Bear market

Bear market

The approach of a bear market is a common concern for investors. While there are no specific indicators to predict this, there are some signs that you can watch for. 

Here, we provide an overview of a bear market and when investors need to be aware of.  

What is a bear market?

A bear market is a period in which the stock market declines. This can occur due to several factors, including an economic recession, inflation, or political instability. When the stock market is in a bear market, it can be challenging to make profits from investments, and many people incur losses. 

Many investors experience panic when they hear the term “bear market.” However, these severe market downturns are inevitable, and are frequently short-term, especially when contrasted with the length of bull markets, during which the market appreciates. Even in bear markets, there are profitable investing opportunities. 

How to recognise a bear market?

A bear market is considered as a decline of 20% or more from the peak of a market cycle. However, there are several ways to recognise a bear market in its early stages so that you can take steps to protect your investments.  

  • Market breadth 

One way to recognise a bear market is by looking at market breadth. This measures how many stocks are rising or falling in price. If the number of stocks falling in price starts to outpace the number of stocks rising in price, then it could be a sign that the market is about to enter a bearish phase.  

  • Market tone 

Another way to recognise a bear market is by looking at the overall tone of the market. If investors are becoming increasingly pessimistic and there is a lot of negative news about the market, it could be a sign that a bear market is on the horizon.  

If you are concerned that a bear market may be forming, it is crucial to take steps to protect your investments. One way to do this is by diversifying your portfolio so that you are not overly exposed to any particular sector or asset class. 

Causes of a bear market?

There are many causes of a bear market, but some of the most common include:  

  • Economic recessions 

When the overall economy is weak, it can lead to a bear market in stocks. This is because investors are worried about the future and are less likely to invest in stocks. 

  • Interest rate increases 

If interest rates go up, it can lead to a bear market. This is because when rates are high, it becomes more expensive to borrow money, leading to a slowdown in the economy. 

  • Geopolitical tensions 

If there are tensions between countries, it can lead to a bear market. This is because investors may be worried about the future and are less likely to invest in stocks. 

  • Natural disasters 

If there is a natural disaster, it can lead to a bear market. The disaster can damage infrastructure and lead to an economic slowdown. 

Types of bear market

Bear market

There are four types of bear markets: secular, primary, intermediate, and short-term.  

 A secular bear market is a long-term decline in the stock market that lasts for five years or more.  

  • A primary bear market is a shorter-term decline lasting one to three years.  
  • An intermediate bear market is a decline that lasts for three to nine months.  
  • A short-term bear market is a decline lasting for two to three months.  

The four types of bear markets are distinguished by their duration and extent of the decline in stock prices.  

While bear markets can be painful for investors, they are a natural part of the stock market cycle. And over time, the stock market has always recovered from bear markets and gone to new highs. 

How to invest in the bear market?

To invest in the bear market, firstly, you should identify the reasons for its occurrence. And then, you can begin to look for investment opportunities. One way to do this is to look for companies that are undervalued by the market. Another way to find investment opportunities is to look for companies doing well despite the bear market. 

Once you have found some investment opportunities, you must do your due diligence to ensure they are suitable investments. This includes researching the companies, their financials, and their prospects. 

Once you are confident in your investment choices, you can begin to invest. One way to invest in a bear market is to dollar-cost average into your investments. 

Another way to invest in a bear market is to invest in companies that pay high dividends. This will provide you with some income to offset any losses in the value of your investments. 

Whatever strategy you choose, the key to successful investing in a bear market is to have a long-term outlook.  

Frequently Asked Questions

There are numerous examples of bear markets throughout history. Some notable bear markets include the stock market crash of 1929, the 1987 stock market crash, and the more recent 2000-2002 and 2007-2009 stock market crashes. These crashes were all precipitated by economic recessions. 

Watching interest rates is one of the greatest methods to figure out when a bear market is approaching. A solid indicator that a bear market might be near is when the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates in reaction to a faltering economy. A bear market, however, can occasionally start before interest rates decrease. 

A few key differences exist between a bear market and a market correction.   

  • Firstly, a bear market is typically characterised by a sustained period of falling stock prices, while a market correction is typically a shorter-term event.  
  • Secondly, a bear market is typically much more severe, with stock prices falling by 20% or more, while a market correction generally is less severe, with stock prices falling by 10% or less.  
  • Finally, a bear market typically occurs during an economic downturn, while a market correction can occur during any phase of the economic cycle. 

The key difference is that a bear market happens when stocks decline steadily over time, whereas a bull market happens when stocks rise. Understanding the distinctions between bull and bear markets and how they affect your investment choices is essential. 

Short selling in a bear market can help investors make a profit. This strategy includes borrowing shares, selling them, and then purchasing them again at a discount. But if the trade does not succeed, it might result in significant losses. 

 

Related Terms

    Read the Latest Market Journal

    Weekly Updates 25/9/23 – 29/9/23

    Published on Sep 25, 2023 35 

    This weekly update is designed to help you stay informed and relate economic and company...

    Top traded counters in August 2023

    Published on Sep 19, 2023 287 

    Start trading on POEMS! Open a free account here! The market at a glance: US...

    Weekly Updates 18/9/23 – 22/9/23

    Published on Sep 18, 2023 34 

    This weekly update is designed to help you stay informed and relate economic and company...

    The Merits of Dollar Cost Averaging

    Published on Sep 15, 2023 57 

    Have you ever seen your colleagues, friends or family members on the phone with their...

    Singapore Market: Buy the Dip or Dollar-Cost Averaging?

    Published on Sep 14, 2023 50 

    To the uninitiated, investing in the stock market can be deemed exhilarating and challenging. The...

    What are covered calls and why are they so popular?

    Published on Sep 12, 2023 616 

    Table of Contents Introduction Understanding Covered Calls Benefits of Covered Calls Popularity Factors Potential Drawbacks...

    Why Do Bid-Ask Spread Matter in Trading?

    Published on Sep 11, 2023 35 

    Why Do Bid-Ask Spread Matter in Trading? The bid-ask spread is the difference between the...

    Weekly Updates 11/9/23 – 15/9/23

    Published on Sep 11, 2023 15 

    This weekly update is designed to help you stay informed and relate economic and company...

    Contact us to Open an Account

    Need Assistance? Share your Details and we’ll get back to you