant short squeeze events. Rapid price fluctuations resulting from short covering can destabilize markets, making them less predictable for investors.
- Overleveraging Risks: Short covering can heighten the risks linked to overleveraging. If investors have borrowed extensively to support their short positions, covering them at elevated prices may lead to substantial losses and financial strain.
- Liquidity Concerns: Short covering can raise liquidity issues in markets or assets with low trading volumes. A sudden influx of short sellers trying to cover their positions may make finding buyers willing to sell the assets challenging, potentially worsening price movements.
Example of Short Covering
An illustrative example of short covering can be found in the realm of stock trading. Suppose a company, XYZ Corp, experiences a sudden surge in its stock price due to better-than-expected quarterly earnings. Prior to the earnings release, several investors had taken short positions on XYZ Corp’s stock, anticipating poor performance. However, the positive earnings report catches them off guard, leading to a swift rise in the stock price.
Faced with potential losses as the stock price climbs, these short sellers rush to cover their positions by buying back the shares they had previously sold short. This surge in buying activity to close short positions adds upward pressure on the stock price, intensifying the upward momentum. Consequently, the stock price of XYZ Corp experiences a sharp increase, driven in part by the short-covering activity. This example demonstrates how unexpected developments, such as positive earnings surprises, can trigger short covering. These prompt short sellers to scramble to limit their losses, thereby contributing to significant price movements in the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
Short covering in the share market refers to the process wherein investors buy back securities they previously sold short to close their positions, typically to limit losses or capture profits.
Short covering involves individual investors buying back assets to close their short positions. In contrast, a short squeeze occurs when a sharp price increase forces short sellers to cover their positions simultaneously, exacerbating the price rise.
Short covering is generally considered bullish as it contributes to upward price movements, especially when driven by positive market sentiment or unexpected developments.
Short covering exerts upward pressure on security prices, particularly when a significant number of short positions are closed simultaneously. This can lead to price spikes, especially in thinly traded assets.
Yes, the short-covering can contribute to market volatility, especially during periods of heightened uncertainty or when accompanied by significant short-squeeze events. Rapid price movements resulting from short–covering activities can destabilize markets.
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LHN Reports Strong Growth Momentum Driven by Coliwoo Expansion
Company Overview LHN Ltd is a Singapore-based company operating in the co-living and property development sectors. Through its Coliwoo brand, the company has positioned itself as a key player in the growing co-living market, while also maintaining interests in property development and other business segments. Strong Financial Performance Drives Optimism LHN Ltd delivered impressive results in the second half of 2025, with earnings exceeding Phillip Securities Research's expectations. The company's full-year 2025 revenue and profit after tax and minority interests reached 100% and 109% of forecasts, respectively. This strong showing was primarily driven by a substantial jump in co-living earnings, highlighting the company's strategic focus on this growing market segment. The company also announced an increase in dividend distribution, with final and special dividends totalling S$0.03, up from S$0.02 in the previous fiscal year. Aggressive Expansion Plans for Coliwoo The expansion trajectory for LHN's Coliwoo co-living platform remains exceptionally strong, with significant room inventory growth on the horizon. Currently, 714 rooms are undergoing renovation, with an additional 1,500 rooms in the planning pipeline. This expansion represents a remarkable 75% increase from the existing base of 2,933 rooms. The company has identified diverse opportunities across multiple property types, including hotel licenses, student accommodations, commercial buildings, and management contracts. LHN’s management has set an ambitious target of adding approximately 800 rooms annually, translating to a compound annual growth rate of around 27%. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for LHN Ltd, though it has adjusted its valuation methodology following the listing of Coliwoo. The research team now employs a sum-of-parts valuation approach, moving away from its previous 13 times price-to-earnings ratio method. Under this new framework, Coliwoo is valued on a mark-to-market basis with a 10% discount, property development assets at book value, and other remaining business operations at 10 times price-to-earnings. The target price has been revised from S$1.13 to S$0.85. Despite this adjustment, the investment case remains compelling, supported by higher expected dividend yields and new growth areas, including storage space and facilities management businesses. The stock offers attractive valuations with a dividend yield near 6% and an adjusted price-to-book ratio of 0.9 times. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Frasers Property Limited: Value Yet to Be Recognised
Strategic Property Development Across Key Markets Frasers Property Limited (FPL) continues to demonstrate its strategic positioning across diverse property sectors through its recent showcase at Frasers Day Bangkok 2025. The company's portfolio spans industrial, residential, and mixed-use developments, highlighting its comprehensive approach to property development and investment. Key Development Projects Drive Growth The company's recent property visits revealed three flagship projects that exemplify FPL's development strategy. ARAYA – The Eastern Gateway This prime industrial-tech ecosystem is strategically located just 20 minutes from Suvarnabhumi Airport. This development features state-of-the-art infrastructure and comprehensive one-stop services designed to serve modern industries, positioning it as a key industrial hub in the region. GUTE Sukhumvit 76 In the residential sector, GUTE Sukhumvit 76 showcases FPL's high-end development capabilities. This premium residential project comprises 118 detached and semi-detached units across 5.36 hectares, offering spacious layouts and community amenities that cater to upscale suburban living preferences. One Bangkok The crown jewel of FPL's portfolio is One Bangkok, a fully integrated mixed-use district spanning 17 hectares. This comprehensive development features luxury residences, Grade-A offices, diverse retail concepts, hotels, and cultural spaces, representing the company's ability to create vibrant urban ecosystems. Capital Recycling Strategy Addresses Valuation Gap Capital recycling remains a central focus for FPL as the company works to address its significant 57% discount to book value. The group has actively recycled capital into its listed REITs in both Singapore and Thailand, as well as to third parties, with the dual objectives of unlocking value and reducing net debt-to-equity, which currently stands at 89.2% as of September 30, 2025. In FY25, FPL executed S$1.4 billion in divestments, with 45% of proceeds recycled into its listed REITs. The company's key earnings drivers include building its development pipeline through high-quality land acquisitions and strong sell-through rates, the continued ramp-up of One Bangkok, unlocking value through strategic asset recycling, and strengthening recurring fee-based income streams. FPL maintained its commitment to shareholders by paying 4.5 cents per share in dividends in FY25, delivering a dividend yield of 4.4%, while pursuing its broader strategic transformation initiatives. Conclusion As FPL advances its pipeline and unlocks value through targeted recycling efforts, the group continues to demonstrate its ability to create resilient income streams and high-impact landmark developments. With a strengthened balance sheet, expanding development momentum, and iconic projects like One Bangkok setting new benchmarks in urban living, FPL is charting a path of sustained growth. Investors can look forward to a company progressively closing its valuation gap while driving long-term value across multiple real estate sectors. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/FCPTA.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Semiconductor Sector Shows Strong Recovery in Q3 2025
Revenue Growth Signals Market Turnaround The semiconductor industry posted robust performance in the third quarter of 2025, with revenue surging 31% year over year to US$216 billion. This marked a significant acceleration from the second quarter's 27% growth, indicating a strengthening recovery trajectory for the sector. Profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) rose even more dramatically, jumping 93% year-over-year to US$84 billion, representing the highest annual increase since the third quarter of 2024. Technology Transition Drives Growth The sector's strong performance was primarily driven by cloud service providers' strategic transition to cutting-edge technology solutions. Key drivers included the adoption of NVIDIA's Blackwell GB300 GPUs and AMD's MI350 series GPUs, as hyperscalers continued their aggressive capital expenditure programmes. This technological shift reflects the industry's ongoing evolution toward more advanced processing capabilities to meet growing computational demands. Competitive Dynamics in the GPU Market Despite intensifying competition, NVIDIA has maintained its dominant position in the GPU market with over 90% market share across the past two quarters. This resilience comes even as competitors offer compelling alternatives, with Google's TPU delivering an estimated 70% better performance per watt and a lower average selling price (~ 46%) than NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs. Similarly, AMD's MI350 GPU provides approximately 11% better performance per watt and 29% lower pricing. However, NVIDIA's competitive advantage lies in its CUDA software ecosystem, which creates substantial switching costs for customers considering alternatives from AMD or Google. While competitive pricing may pressu margins, its CUDA software ecosystem continues to provide significant protection for its market position. Processor and Memory Outlook The processor and memory segments have experienced five consecutive quarters of decelerating growth since Q3 2024, with trailing twelve-month revenue growth moderating to 51% and 29% respectively. However, analysts believe this deceleration is approaching its trough, supported by hyperscalers' sustained 66% year-over-year capital expenditure growth in Q3 2025, following 65% and 62% growth in the previous quarters. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/strategy-report/semiconductor-3q25-update-processor-and-memory-poised-for-growth-acceleration/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Salesforce Delivers Strong Performance with Informatica Acquisition Boost
Company Overview Salesforce Inc. is a leading cloud-based software company that provides customer relationship management (CRM) solutions and enterprise applications. Its comprehensive cloud computing services enables businesses across various industries manage customer interactions, sales processes, and marketing campaigns.. Strong Quarterly Results Exceed Expectations Salesforce delivered impressive third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, that met revenue expectations while significantly outperforming on earnings. The company's nine-month fiscal 2026 revenue reached 74% of its full-year forecast, while adjusted profit after tax and minority interests reached 80% of its annual projections. Earnings strength was driven by the delayed timing of expenses and improved bad-debt collections, which enhanced overall profitability. Informatica Acquisition Drives Guidance Upgrade The completion of Salesforce's acquisition of Informatica has provided a substantial boost to the company's growth trajectory. Management raised fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 guidance, with the completed Informatica deal contributing a significant three percentage points to revenue growth, bringing the total expected growth to 11-12%. Subscription and Support growth for fiscal 2026 also rose by 0.8 percentage points, resulting in a robust 10% year-over-year increase. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY rating on Salesforce, raising its target price to US$382.00, up from US$364.00. This reflects upward adjustments of 1% to fiscal 2026 revenue and 5% adjusted profit forecasts, following the strong third-quarter results and upgraded guidance. The research firm's valuation methodology remains consistent, with weighted-average cost of capital at 8.4% and terminal growth at 6%. The adjusted fiscal 2026 forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7x offers an attractive valuation, trading below the one-year historical average of 25.3x. This suggest potential upside for investors seeking exposure to the cloud computing sector. Conclusion As FPL advances its pipeline and unlocks value through targeted recycling efforts, the group continues to demonstrate its ability to create resilient income streams and high-impact landmark developments. With a strengthened balance sheet, expanding development momentum, and iconic projects like One Bangkok setting new benchmarks in urban living, FPL is charting a path of sustained growth. Investors can look forward to a company progressively closing its valuation gap while driving long-term value across multiple real estate sectors. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/CRM/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. You must make your own financial assessment of the relevance, accuracy and adequacy of the information provided in these commentaries. Views and any strategies described in these commentaries may not be suitable for all investors. Opinions expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other units of PSPL or its connected persons and associates. Any reference to or discussion of investment products or commodities in these commentaries is purely for illustrative purposes only and must not be construed as a recommendation, an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of the investment products or commodities mentioned. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
OUE REIT Maintains Strong Performance Amid Strategic Repositioning
Company Overview OUE REIT is a diversified real estate investment trust with a portfolio spanning office, retail, and hospitality segments. With assets in Singapore and international locations, the REIT is positioning itself as a key player in the commercial real estate sector. Strong Operational Performance Across All Segments OUE REIT continues to demonstrate robust performance across its three primary business segments. The office segment has particularly benefited from the ongoing flight-to-quality trend, which has driven impressive rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. This trend reflects tenants' preference for premium office spaces, reinforcing the REIT's positioning in high-quality commercial properties. The retail segment has shown resilience through its unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the ultra-luxury market. This strategic positioning has helped the segment maintain stable performance despite broader retail market challenges. Meanwhile, the hospitality segment presents an optimistic long-term outlook, supported by an attractive sponsor pipeline, increased efforts to secure MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions) business, and active room rate management. Capital Reallocation and Growth Strategy A significant development for OUE REIT was the successful repatriation of S$318 million in net divestment proceeds from the sale of Lippo Plaza Shanghai. While the specific allocation of these funds are still under review, management has indicated that debt repayment will be prioritised, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. The organisation has also made notable progress on its acquisition strategy, actively screening investment opportunities in Japan and Australia. The REIT’s management has specifically highlighted Australia as the preferred market for office asset acquisitions, particularly Sydney’s office market's attractive characteristics, citing their limited supply and strong demand dynamics. Investment Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation for OUE REIT with an unchanged target price of S$0.40. The research house expects growth opportunities to primarily emerge from international acquisitions, particularly noting that the Sydney office segment represents a potentially compelling entry point given current market condition. Frequently Asked Questions Q: What is Phillip Securities Research's recommendation for OUE REIT? A: Phillip Securities Research maintains a BUY recommendation with a target price of S$0.40. Q: How much did OUE REIT receive from the Lippo Plaza Shanghai sale? A: OUE REIT received net divestment proceeds of S$318 million from the sale, which have been repatriated to Singapore. Q: What was the rental reversion performance in the office segment? A: The office segment achieved rental reversions of 9.3% in the third quarter of 2025. Q: Which markets is OUE REIT considering for future acquisitions? A: OUE REIT is screening opportunities in Japan and Australia, with Australia being the preferred market for office assets. Q: What factors support the retail segment's performance? A: The retail segment is supported by unique food and beverage offerings and exposure to the resilient ultra-luxury market. Q: What is driving the hospitality segment's positive outlook? A: The hospitality segment benefits from an attractive sponsor pipeline, efforts to secure more MICE business, and active room rate management. Q: How will the sale proceeds likely be used? A: While not finalised, priority will be given to debt repayment, which should improve the REIT's gearing ratios. Q: What makes the Sydney office market attractive for OUE REIT? A: The Sydney office segment offers limited supply and strong demand, creating a potentially compelling entry point for investment. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference URL https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/OUECR.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. 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ETF Market Review: Most ETFs up in November; gold expected to extend recent gains
November Performance Overview The ETF market delivered mixed results in November, with most funds posting positive returns, though notable exceptions occurred. The standout performer was the oil-tracking ETF (XOP), which surged 5.6% during the month, benefitting from momentum in the energy sector. However, not all sectors shared this success: the Bitcoin-tracking ETF (BITO) declined 17.6%, while the Hang Seng Index ETF (HK.2828) declined 0.3%. Current Market Trends Analysis Technical analysis reveals distinct trend patterns across major asset classes heading into December. The S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Gold, and Singapore Equities are all maintaining strong upward trajectories, suggesting continued investor confidence in these sectors. Meanwhile, Oil and the Hang Seng Index have entered range consolidation phases, indicating potential sideways movement as markets digest recent gains and losses. Bitcoin stands out as the only primary asset class currently in a clear downtrend, reflecting ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency space. December Market Expectations Looking ahead to December, market analysts anticipate divergent performance across ETF categories. Gold-tracking ETFs are expected to extend their recent gains, potentially benefitting from continued safe-haven demand and favourable macroeconomic conditions. This positive outlook for precious metals contrasts sharply with expectations for other major asset classes. Several prominent ETF categories, including those tracking the S&P 500, US Treasury Bonds, Bitcoin, and the Hang Seng Index, are projected to experience pullbacks in December. This anticipated correction may reflect profit-taking and seasonal market adjustments as investors reposition portfolios ahead of year-end. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference Material: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/technical-analysis/etf-monthly-november-2025-gold-to-outperform-in-december/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. Any such information or Research contained in these commentaries are subject to change, and PSPL shall not have any responsibility to maintain the information or Research made available or to supply any corrections, updates or releases in connection therewith. In no event will PSPL be liable for any special, indirect, incidental or consequential damages which may be incurred from the use of the information or Research made available, even if it has been advised of the possibility of such damages. The companies and their employees mentioned in these commentaries cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions howsoever caused. Any opinion or advice herein is made on a general basis and is subject to change without notice. The information provided in these commentaries may contain optimistic statements regarding future events or future financial performance of countries, markets or companies. 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Thai Beverage PLC: Challenging Operating Environment Amid External Pressures
Company Overview Thai Beverage PLC (ThaiBev) is a leading beverage company in Southeast Asia, operating primarily in the spirits and beer segments. The company maintains significant market positions in Thailand and Vietnam through its beer operations, while also commanding a strong presence in the regional spirits market. Below-Expectation Financial Performance ThaiBev's recent financial results fell short of analyst projections. For FY25, revenue reached only 92% of forecats, while profit after tax and minority interest (PATMI) came in at 86% of expectations. The company's spirits division was particularly weak in the second half of FY25, with PATMI declining 3% year over year. Most concerning was the sharp 11% year-over-year contraction in volumes during the fourth quarter of FY25. The primary driver behind this underperformance was the border dispute with Cambodia, which resulted in a massive exodus of migrant workers from Thailand. This development caused significant disruption to supply chains and contributed to a decline in volumes across ThaiBev's operations. Mixed Segment Performance Despite these challenges, ThaiBev's beer segment demonstrated resilience with strong earnings growth in the second half of FY25. This improvement was attributed to higher contributions from Thailand operations, which reduced minority-interest impacts, and by aggressive cost-cutting measures in distribution and administrative expenses. However, beer volumes still declined 1.2% year over year in 2H25, primarily due to weakness at Sabeco following price increases. Investment Outlook and Recommendation Phillip Securities Research maintains an ACCUMULATE recommendation for ThaiBev, while lowering the target price to S$0.53 from S$0.56. The revised valuation reflects a 22% reduction in FY26 earnings estimates due to lower revenue projections and a 12x FY26 price-to-earnings ratio, which aligns with the company’s four-year average forward PE. Despite significant forecast cuts, analysts expect earnings growth in FY26 as management is anticipated to align operating expenses with reduced volumes. The investment case is further supported by potential gross margin expansion opportunities driven by substantial declines in input costs, including packaging, malt, and molasses prices. However, ThaiBev continues to face a challenging consumer spending environment, recently exacerbated by flooding conditions that may further pressure near-term performance. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link: https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/TBV.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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BRC Asia Ltd: Strong Performance Drives 36% Profit Growth
Company Overview and Market Position BRC Asia Ltd operates as a leading steel reinforcement solutions provider in the construction industry, specialising in steel rebar delivery and related services. The company serves as a critical supplier to Singapore's construction sector, supporting major infrastructure and residential development projects across the region. Strong Financial Performance Highlights BRC Asia delivered impressive financial results with adjusted profit after tax and minority interests (PATMI) surging 36% year-on-year in the second half of FY25. Full year revenue and adjusted PATMI came in at 96% and 101% of forecasts, respectively, demonstrating solid execution against expectations. Excluding the S$16.5 million disposal gains on associates from 2H24 and other one-off items, the underlying business performance showed remarkable strength. The standout performance was driven primarily by an estimated 34% year-on-year increase in steel rebar delivery volumes, marking the highest volume growth since 2H23. This surge reflects stronger construction project offtake across BRC Asia's key markets, indicating robust demand conditions in the construction sector. Robust Order Book Supports Future Growth BRC Asia's business outlook appears particularly strong, supported by a substantial S$1.9 billion order book. This represents a 36% year-on-year increase and is 42% above the company's five-year historical average. The significant boost stems from S$570 million in T5 contracts awarded during 3Q25, providing substantial revenue visibility for the coming periods. Steel rebar delivery volumes are expected to continue ramping up over subsequent quarters as project offtake strengthens, with peak volumes anticipated in 2026-27. Key growth drivers include HDB BTO buildout programmes, the T5 project ramp-up, and expansion contracts for the Marina Bay Sands Integrated Resort which are expected to be tendered to main contractors by year-end. Investment Recommendation and Valuation Phillip Securities Research has upgraded BRC Asia to BUY from NEUTRAL, raising the target price to S$5.10 from the previous S$4.10. The revision reflects a 15% increase in FY26 adjusted PATMI forecasts, driven by higher expected delivery volumes. The target price incorporates valuations rolled over to FY26/27, with weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and growth rate assumptions at 10% and 2.5% respectively. The stock also offers an attractive FY26 dividend yield of 4.8%, enhancing its investment appeal. This article has been auto-generated using PhillipGPT. It is based on a report by a Phillip Securities Research analyst. Reference link:https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/BRCC.SG/ Disclaimer These commentaries are intended for general circulation and do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any person. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person acting based on this information. You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment product(s) mentioned herein, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to invest in such products. Opinions expressed in these commentaries are subject to change without notice. Investments are subject to investment risks including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of units in any fund and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Past performance figures as well as any projection or forecast used in these commentaries are not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance. Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (PSPL), its directors, connected persons or employees may from time to time have an interest in the financial instruments mentioned in these commentaries. The information contained in these commentaries has been obtained from public sources which PSPL has no reason to believe are unreliable and any analysis, forecasts, projections, expectations and opinions (collectively the “Research”) contained in these commentaries are based on such information and are expressions of belief only. PSPL has not verified this information and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made that such information or Research is accurate, complete or verified or should be relied upon as such. 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